What you’re seeing today—disinformation, institutional decay, narrative collapse—isn’t new.

It’s the continuation of a strategy launched over a century ago.

Russia’s war on democracy didn’t start with Putin.

It started with the Tsars. Image
Since the early 1900s, Russian regimes have used the same method:

Undermine trust in liberal democracy
Exploit internal divisions
Flood the public square with lies, half-truths, and confusion

Different leaders. Same doctrine.
This isn’t collapse. It’s design.

And the sooner we understand the structure, the sooner we can resist it.

This is the history of that structure.
It begins with the Tsar’s secret police—the Okhrana.

In the early 20th century, they fabricated one of the most infamous forgeries in history:

The Protocols of the Elders of Zion Image
The Protocols were designed to incite antisemitism and deflect public anger from the failing regime.

Published as “proof” of a Jewish plot to dominate the world.

It was a lie. It was spread.

Nazis used it. Commies used it.

So do white supremacists. It’s cited widely today. Image
This was more than hate—it was weaponized narrative.

The Okhrana showed early on that truth didn’t matter as long as the story could fracture trust and redirect blame.

That same logic would be refined under the Soviets. Image
After 1917, the Soviet state built an entire doctrine around what the Okhrana pioneered.

It was called Active Measures: psychological warfare targeting enemies through information.

Lies, forgeries, front groups, fake movements.

marshallcenter.org/en/publication…Image
Ladislav Bittman, a Czech intel officer who defected in 1968, described how it worked:

Forge documents
Spread them through sympathetic newspapers
Use “peace groups” or journalists as unwitting carriers

And always deny involvement. Image
The goal wasn’t conversion. It was corrosion.

“The essence of disinformation is not the lie itself—but the repeated whisper that erodes belief in the truth.” —Bittman

ia800107.us.archive.org/19/items/40043…Image
One major Soviet tactic: exploit real injustices in the West.

They didn’t care about civil rights in the U.S.—but they weaponized it.

Forged State Department letters were sent to African papers, claiming the U.S. backed apartheid.

archive.org/details/coldwa…Image
In 1984, U.S. analyst Dennis Kux detailed these campaigns:

Fake cables tying the U.S. to the assassination of the Pope

Forged memos framing the U.S. for coups in India and Nigeria

Soviet “peace councils” pushing anti-NATO narratives

ia804608.us.archive.org/31/items/sovie…Image
This was a global doctrine, run through cultural fronts, state media, and covert actors.

Failures didn’t matter. The goal was saturation.

As Kux put it: “The cumulative effect of periodic successes outweighs failures.” Image
And then Soviet Union collapsed.

But the doctrine lived on.

Under Putin, Russian intelligence reactivated the same strategy—only now with social media, sock puppets, and a bottomless content supply. Image
The internet didn’t make Russian disinformation.

It made it faster. RT and Sputnik replaced Pravda.

Troll farms replaced pamphlets.

But the goals stayed the same:

Confuse. Exhaust. Divide. Image
In 2016, the U.S. Senate confirmed what Bittman predicted decades earlier:

Russian operatives flooded U.S. platforms with ragebait, false stories, race-baiting, protest ops, even fake “grassroots” pages.

intelligence.senate.gov/sites/default/…Image
By 2016, analysts had a name for it: The Firehose of Falsehood

High volume. No consistency.

Total disregard for accuracy.

Aimed not at belief, but cognitive overload.

ndupress.ndu.edu/Portals/68/Doc…Image
Russia doesn’t try to make you believe the lie.

It tries to make you give up on believing anything at all.

If nothing is true, then nothing is worth defending.
This has been the throughline since the 1900s:

Okhrana: invent conspiracies to protect empire

Soviets: discredit democracy through psychological sabotage

Putin: adapt all of it for global digital chaos
And it works best when we think it’s just happening “naturally.”

Corrupt institutions? Rigged media? Cynical politics?

All real issues.

But Russian information warfare feeds, amplifies, and weaponizes every one of them. Image
From Tsarist forgeries to TikTok chaos, this war has always had one thesis:

Democracy is a lie.

That’s the message—delivered in different accents, platforms, and crises—for over 100 years. Image
Here’s the truth:

What looks like decay is often injection.

