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ChrisO_wiki Profile picture
@ChrisO_wiki
Aug 8 • 6 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X
1/ The Trump Administration is reportedly finalising a peace proposal that would allow Russia to take over the entirety of the Donetsk region and force Ukraine to surrender the unoccupied portion. All territory currently occupied by Russia would remain under Russian control. ⬇️ Image
2/ According to Bloomberg, the deal would involve Russia taking over the entire Donbas and freezing the lines of contact elsewhere. The reported aim is to freeze the war and pave the way for a ceasefire and technical talks on a definitive peace settlement.
3/ It's not clear whether Russia would have to return any territory or hand over the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant. The agreement would reportedly present Ukraine and Europe with a take-it-or-leave-it ultimatum.
4/ Such an agreement would clearly be a disaster for Ukraine and represent an abject surrender by the US to Russia. Hundreds of thousands of people still live in the unoccupied portion of the Donetsk region and would likely need to be evacuated.
5/ The agreement would also require Ukraine to hand over its heavily fortified defensive lines, much as Neville Chamberlain's Munich Agreement did to Czechoslovakia in 1938. Russia's next invasion of Ukraine would be made far easier.
6/ The terms and plans of the accord are said to still be in flux and could still change. The agreement will be finalised when Trump and Putin meet next week. /end

Source:
bloomberg.com/news/articles/…

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More from @ChrisO_wiki

ChrisO_wiki Profile picture
Aug 8
1/ Russian field medics have been given only six days of training before immediately being sent to their deaths as stormtroopers, due to commanders ignoring the value of their specialty, according to a scathing commentary from a Russian army medical team. ⬇️ Image
2/ The author of the '5 mg. KGV' Telegram channel describes his experience in providing medical training alongside another military medical specialist, a man with the callsign 'Shlyakhtich':

"He organized the training processes for self-help as best he could.
3/ "He butted heads with the operational and combat training leadership about increasing the time allocated for medicine, and in general he was the first to justify applications for first aid kits, their echeloning, and equipment.
Read 17 tweets
ChrisO_wiki Profile picture
Aug 8
1/ Occupied towns and villages are suffering far worse than Donetsk city in the current water crisis. The village of Novoluhanske faces a particularly surreal situation – it has had no water for three years despite being on the shore of one of Ukraine's largest reservoirs. ⬇️ Image
2/ Novoluhanske was on the front line for eight years, just outside the Russian-occupied 'Donetsk People's Republic'. It fell to Russian forces on 27 July 2022. Despite heavy damage, around 550 out of the original 3,800 inhabitants still live there. Image
3/ The village is located on the western shore of the Vuglehirske Reservoir, one of the largest in Ukraine. The reservoir was created in 1967 to provide water to the now-destroyed Vuhlehirska Power Station on the north shore. Image
Image
Read 19 tweets
ChrisO_wiki Profile picture
Aug 7
To be clear, what Vance is describing here is a Putin-style system of state capitalism. Oligarchs have to align themselves with Kremlin priorities to maintain their wealth and influence. If they challenge the state, they face bogus investigations and pressure to force them out.
Loyal oligarchs are rewarded with access to state contracts or monopolistic opportunities, creating a symbiotic relationship between private wealth and state power. They can only operate within strict boundaries set by the state, such as the ban on "promoting LGBT".
They are kept in line by government regulations, tax policies, and selective law enforcement to discipline them and ensure their alignment with state goals. That's how Russia ensures there is "no meaningful distinction between the public and the private sector".
Read 5 tweets
ChrisO_wiki Profile picture
Aug 7
1/ The Russian army is experiencing an epidemic of hepatitis and other infectious diseases, including HIV and tuberculosis, threatening a public health disaster. It has resulted from the Russian military ignoring its own recruitment rules and poor medical hygiene in the field. ⬇️ Image
2/ The Russian warblogger Anastasia Kasheverova writes that the army faces "the threat of a hepatitis epidemic - from the front to the rear."
3/ "The front, of course, is a breeding ground for diseases, viruses. Where there is death, disease and its carriers – rats, mice, lice – are constantly wandering around.
Read 24 tweets
ChrisO_wiki Profile picture
Aug 6
1/ The Russian army is still largely a paper-based institution, relying on vast quantities of paperwork for its administration. One particularly time-consuming task is producing hand-written combat logs, which then has to be typed out, before being written out by hand again. ⬇️ Image
2/ A single officer in each battalion is responsible for all the paperwork (see the earlier thread below). The 'Vault No. 8' Telegram channel highlights how combat logs are managed.
3/ "Contemporary military historians will be interested to know that in the Rwandan Defence Army [sic] in 2022-2025, combat logs are still kept in handwritten form...

...and duplicated in print. Yeah...
Read 8 tweets
ChrisO_wiki Profile picture
Aug 6
1/ At least 14 seriously injured soldiers who were preparing to be invalided out of the Russian army have abruptly been declared fit, despite being on crutches and in plaster casts, and have been sent to an assault squad, according to their relatives. ⬇️
2/ The men are from Russia's Chelyabinsk region and have sustained a variety of injuries which should make them unfit for service. Relatives of several of them have spoken to the ASTRA news service about their situation.
3/ One of them, a man named Aleksandr Krug, has a paralysed right hand for which he was initially treated in a hospital in Chelyabinsk before being sent back to Ukraine to a reserve battalion. He has already received a state award and a veteran's certificate.
Read 13 tweets

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