1/10
A prelude to war, 2021
Kirill Budanov, the head of Ukrainian military intelligence, outlined three possible scenarios.
A prelude to war, 2021
Kirill Budanov, the head of Ukrainian military intelligence, outlined three possible scenarios.
2/10
Option one: the Russian army is simply demonstrating its strength.
The second is that Russia will invade the southern regions of Ukraine to unblock water supplies to Crimea.
Third, Russian forces will provoke the Ukrainian military in Donbas.
crisisgroup.org/content/confli…
Option one: the Russian army is simply demonstrating its strength.
The second is that Russia will invade the southern regions of Ukraine to unblock water supplies to Crimea.
Third, Russian forces will provoke the Ukrainian military in Donbas.
crisisgroup.org/content/confli…
3/10
Later, satellite images, social media videos, and U.S. intelligence reports appeared. At that time, Ukrainian military intelligence chief Kirill Budanov said that Russia was preparing to attack Ukraine in late January or early February 2022.
en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prelude_t…
Later, satellite images, social media videos, and U.S. intelligence reports appeared. At that time, Ukrainian military intelligence chief Kirill Budanov said that Russia was preparing to attack Ukraine in late January or early February 2022.
en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prelude_t…
4/10
The German tabloid Bild even published a possible attack plan, in which the Russian army could occupy two-thirds of Ukraine.
pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2023/…
The German tabloid Bild even published a possible attack plan, in which the Russian army could occupy two-thirds of Ukraine.
pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2023/…
5/10
Bild has published a theoretical plan for Russia's attack on NATO in four stages
vpk.name/en/832931_plau…
Bild has published a theoretical plan for Russia's attack on NATO in four stages
vpk.name/en/832931_plau…
6/10
Journalists asked Vladimir Putin several times whether Russia would attack Ukraine. In late November, he replied: "It's not about sending troops there, not about sending troops, not about fighting, not about fighting.
journalofdemocracy.org/articles/what-…
Journalists asked Vladimir Putin several times whether Russia would attack Ukraine. In late November, he replied: "It's not about sending troops there, not about sending troops, not about fighting, not about fighting.
journalofdemocracy.org/articles/what-…
7/10
It's about establishing relations to create a more equitable and sustainable development and to consider the security interests of all participants in international activities. If we sincerely strive for this, no one will feel threatened."
journalofdemocracy.org/articles/why-u…
It's about establishing relations to create a more equitable and sustainable development and to consider the security interests of all participants in international activities. If we sincerely strive for this, no one will feel threatened."
journalofdemocracy.org/articles/why-u…
8/10
No such guarantees were given, and Washington warned Moscow: if the Russian army launches an offensive, the response will be unlike anything seen before. One of the measures is the exclusion of Russia from the SWIFT banking system.
consilium.europa.eu/en/press/press…
No such guarantees were given, and Washington warned Moscow: if the Russian army launches an offensive, the response will be unlike anything seen before. One of the measures is the exclusion of Russia from the SWIFT banking system.
consilium.europa.eu/en/press/press…
9/10
The Russian military's deployment near Ukraine's borders continued even after the Biden-Putin talks.
edition.cnn.com/2021/12/17/pol…
The Russian military's deployment near Ukraine's borders continued even after the Biden-Putin talks.
edition.cnn.com/2021/12/17/pol…
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