The doubt you feel? The fracture you see?

It's not all accidental.

This is engineered decay. And it’s not new. Image
But here’s the other truth:

Knowing the pattern breaks the spell.

Knowing that this is a long game means we can play a smarter one.

History doesn’t just warn us. It equips us. Image
Russia’s war on democracy is old.

The methods are known.

The outcomes are preventable.

But only if we stop mistaking sabotage for entropy.

This isn’t collapse. It’s strategy.

And strategy can be countered. Image

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More from @DucuGavril

Jan 26
A new paper published in Science explains something many people feel but struggle to name.

Online manipulation is no longer about individual lies or fake accounts. It is becoming an infrastructure.

For years, influence operations relied on human-run bot networks. Image
They were expensive, slow, and limited by time, coordination, and manpower.

That constraint is disappearing.

The combination of large language models and autonomous agents allows influence campaigns to operate continuously, adaptively, and at scale.

arxiv.org/pdf/2506.06299
Researchers call this the rise of malicious AI swarms.

These are not simple bots repeating messages.

They are systems made of many AI-controlled personas that keep memory, maintain identities, coordinate with each other, and adapt in real time to human responses.
Read 20 tweets
Jan 2
Disinformation is often discussed in theory. This is a real case.

One event, one place, real people, real consequences. The point here is not who is right politically, but how people can be pushed into acting against their own material interests. Image
Near Podgorica, residents blocked the construction of a wastewater treatment plant in Botun.

Police intervened. Arrests followed. Politicians reacted. At first glance, this looks like a familiar local conflict over infrastructure. Image
These kinds of disputes happen everywhere. Roads, power lines, factories, treatment plants.

They are usually messy, emotional, and local. Nothing about the situation itself is unusual. Image
Read 14 tweets
Dec 23, 2025
What do people in the West usually get wrong about propaganda?

They imagine simple brainwashing. Someone lies. Someone believes it. End of story.

That idea is comforting because it suggests clear villains, clear victims, and that smart people are safe. Image
So what does propaganda actually do?

It does not need to make you stupid. It just needs to make you tired. When you live inside it, propaganda is not an event.

It is part of the environment, like background noise. Image
Does propaganda require people to believe lies?

No.

Obvious lies can even help. When contradictions pile up, people stop asking if something is true. They start asking why it is being said.

Eventually even that feels exhausting. Image
Read 10 tweets
Dec 21, 2025
THREAD 🧵 | What is Orbán actually doing and why?

Q: Why is Viktor Orbán suddenly comparing EU leaders to Napoleon and Hitler?
A: Because he’s not debating policy. He’s raising fear so defense sounds dangerous and delay sounds wise. Image
Q: Is this just Orbán being provocative for attention?
A: No. He’s repeating it, on stage, on record.

That’s intentional escalation, not a slip of the tongue. Image
Q: Why target Kaja Kallas specifically?
A: She represents clarity on Russia.

If you can’t argue against the policy, you poison the person. Image
Read 12 tweets
Dec 10, 2025
THREAD — Can You Measure How Susceptible You Are to Propaganda? Yes.

People imagine propaganda targets:

• fools
• the uneducated
• the gullible

But research shows something deeply uncomfortable: The most susceptible are often the ones convinced they are immune. Image
Measuring susceptibility isn’t about intelligence.

It’s about habits of mind and emotional reflexes.

We can look at a few key diagnostics anyone can use on themselves.
THE REACTION TEST

Do you react before you reflect?

Propaganda doesn’t persuade logically — it captures via emotion.

If you often feel outrage, agreement, fear or exhilaration before you evaluate, your attack surface is exposed.
Read 13 tweets
Oct 27, 2025
British journalist Carole Cadwalladr has published new reporting that links a Kremlin-connected influence network to Nigel Farage’s political circle. Image
Image
She documents how Oleh Voloshyn, a sanctioned Russian operative, and his wife Nadia Sass, a pro-Kremlin influencer, targeted politicians in the UK and across Europe.
One Farage ally, former MEP Nathan Gill, has already pleaded guilty to taking bribes from Voloshyn while promoting Kremlin messaging in the European Parliament.
Read 6 tweets

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