Sergej Sumlenny, LL.M Profile picture
Aug 10 10 tweets 4 min read Read on X
As a person who was born and socialised in russia, I tell you what Putin and russia think about having a Putin-Trump meeting in Alaska.
It means Putin goes to... russia. Let me explain why - in this thread.
First, you need to know that the "Alaska myth" is essential for russia /1
In my school in a town close to Moscow, I was taught in geography class in 1990s, that russia has never sold Alaska to the U.S., but leased it for 100 years. That the U.S. have later forged the contract and broken the original one. That Alaska is russian. /2
In 1991 already, russian band "Lyube" has composed a chauvinist song "Don't be silly America" with a call "give us back Alaska, our native russian land". "Lyube" was one of putin's favourite bands. Note how they sing in military uniforms from the WW2, a common style in 2020s. /2
Notice: in 1991, russia asked the U.S. to send military food rations to feed russian population. And yet they demanded territory from the U.S. In 2014, weeks after russia has occupied Crimea, another song "we have taken Sevastopol and Crimea, we will take Alaska" was published /3
In this weird song, russian kids wearing military uniforms sang: "The world is sick of the U.S. (in the song euphemistically called "the Hegemony"), Europe is lack of decision. Crimea and Sevastopol are ours, and we will bring Alaska back to the home harbour. If the last battle is coming, order us, uncle Vova (Vladimir Putin), we follow! (that is a direct rhyme to a Nazi song "Führer give orders, we follow") /4
In 2020s, billboards with slogans "Alaska is ours" started to appear in russia. Russia's official account on Twitter has published a photo with Vladimir Putin and a bear on Putin's birthday - using a photo from the Museum of Natural History in New York (Alaskan bear). /5 Image
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So yes, for Putin and his propagandists it is a great framework. They will start saying "Putin has never left russia, he went to russian land of Alaska, and Trump has acknowledged it". I bet, Putin will present something to Trump what can be seen in a weird way as a claim.
/6
Like some letter from russian settlers on Alaska to Czar where they reported that they have founded a colony in Alaska. On putin's web page they claim not only that Alaska was settled by russians, but that first Californian wine was produced by russians from russian grape. /7 Image
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So yes, it is a very fruitful framework for Putin. One can hardly imagine a better setting for russia. Putin will enjoy humiliating Trump and the U.S. Americans. Oh yes, he will enjoy each moment of this triumph. And you will not even notice how you will get humiliated.
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More from @sumlenny

Jun 1
Tu-95 strategic bombers, destroyed en mass today by Ukraine's FPV drones, are not only a backbone of russia's aviation. Tu-95 was designed in 1950s, with its NK-12 engines created by a Nazi SS colonel Ferdinand Brandner, a POW in the USSR. It is a flying diesel punk Nazi crap ⬇️ Image
Brandner was a Nazi engine designer, taken by the Soviets. He started to work for another genocidal regime, and has created the NK-12 engine, until today the largest turboprop engine. After his release in 1955, Brandner worked for antisemitic Egypt and for communist China. ⬇️
Tu-95 remains the only reliable plane for the russians, as it can carry a necessary payload of multiple cruise missiles (as many missiles fail by start, and 70-80% get shot down by Ukrainian AirDefense, russia depends on massive launches, so Tu-160 or Tu-22M cannot do this job)⬇️
Read 4 tweets
May 26
A brilliant Ukrainian scholar Valery Pekar nails it: as @realDonaldTrump says, #Putin went crazy, smth happened to him, he started killing people, this marks a core Western delusion about russia: "they are organically democratic and good, the current war is just a deviation". ⬇️
Too many Western decision takers, thinkers, multiplicators believe that russia is basically a democratic culture with great culture, and any terror phase is a sort of a "mental disease", a deviation which can be healed (for instance, by removing Putin and installing Navalny).⬇️
In reality, the opposite is true: being a genocidal empire is a natural, healthy condition for russia. The concept of russia was created in the 1700s exactly as a borderless, perpetually expanding body, built on terror. It can mimic democratic institutions but never adopts them⬇️
Read 5 tweets
Apr 15
THREAD What we witness now from the White House, is a clear smearing campaign aimed not only at @ZelenskyyUa but on Ukraine at whole. Zelensky is being used as a target, but with a goal to weaken Ukraine in whole, and to strengthen Moscow. Let me explain: 👇 Image
President @ZelenskyyUa was verbally attacked by President Trump many times, with the following four main accusation lines:
a) Zelensky is ungrateful
b) Zelensky is corrupt
c) Zelensky is a dictator
d) Zelensky has started the war / is interested in war.
Nothing is true. 2/x👇
@ZelenskyyUa President Zelensky has thanked the U.S. people dozens of times for the help provided. "Corruption" is a typical russian lie, used also by russia-friendly voices, who claimed with no proves that Ukraine-delivered arms were "stolen". But let us address other accusations 3/x👇 Image
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Read 9 tweets
Apr 14
Some thoughts on recent russian missile attacks on Ukrainian cities
1) russia is facing a huge and growing problem with its offensive slowing down, unsustainably high losses, and even some Ukrainian counter-offensive in Pokrovsk region;
2) russia uses two tactics to counter it:👇
3) First, russia starts "negotiations". The goal is to slow Ukraine down, to limit Ukrainian striking freedom (ban Ukrainian strikes on the Black Sea navy, on russian oil refineries etc.), while accumulating military power;
4) Second, russia increases PsyOps against Ukraine. 👇
4.1) russia's missile strikes on Ukraine's cities are demonstratively brutal: ballistic missiles with cluster munition warheads aiming civilians' gatherings, incl. children playgrounds;
4.2) at the same time, russia spreads false info that they have targeted military personnel👇
Read 6 tweets
Mar 3
THREAD: Ok, let us have a sober look at the U.S. - Ukraine - Russia - EU constellation. First: the U.S. - Ukraine agreement was not necessary for Ukraine. It was not necessary for the U.S. as well. It was necessary only for Trump, therefore he is vulnerable. Let me explain. /1
The "agreement" didn't provide Ukraine with anything. It was aimed on payment for the U.S. from Ukraine (and practically allowed the U.S. to mine Ukrainian resources on Russia-occupied lands). Trump needed it to prove that he is a great dealer. But why did Ukraine need it? /2
The agreement did not foresee any U.S. military support, guarantees, even "commitments". Ukraine paid retrospective for what they have got for free. So for Ukraine, it was a pure cost factor, for Trump - pure profit factor. And he needed it asap. Therefore - he was vulnerable. /3
Read 8 tweets
Jan 26
In four weeks, Feb. 23rd, Germany will have preliminary elections. In this THREAD I will try to explain what it is about, who would probably win, where are bottlenecks, and what it means for the world and for Ukraine. /1 ⬇️ Image
First, we need to understand: German electoral system is designed to dilute votes. No job higher than a city mayor gets elected directly. The reason is the Nazi past: no politician may claim being elected by the PEOPLE. So people vote for parties, and they name politicians. /2⬇️
So people vote for parties, and parties need 50%+1 vote to name a head of a region, or a chancellor. Normally, no party gets over 50%, so a coalition is needed (on a federal level, conservatives from the CDU under Adenauer have got 50,2% in 1957, but still formed a coalition)/3⬇️ Image
Read 28 tweets

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