Thread: 1/ Trump Russia Alaska summit, reasons for optimism: the Telegraph reports @realDonaldTrump will offer Ukraine a NATO style US security guarantee, and Putin accepted this. IF true, a major step towards true, just peace archive.is/A159T
2/ Friends of Ukraine who have spoken to Trump seem encouraged today, including @lisamurkowski who said she was “cautiously encouraged” right after the summit and @Keir_Starmer who said good things this morning “Trump brought us closer to peace”
3/ The summit did not go as well for Russia as reported. As the UK press pointed out, the scheduled lunch was canceled, the six hour window shortened to three, the post negotiation press conference was truncated. Putin refused a ceasefire and imo that is why he was cut off
4/ Psychologically Trump was flattered which blunted his anger but still annoyed not to solve it in one shot (security guarantee + ceasefire) HOWEVER, Putin accepting a US security guarantee is enough of a win to carry on, and is, again if true, a significant offer Ukraine needs
5/5 A detail maybe missed in most reports: @MELANIATRUMP @FLOTUS sent a personal handwritten letter via @POTUS delivered to Putin urging him to return Ukraine’s children. Everyone, right or left, should recognize and praise Melania’s wonderful advocacy for Ukraine. Melania is the most powerful advocate and ally that Ukraine has anywhere in the world. She is beloved in Kyiv and I can see exactly why. I do not think @realDonaldTrump would ignore the First Lady’s voice here. The fact he personally delivered her letter to Putin shows this, in my view.
US Security guarantees are the number one ask Ukraine has had from the beginning. @SecRubio @marcorubio was in the room and I trust his measured judgement and solid advice to Trump. If, again if, Trump really offers US security guarantees to Ukraine, it’s a big win for lasting peace. So I suggest everyone hold their fire and see how it falls out. Glory to Ukraine, and glory to her heroes. #СлаваУкраїні #ГероямСлава
@MELANIATRUMP @FLOTUS @POTUS UPDATE: UK PM @Keir_Starmer CONFIRMS this thread is correct. True US + European security guarantees for Ukraine!
“I welcome the openness of the United States, alongside Europe, to provide *robust security guarantees* to Ukraine as part of any deal.”
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1/ A free to read archive copy of WSJs profile on the far-right Minnesota psycho. He went to Bible college and was targeting abortion providers. The New York Times piece, next post, has a more chilling detail…
2/ The kill list Vance Boelter had included not only Dem politicians, (and only Dems) but abortion clinics, supporters and abortion doctors, not only in Minnesota but in a neighboring state too. “Doctors, community, business leaders, Planned Parenthood facilities”.
So he was far-right. But EXTREMISM is the problem here.
3/ And while it is often far right lunatics who do this stuff, they’re not always far right - sometimes they are far left, like the second grifter who tried to assassinate Trump on his golf course last year. Extremism itself is the problem. Refuse polarization.
A friend of mine suggested that Boelter had ‘donated to act blue’ - that sounds like social media disinformation, and is not reported anywhere that I have seen. Just because an account says “BREAKING”, and then puts up something that you want to believe, I would suggest that you ask them for a source. Here’s the Times piece (free).
I know it’s the end days of the election, but you should really read this article by @stuartpstevens. I am not kidding when I say it’s one of the best I’ve read in decades. Every single line, bullseye. #Harris. Comfortably. vanityfair.com/news/story/how…
3/ Expanding on this, we now have the early vote data. Atm I am tentatively giving Trump GA. Can't call NV. Trump looks to be ahead in AZ. All other battleground states I give Harris, that's purely on party registrations. HOWEVER, party is not the full story - gender counts too
2/ A few more Ukraine observations I will add to periodically. Russian telegram is full of milbloggers saying #Gerasimov saw the preparations for this incursion and told Putin it was disinformation, then pulled professional soldiers away from the entry point and sent them elsewhere. Ha ha ha.
Putin reportedly furious. I wish I could remember which X user posted “Gerasimov is about to become one of the fastest readers in history - 10 stories a second” 😆
3/ Last month’s reported degradation and isolation of Shoigu, done in typical Russian fashion by arresting multiple of his lieutenants and allies, cheered on by Gerasimov, is now mirrored by Putin’s rage at Valery. But what Kremlin doing?
THREAD 1/,Biggest winners from Prigozhin vs Putin are, in this order, Western intelligence and Ukraine.
As I have often observed here, reluctantly, the USIC doesn’t want Putin removed. Too many poorly secured nukes, and a competent, less weakened and truly ideological… https://t.co/lj7h6CF0uAtwitter.com/i/web/status/1…
2/ Russia’s most effective fighting force, Wagner, is destroyed. Morale is shattered. A pernicious, evil torturer who subverted a US election is exiled and possibly a dead man walking. Score one for Western intelligence and another one for @DefenceU.
3/ Contrary to Vatnik Twitter, USIC do not foment coups in Russia. But there’s nothing stopping, say, Budanov, from feeding intensely damaging misinformation to both Prigohzin and Shoigu camps, welcoming both sides to Juarez. Not saying this happened, but it might have
2/ Harri @Harri_Est, kicked out of @UkraineAidOps, was a “James Vasquez” who LIED about serving in @MoD_Estonia Special Forces, and, far worse, LIED that Estonia, a @NATO country, had a “squad wiped out” by Russia in Ukraine. Despicable #StolenValor
3/ Harri @Harri_Est was using morphine as a druggie on the road, waking Ukrainian babies by partying at one am, drinking and physically assaulting other volunteers when they asked him to stop. All on donor money 🤮. archive.ph/WxiZx 4/
I was in the Signal chat when this organization started and can absolutely say I left because my opinion was it did NOT HAVE “strong financial controls”. It was started with many Russian citizens and pro-Snowden, Wikilleaks etc people in the chat.
I had immense concerns about @Harri_Est and his Russian citizen friends, his Russian travel, plus a Portland grifter who admitted taking donor money for his pals, and those concerns extended to many people inside the group. I hope @IRSnews will look carefully at their accounts.
If you are a Ukrainian volunteer who has been attacking Vasquez but calling @Harri_Est, who imo loved the cameras, his Russian friends and blowing his own trumpet, “the real deal” have a word with yourselves. RELIABLE charity = @BackAndAlive