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Aug 14 20 tweets 3 min read Read on X
1/ Russian commanders are able to commit crimes with impunity, according to a Russian commentator, because they can send witnesses to their deaths, obstruct investigators, and exploit the relative powerlessness of investigative bodies. ⬇️ 'Goodwin' and 'Ernest'
2/ Notorious cases such as the killing of two drone pilots (pictured above) by their commander after denouncing him for dealing drugs have gone unpunished. Russian warblogger Anastasia Kashevarova explains why criminal commanders are able to evade military justice:
3/ "Problems with inspections at the front: inaccessibility of the front line for the supervisory authorities, failure of the command to comply with the orders of the supervisory authorities, lack of authority of the supervisory authorities,…
4/ …priority of military command orders...

Unfortunately, war is accompanied by great feats and heinous crimes. It has always been this way, and it will always be this way.
5/ "The only question is whether the warring state fights against this or lets everything take its course.

During World War II, there were betrayals at the front, the transfer of information to the enemy, and the killing of one's own people; SMERSH dealt with all of this.
6/ "Now we do not have a structure that has real authority to combat war crimes or crimes committed by the military.

The current process of investigating and prosecuting crimes committed by the military is complicated by the following factors:
7/ "Problem 1: The prosecutor's office, the Department of Military Counterintelligence, and the Military Investigation Department do not always reach the front lines, where most violations of the rights of military personnel occur.
8/ "Even so, in most cases, the supervisory authorities do not go to the front line, but summon witnesses to themselves through the command. What does the command do? It sends all witnesses to the front line.
9/ "The probability that witnesses will return from the front line is negligible. Without witnesses and direct participants, it is impossible to prove anything.
10/ "Problem 2: On the orders of the commander of a soldier who went AWOL because of crimes committed against him, he is being taken back to his unit, away from the military investigation department and the prosecutor's office. Investigators and prosecutors can do nothing.
11/ "The only thing that can be done is to quickly transfer the soldier to another unit where he will actually fight without abuse and extortion.
12/ "Problem 3: The military very often does not hand over those who have committed a crime. For example, this was the case in the Korenevsky district of the Kursk region, when some soldiers were caught on camera looting.
13/ "Prosecutors arrived, but they were not handed over, as there was no one else to fight and no one would remove them from the front line. There have also been cases where non-military personnel took up arms and refused to hand over soldiers to investigators.
14/ "Problem 4: Supervisory bodies have no real authority and are deprived of any independence. Their instructions are often not followed; moreover, those who turn to the military police or the prosecutor's office for protection are beaten up by the sabotaging command.
15/ "And the employees attached to a particular unit are sometimes involved and cover up for those who violate the charter and the law.
16/ "What is needed here is an analogue of SMERSH; there is no need to invent anything, everything has already been invented before us. A serious separate structure with real powers will quickly restore order in the army.
17/ "This will restore justice and increase the desire to fight, so that soldiers will understand what they are fighting for and why they are going to die.
18/ "As it stands, there is a lack of discipline and justice on the front lines, the law has been lost there, no one lives by the rules, and moral decay is taking place in the ranks of the Russian Armed Forces, all of which leads to a decline in morale.
19/ "And no amount of money will make people really fight for their country if there is no justice and a greater likelihood of dying at the hands of their own side than at the hands of the enemy.

Restoring order in the army is the top priority." /end

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More from @ChrisO_wiki

Aug 14
1/ Russia's recent creation of a salient north of Pokrovsk has been met with dismay by the Ukrainians, but with a surprising degree of caution from Russian warbloggers. They caution that it's an extended meat assault with an uncertain chance of success. ⬇️ Image
2/ Roman Saponkov writes:

"Given the successes near Pokrovsk, I would still recommend waiting a little longer. As it turned out, reserves were withdrawn from there to another important direction."
3/ "But if nothing happens, it is a very good sign that they have learned to operate in conditions of drone warfare and a positional stalemate."

'DONTSTOPWAR' is similarly cautious:
Read 34 tweets
Aug 13
1/ The Trump Administration is reportedly planning to cooperate with Russia in exploiting rare earth minerals in occupied regions of Ukraine. It is also said to be planning to offer Russia the chance to exploit Alaska's mineral resources and to ease aviation sanctions. ⬇️ Image
2/ The Daily Telegraph newspaper reports that the US Treasury Secretary, Scott Bessent, has been presenting ideas on US-Russian economic cooperation to Trump ahead of Friday's summit. They are said to include:
3/🔺 US-Russian cooperation on mining Ukrainian mineral deposits;

🔺 Lifting export bans on parts and equipment needed to service Russian aircraft;
Read 5 tweets
Aug 13
1/ The Times newspaper reports that the Trump Administration is planning to propose to Russia that the occupation of eastern Ukraine should be modelled on Israel's occupation of the West Bank, with Russia in full control but the borders remaining unchanged. ⬇️ Image
2/ According to a Times source, "It’ll just be like Israel occupies the West Bank. With a governor, with an economic situation that goes into Russia, not Ukraine. But it’ll still be Ukraine, because … Ukraine will never give up its sovereignty."
3/ "But the reality is it’ll be occupied territory and the model is Palestine."

The proposal is said to have been raised with the Russians by Trump's envoy Steve Witkoff, who is also the US Special Envoy to the Middle East.
Read 7 tweets
Aug 13
1/ The war in Ukraine has resulted in so many Russians joining war industries, the army, dying or being crippled that the Russian government needs to import millions of Indians and North Koreans to replace them. Ordinary Russians aren't keen, calling them unhygenic or robotic. ⬇️ Image
2/ Russian Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin recently admitted that the country is currently experiencing a drastic shortage of labour, due to "the consequences of the demographic collapse and the movement of workers to the military-industrial complex".
3/ Russia is forecast to be short of 2 million workers by 2030, particularly in the trade, healthcare and manufacturing sectors. An official of the Agency for Strategic Initiatives says that a shortage of construction workers could mean that housebuilding will cease in 5-7 years.
Read 21 tweets
Aug 13
1/ A retired Russian paratrooper says that "half-dead" Russian soldiers are being sent back to the front line in handcuffs after being denied medical treatment or examinations. He complains that Putin should be conscripting foreign migrants rather than Russians. ⬇️
2/ The man, who identifies himself as Sergei from the Lipetsk region of Russia, has recorded a pair of videos complaining about the way in which the 98th Airborne Division (military unit 65451) is treating its men. He sarcastically calls it the "98th Penal Battalion".
3/ "Our valiant soldiers are being shoved into buses half dead and taken to the front lines. That's the morality of the shit commander... Why is this done by the leadership? It is not only the Airborne Forces, it is everywhere, in all directions.
Read 18 tweets
Aug 12
1/ Elderly Russians are going to war with the explicit intention of getting killed so that their family get a 5 million ruble ($68,800) compensation payment. It's too much even for Russian warbloggers, who complain about how pointless this is. ⬇️
2/ Very elderly men – as old as 72 years – have been signing up, and dying, in disproportionate numbers. Not surprisingly, they do not make good soldiers, as the thread linked below discusses.
3/ 'Pioneer of the Reserve' writes:

"I want to talk about some sad but true things. Things that might affect people in the spotlight, but that's okay."
Read 26 tweets

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