A 23-page research paper reveals the number 1 method Hedge Funds use to beat the market:
Time Series Momentum
This is how: 🧵
1. What Is Time Series Momentum?
Time Series Momentum (TSMOM) bets on trends continuing. If a stock’s up, buy more; if down, sell. A 2011 study of 58 assets proved it works!
2. The Data Behind the Strategy
The TSMOM paper analyzed equities, currencies & more. T-stats showed consistent profits across 1-month lookbacks!
3. Coding TSMOM with Python
Code TSMOM in Python:
- Use yfinance to get data
- Then momentum = price[-1] / price[-20] - 1.
Positive? Buy
Negative? Sell
4. Real-World Performance
TSMOM outperforms passive investing.
We're using a modified version of TSMOM in our Hedge Fund.
One backtest shows 3500% return vs 450% S&P500.
We are using TSMOM in our hedge fund.
And we'd like to share exactly how it works.
Want to see how we built our hedge fund in Python?
Then join us for our free training:
🚨 FREE Python Algo Trading Workshop: Learn how we built our hedge fund
• QSConnect: Build your quant research database
• QSResearch: Research and run machine learning strategies
• Omega: Automate trade execution with Python
1. Start with Python 2. Learn to use VSCode 3. Take a pandas tutorial 4. Then a plotly tutorial 5. Make a portfolio with riskfolio 6. Make a backtest with vectorbt 7. Analyze performance with vectorbt
You can do this!
🚨 Python Algo Trading Workshop on Thursday: Learn how we built our hedge fund
• QSConnect: Build your quant research database
• QSResearch: Research and run machine learning strategies
• Omega: Automate trade execution with Python
The secret of hedge funds is revealed in a 41-page PDF:
This paper analyzed 464 stocks that 10X-ed over a 24-year period.
Here are the best factors that drive outperformance: (number 3 is the best 🧵)
1. Size Effect
"Small-cap stocks outperform medium and large companies in 11 out of 12 cases"
Smaller stocks tend to perform better, but it's not the only contributor.
2. Value Effect
"A low book-to-market value (B/M < 1), i.e., low equity and relatively high market cap, implies that investors are paying more for a company than its net assets are worth."
Don't overpay - Overpaying tends to drive underperformance.
🚨 PYTHON ALGO TRADING WORKSHOP: Learn how we built our hedge fund
• QSConnect: Build your quant research database
• QSResearch: Research and run machine learning strategies
• Omega: Automate trade execution with Python