NYT: After the Alaska summit, Putin said the war’s ‘root causes’ lie in Russia’s lost Cold War status, not Ukraine.
He avoided calling it a war, referred to ‘the situation around Ukraine,’ and demanded a new European ‘security balance’ to restore Moscow’s global power. 1/
Putin linked today’s fighting to grievances first voiced in Munich 2007 and again in 2022: NATO expansion, loss of Moscow’s hegemony, and a world where Russia no longer sets the rules. 2/
This narrative casts Ukraine as a pawn in a Western plot. By refusing to name the war, Putin implies the real struggle is not territory, but Russia’s status against NATO and the US. 3/
Lavrov wore a ‘USSR’ sweatshirt in Alaska to underline Kremlin nostalgia.
Russian media praised Trump’s warm welcome of Putin and his remark that ‘Russia is No. 2 in the world’ as proof Moscow had regained great-power standing. 4/
Russian nationalist elites echoed the same theme. Senator Klishas said the summit confirmed Russia’s right to pursue its “special operation” while demanding a new European security architecture. 5/
Putin’s goal remains to rewrite the post-1991 order: push NATO out of Eastern Europe, bar Ukraine from membership, and regain recognition as a global equal alongside the US, like at Yalta in 1945. 6X
Former CIA Director Petraeus: Ukraine plans to produce 7 million drones this year, compared to roughly 300,000 in the US. It’s at the forefront of modern warfare.
If you want to see the future of war, come to Ukraine — on both sides, innovation is moving fast.
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Petraeus: Ukraine’s innovation is extraordinary. I’ve never seen anything like it. The speed at which new drone capabilities are deployed is remarkable.
It has helped offset Russia’s advantages — five times more manpower and an economy 10–15 times larger.
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Petraeus: In Ukraine, those who design, build, and use drones are the same people, working fast.
The US system is far more cumbersome. Ukraine is creating tomorrow’s tech for today’s war. We need to transform much of our force.
Former CIA Director Petraeus: I said from the start Russia would not take Kyiv. Others predicted it would fall in 3–5 days. Kyiv is a vast city with brave defenders.
It would be extremely hard to break in — and Ukraine’s actions denied Russia the airfield north of the capital.1/
Petraeus: The Budapest Memorandum was a major failure.
Ukraine gave up nuclear weapons in exchange for security assurances from the US, Russia, and the UK and those guarantees weren’t upheld. This is Ukraine’s war for independence — a fight for its very survival.
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Petraeus: US sanctions are under Senate review.
If paired with the EU’s 19th package and continued military support, the pressure could be strong enough to push Putin toward a ceasefire by the end of the year.
Angela Stent, Former National Intel Officer: Every time Witkoff claims progress on Ukraine, the next day Putin or Lavrov restate the same demands — withdrawal from Donbas and “denazification”.
They also cite an “Anchorage formula” no US official confirms. It’s obfuscation. 1/
Stent: Russia's negotiations are entirely performative.
They follow Soviet and post-Soviet tactics: negotiate to create a process and wear people down. Putin wants to humor Trump to avoid more punitive actions from the US administration. 2X