Swan Profile picture
Aug 5, 2025 10 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Strategy(MSTR) just posted:

• $14B operating income
• $10B net income
• $32.60 EPS

And yet… it trades at a P/E of 4.7x.
That’s lower than 495 companies in the S&P 500.

Here’s what Wall Street still doesn’t get about MSTR 🧵👇 Image
Image
This isn’t just a high-performing company.

Strategy is on pace to generate $80 EPS this year.

That’s on just 112M outstanding shares, with most of the value tied directly to BTC.

But the market still doesn’t price it like a Bitcoin proxy—or a tech firm. Image
Strategy now holds 628,791 bitcoin. At current prices, it’s worth over $74B.

How much is that, really?

More than every other public company combined.
More than any single nation-state has ever disclosed.
Roughly 3% of total supply—in one ticker.

And they’re still buying. Image
But they didn’t stop at buying Bitcoin.

They built an entire capital structure around it.

Issuing preferreds. Trading convertibles. Raising billions. Paying yield.

And now they’re building a BTC credit market—from short duration to 20-year stretch paper. Image
Saylor calls it:

“Digital capital, built on digital collateral, designed by digital intelligence.”

They’re building out an entire Bitcoin yield curve—modeled by AI, issued at scale, and trading publicly.

Bitcoin isn’t just treasury. It’s infrastructure. Image
Wall Street still tries to value MSTR like a tech firm with weird treasury management.

But this isn’t a tech stock.

It’s an emerging BTC-native asset manager, financial architect, and reserve aggregator—all in one ticker.
So why the 4.7x earnings multiple?

Because Wall Street still sees MSTR as a software firm with an unusual treasury policy.

Not as the first BTC-native asset manager, architecting a financial system on top of digital scarcity.
While most corporations hoard cash and follow the Fed…

Strategy is building on a new monetary foundation—one that can’t be printed, paused, or politicized.

Bitcoin isn’t just their balance sheet. It’s their base layer.
This isn’t about chasing MSTR.

It’s about what their balance sheet reveals.

The world is being repriced in Bitcoin.

Some are still watching.
Others are already positioned.
Swan Private works with investors, institutions, and family offices navigating this shift.

From cold storage to corporate strategy—we help you accumulate, secure, and activate your Bitcoin.

Start the conversation:
swanbitcoin.com/private?utm_ca…

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More from @Swan

Jan 26
This is wild.

Gold just ripped above $5,000/oz and the chart looks like a 2017 Bitcoin cycle.

Parabolic. Vertical. Relentless.

Instead of feeling defeated, Bitcoiners should be ecstatic about this move.

Here’s why 🧵👇 Image
Everyone’s framing this as gold vs Bitcoin.

That’s the mistake.

Gold ripping isn’t Bitcoin failing.
It’s the same trade expressing itself through a different vehicle.

Same pressure. Different release valve.
Zoom out and actually look at the gold chart.

Years of dead money.
Ignored. Mocked. Written off.

Then suddenly it moves like something snapped.

That shape should feel familiar to anyone who’s lived through a Bitcoin cycle. Image
Read 10 tweets
Jan 16
Bitcoin is creeping back toward $100K and most people aren’t ready.

The 4-year cycle narrative is fading.
Gold’s multi-year setup before its 2025 breakout reveals something critical.
The Iranian rial’s collapse reveals the end game.

2026 might get wild 🧵👇 Image
Every cycle-trained Bitcoiner is asking the same question:
Is this just another bear market rally before the real crash?

That question made sense in a world of clean four-year rhythms.
But that world may already be gone.
The missing piece in 2025 wasn’t demand.
It was expectations.

No blow-off top.
No euphoric frenzy to punish.
Capital didn’t leave Bitcoin.
It paused.

That distinction changes everything.
Read 10 tweets
Jan 5
A sitting head of state was removed overnight.
Control of energy, minerals, and infrastructure shifted in hours.
No war. No negotiation. No drawn-out collapse.

That’s not noise.
That’s the global power board moving.

Bitcoin exists for moments like this 🧵👇 Image
This wasn’t about removing a dictator.
It was about securing leverage.

When monetary credibility weakens, systems don’t heal gracefully.
They consolidate control over what still enforces power.
In stressed monetary systems, power migrates.

Away from promises.
Away from paper claims.
Toward things that still enforce outcomes:

• Energy
• Infrastructure
• Settlement rails

This is what fiat stress looks like in practice.
Read 10 tweets
Dec 22, 2025
Why has Michael Saylor been meeting with the biggest banks in the world?

In a new interview, he explains the next phase of the speculative attack on fiat.

Not price.
Not narratives.

But credit — and eventually money itself.

Let’s put the pieces together. 🧵👇
For years, Bitcoin attacked fiat by absorbing capital.

Scarce.
Permissionless.
No issuer.

That phase worked. Bitcoin established itself as digital capital.

But Saylor says that was only phase one.
The next phase of a speculative attack isn’t about volatility or charts.

It’s about what financial institutions can build on top of Bitcoin once it’s accepted as capital.

That requires an important clarification first.
Read 10 tweets
Dec 3, 2025
Four major institutions all moved toward Bitcoin immediately after the market forced out its weakest holders.
The timing wasn’t subtle.

What happened these last two weeks didn’t feel like random volatility.
It felt like the closing chapter of a classic Wall Street shakeout. 🧵👇 Image
Start at the beginning:

A November dump big enough to flush leverage, trigger redemptions, and force weak hands out of the ETF complex.
Billions flowed out at the exact moment the market was most fragile.

That wasn’t the end of anything.
It cleared the runway. Image
Once the market was weakened, the November FUD sequence hit — right after the October stablecoin depeg softened the ground:

• MSCI memo resurfaces
• JPMorgan pushes the exclusion angle
• ETF cost bases crack
• Retail capitulates

That’s when the shakeout truly formed.
Read 9 tweets
Nov 26, 2025
Something about this Bitcoin selloff felt off.
A quiet MSCI memo.
A JP Morgan hit piece on MSTR.
Then a liquidation wave with no clear trigger.

And today, a new development dropped that makes the whole picture come into focus.

Let’s break it down 🧵👇 Image
Start with MSCI.

In early October they floated a proposal to potentially exclude companies whose balance sheets are “predominantly Bitcoin.”

For firms like Strategy, that’s not noise — that’s a direct threat to index eligibility and passive flows. Image
Then look at JP Morgan.

Months before the selloff, they raised margin requirements on MSTR-backed positions from 50% to 95%.

Clients reported delays moving shares out of JPM custody.
Small details — but they matter. Image
Read 10 tweets

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