Artur Rehi Profile picture
Aug 15 7 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Putin, in calling for new negotiations, is counting on Trump to pause sanctions and pressure Ukraine. This is the sole purpose of the meeting in Alaska, and once again Trump has fallen for the same old bait. While Trump delays new sanctions in the hope of striking a deal with
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dictator Putin, the EU is already working on a new sanctions package that could be introduced as early as September. During the informal meeting of EU foreign ministers in the “Gymnich” format on August 29–30 in Copenhagen—an event traditionally held every six months by the
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presiding EU member state—the 19th package of sanctions against Russia will be discussed at the ministerial level for the first time. This was revealed, under condition of anonymity, by a diplomat from one of the EU member states in Brussels who is familiar with the planned
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agenda. “During the informal Gymnich meeting in Copenhagen at the end of August, the foreign ministers will discuss a new package of sanctions against the Russian Federation,” the diplomat said. He specified that the meeting agenda will include a separate item dedicated to
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“increasing pressure on Russia, in particular through sanctions and countering Russia’s shadow fleet.” “The European Commission, and in particular the European External Action Service, is currently working on the draft of the 19th sanctions package,” the source told.
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The Gymnich meeting is an informal gathering of the foreign ministers of EU member states, held every six months in line with the rotating EU Council presidency since 1974. Ministers hold frank, closed-door discussions without the presence of aides.
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The meeting format takes its name from the first such event, which took place at Gymnich Castle in Germany.
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More from @ArturRehi

Aug 13
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky rules out the possibility of withdrawing Ukrainian troops from the unoccupied part of Donetsk region as a precondition for a complete ceasefire. “We will not leave Donbas. We cannot do that. For the Russians, Donbas is a bridgehead for a
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future new offensive. A few years – and Putin will have an open path to Zaporizhzhia and Dnipropetrovsk regions. And not only that. Also to Kharkiv. Right now, they want to give them about 9,000 square kilometers, which is about 30% of the entire Donetsk region (the size
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of the unoccupied territory – ed.), and this is a bridgehead for new aggression.” Zelensky confirmed that he referred to the Constitution during his conversation with Trump. “I am not going to surrender my country, because I have no right to do so. And the point is not that
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Read 5 tweets
Aug 13
Bad news is coming from the Pokrovsk direction, where Russian forces have broken through the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ defensive line and penetrated deep into the rear. The Russians are using small-unit tactics with groups of 3–5 men, which are difficult to track, in order to
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infiltrate behind the lines, set up ambushes, carry out sabotage operations, and sow confusion among Ukraine’s defenders. These small groups are very hard to detect, as they use random cover and cloaks to avoid thermal cameras. Their survival rate is very low—about 80% of
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the attackers are killed—but Ukraine is facing severe manpower shortages, and the defensive line has significant gaps. Fortifications are spaced hundreds of meters apart, and each may contain only a handful of soldiers. Ukraine is unable to close the breaches in the defense,
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Read 10 tweets
Aug 11
Putin is using Trump to achieve what he cannot accomplish militarily. The meeting in Alaska will most likely take place without Zelensky’s participation, because if Zelensky accepts the invitation and attends, the Russian side will refuse to take part. From Russia’s
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perspective, the Zelensky government is illegitimate, and a meeting between Putin and Zelensky would undermine that propaganda. According to insiders, Putin wants to secure control over Donbas, gain recognition of Crimea’s annexation, and achieve the removal of sanctions.
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Any territorial concessions would violate Ukraine’s constitution, and the Ukrainian government is unlikely to agree to them. Alaska was not chosen by accident—Putin fears his plane could be shot down by Ukrainians. Flying to Alaska via the North Pole offers him a route with
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Read 12 tweets
Aug 8
The United States has offered Putin the lifting of sanctions in exchange for a ceasefire in Ukraine, Onet reports. The Polish outlet claims its editorial team has obtained details of the proposal allegedly presented to Putin in Moscow by Trump’s special envoy, Whitkoff.
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According to Onet, the Kremlin would receive “a great deal” under this package if it agrees to negotiations. One of the key points, the outlet says, is Washington’s agreement to postpone the question of recognizing the Ukrainian territories seized by Russia for 49 or 99 years.
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De facto, this would mean their recognition for that period. Washington is also promising Moscow the lifting of most sanctions imposed over the war, as well as considering the possibility of resuming energy cooperation — specifically, oil and gas supplies from Russia. At the
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Read 8 tweets
Aug 6
The visit of Witkoff to Moscow will bring absolutely nothing. Trump is still not ready to exert real pressure on Putin. There is a very high probability that after the expiration of Trump’s latest “ultimatum” on August 8, no serious action will follow. It’s more likely that
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pressure will shift toward India, which could hurt Russia, as India—alongside China—remains one of the main importers of Russian oil. It is much harder to apply real tariff pressure on China—it could backfire spectacularly, as China could impose retaliatory tariffs, just
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like it did during the tariff war a few months ago. The problem is that Trump genuinely likes Putin—or more precisely, the image created by Russian propaganda: a strong, decisive leader who rules his country with an iron, authoritarian hand. That’s exactly what Trump aspires
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Read 8 tweets
Aug 5
Indian components continue to be found in Russian attack drones, said Andriy Yermak, Head of the Office of the President of Ukraine. "Unfortunately, we are discovering Indian components in Russian attack drones. These are drones used on the front lines and against civilians,
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specifically Shahed/Geran drones. Russia must be deprived of the ability to receive components from other countries to stop the killing of Ukrainians," Yermak noted on Telegram. He added that the purchase of Russian energy resources also amounts to financing the war, which
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does not contribute to peace. In the Hindustan Times article he referenced, it is reported that electronic components manufactured by Vishay Intertechnology and Aura Semiconductor—either assembled or produced in India—have been used by Russia in the production of Shahed-136
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Read 8 tweets

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