Russia is sealing off the internet to isolate its people.
AP news: In July, Russia passed a law that punishes users for searching “extremist” content — LGBTQ+ topics, Navalny’s memoir, and anti-Kremlin music.
State agencies are blocking VPNs to cut access to banned sites. 1/
Russian authorities now disrupt YouTube, WhatsApp, Signal, and Facebook.
They plan to ban WhatsApp (97M users) and replace it with MAX — a state-run app preinstalled on all phones. 2/
MAX shares user data with authorities and bundles messaging, payments, and government services.
The government is ordering officials and employees to switch. Only 2M users have registered. 3/
Since 2022, Russia has slowed or blocked access to foreign-hosted websites.
Services using Cloudflare or similar providers often fail to load. The goal is to force users migration to state-controlled infrastructure. 4/
Costs for internet provider licenses rose from $90 to $12,300 in 2024. 7 firms now control most Russian IP addresses. State-run Rostelecom alone holds 25%. 5/
Roskomnadzor filters all web traffic, inspects DNS requests, and blocks content in real time. Analysts say the Kremlin’s tools are now more effective than past attempts to copy China’s Great Firewall. 6X
Grozev: Russian special services invent threats for Putin to approve killings, hiding private interests as state ones — like losing a big arms deal.
They label rivals as ISIS or CIA agents and add them to kill lists. This mafia system protects itself. 1/
Grozev: Western and Russian intelligence services both violate laws — laws aren’t written for them. All can plan liquidation of real threats.
But Western services do it less, more transparently. Russian do it more and more, as in Soviet times — linked to corruption. 2/
Grozev: Scientists involved in poisonings joked about who to kill with which poison — Nemtsov, Navalny. This is their culture. Some rethink life only after a shock.
They read our investigations — we see it in their emails. They're not sorry, just afraid of being exposed. 3/
Putin believes Russia is winning and is unlikely to accept Trump’s ceasefire ultimatum before Friday.
Reuters: Putin still wants full control of Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson. He won’t risk angering Trump but won’t abandon his goals. 1/
Putin sees U.S. sanctions as survivable. After 3.5 years of war, $300B in reserves remain frozen, FDI is down 63%.
But Russia’s war economy continues to function. It’s sustained by North Korean ammo and Chinese components to keep the war machine running. 2/
Russian officials view Trump’s ultimatum as a bluff. Hitting China and India could raise oil prices, strain U.S. alliances, and hurt his own economy. Moscow doubts he’ll take that risk. 3/
Despite a 25% U.S. tariff on Indian exports Modi refuses to stop buying Russian oil. Russian crude now makes up one-third of India’s total imports.
Bloomberg: No stop order has been issued to refiners. Purchases remain commercial.
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Modi responded to pressure: Whatever we buy, we’ll buy what’s made by the sweat of an Indian.
The message: domestic self-reliance over foreign pressure.
This comes as India joins BRICS and deepens its ties with Russia.
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Trump escalates.
He accuses India of “cheating” on trade and immigration.
Stephen Miller (Trump’s deputy chief): India imposes massive tariffs, buys as much Russian oil as China, and games the U.S. visa system. Everything is on the table.
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