David Tepper has achieved a 28% annual return over the past two decades.
It's one of the best contrarian investors, he was right about Alibaba and now he has a new bet
Let me tell you about it🧵
Tepper left Goldman Sachs in 1992 and founded Appaloosa Management in 1993 with $57 million in capital
Appaloosa Management is renowned for its strong performance, particularly in distressed debt investing. Since its inception in 1993, the fund has reportedly compounded at an average annual return of over 25% for much of its history.
By 2010, it was reported that Appaloosa had returned $12.4 billion to clients since inception, ranking it among the top hedge funds for total client returns. This figure reflects returns up to 17 years after its founding.
His Strategy
Buy when others are fearful: “There comes a point where prices are so cheap that you just have to buy.”
Focus on Distressed Assets
Concentration over diversification
Notable stock-buying moments:
Early 1990s: Argentina’s Economic Collapse
1998: Russia’s Financial Meltdown
2001: After the dot-com bubble burst, many tech and telecom companies were in distress.
Move: Tepper invested heavily in distressed bonds of companies like MCI and Conseco, then pivoted to equities as they rebounded.
Result: Appaloosa posted a 61% return in 2001, a year when most funds struggled
2009: Post-Financial Crisis
Move: U.S. banking sector on its knees after the 2008 crash, Tepper invested billions in distressed stocks and bonds of major banks like Bank of America and Citigroup
Result: Appaloosa scored a staggering $7 billion profit in 2009, achieving a 120% return net of fees
2022: China....He added Alibaba and became one of the largest shareholders the stock has a massive bull run from $70 to $145
2025: United Health…
David has increased his $UNH position by 1,300%; it is now his second-largest holding and is close to Alibaba, which has been his largest bet recently.
Data from @gainify_io
He has sold 100% of Apple
New positions:
I'm a huge fan of David; he was 100% correct about Alibaba. The stock price generated modest wealth during 2022 and 2025, experienced significant volatility, remains undervalued, and is one of the most hated companies among investors.
At some point, the stock will become extremely hated and too cheap to ignore. Alibaba was trading close to its book value per share in 2023, then in 2024 and early 2025, and David seized the opportunity, creating significant wealth.
UnitedHealth is facing a similar experience, and it looks like he has spotted an opportunity there as well.
Thanks for reading
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- Company its expanding
- Insiders are buying
- Boring businesses
Today, the company is worth $6 billion, operates in over +75 countries, runs one of the biggest payment processing companies in the world, and has a strong presence in hospitality.
The stock has grown at 18% per year, delivering over 130% in returns in 5 years (IPO in Jun 2020).
Here are a few reasons why I consider it a buy:
1) It's a boring business than operating in multiple industries like hospitality, gaming, casinos, hotels, and e-commerce, yet it's still growing, expanding, and adding new features.
The company generates over $100 million from subscription revenue and is expecting to add more venues in the coming years.
90% of the revenue comes from processing payment fees
2) Anyone who runs a restaurant knows the system is usually a nightmare when you have to deal with multple companies. However, Shift4 offers everything together, from inventory management, table management, payments, and kitchen orders.
Even the new Tesla restaurant is using their system, and you will see more and more Venues using Shift4
Every single time a customer pays, Shift4 makes money
Dev Kantesaria - Valley Forge Capital has one of the best porfolios out there
He has beat the market since 2008 with less than 10 stocks
Fair Isaac Corporation $FICO
S&P Global Inc. $SPGI
Mastercard Incorporated $MA
Visa Inc. $V
Intuit Inc. $INTU
ASML Holding N.V. $ASML (He bought at $780)
Equifax Inc. $EFX (He bought at $250)
MSCI Inc. $MSCI (He bought at $600)
I would add $AMZN or $MELI to his portfolio and leave it there for the next 10 years.
$MSCI is a company he recently added, and he will probably DCA in the coming months or years.
The CEO is also buying, and the company has strong margins.
All chart are from @gainify_io
$INTU is the largest tax software company in the US. The company experiences 10 to 15% corrections periodically, creating opportunities to buy.
Copart, Inc. $CPRT is an undervalued large cap that everyone should know about.
Copart dominates the online vehicle auction
The stock has grown at 28% per year, delivering over 1015% returns in 10 years.
(See thread) 🧵
The salvage and vehicle auction industry is a critical component of the automotive and remarketing ecosystem, focused on the resale and recycling of totaled, damaged, and end of life vehicles.
This market is estimated to be worth $30–35 billion annually, with North America (especially the U.S.) accounting for the largest share approximately $15 to 18 billion.
Copart, in particular, owns roughly 90% of its 19,000+ acres across 240+ global facilities. It also operates its own transport fleet, logistics, and towing services, providing superior speed and cost control in moving vehicles.
Small cap stocks often lag during recessions due to their vulnerability to tight credit and economic weakness but tend to outperform significantly in recoveries, capitalizing on attractive valuations and domestic economic rebound
Here are the 10 small cap stocks that have outperformed the S&P 500 for the last 10 and 20 years:
1. AAON, Inc. $AAON:
they build heating and air-conditioning units used by factories, data centers, offices, schools, supermarkets, and more
Here are my top five picks with the highest short squeeze potential.
1. $RKLB short interest 15% 2. $HIMS short interest 30% 3. $TMDX short interest 24% 4. $ASTS short interest 28% 5. $JOBY short interest 15%
Bonus
$OSCR short interest 12%
$ROOT short interest 13.48%
1) If $RKLB reports a profit, the short sellers will file for bankruptcy. 2) If $HIMS reaches 5 million subscribers, it would be unstoppable. 3) $TMDX is an essential business; it cannot be stopped. In a good or bad economy, it will continue to make money. 4. $ASTS has massive potential, with Google and AT&T holding significant stakes, and it’s Google’s largest position. 5) $JOBY is receiving significant support from Toyota, one of its largest investors. Toyota’s biggest positions are $GRAB and $JOBY, both worth over $1 billion.
Bonus: $OSRC and $ROOT have a massive revenue growth and both companies have been improving margin every single quarter, Oscar founder added in November last year