Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Aug 18, 2025 7 tweets 2 min read Read on X
NYT: After the Alaska summit, Putin said the war’s ‘root causes’ lie in Russia’s lost Cold War status, not Ukraine.

He avoided calling it a war, referred to ‘the situation around Ukraine,’ and demanded a new European ‘security balance’ to restore Moscow’s global power. 1/ Image
Putin linked today’s fighting to grievances first voiced in Munich 2007 and again in 2022: NATO expansion, loss of Moscow’s hegemony, and a world where Russia no longer sets the rules. 2/
This narrative casts Ukraine as a pawn in a Western plot. By refusing to name the war, Putin implies the real struggle is not territory, but Russia’s status against NATO and the US. 3/
Lavrov wore a ‘USSR’ sweatshirt in Alaska to underline Kremlin nostalgia.

Russian media praised Trump’s warm welcome of Putin and his remark that ‘Russia is No. 2 in the world’ as proof Moscow had regained great-power standing. 4/
Russian nationalist elites echoed the same theme. Senator Klishas said the summit confirmed Russia’s right to pursue its “special operation” while demanding a new European security architecture. 5/
Putin’s goal remains to rewrite the post-1991 order: push NATO out of Eastern Europe, bar Ukraine from membership, and regain recognition as a global equal alongside the US, like at Yalta in 1945. 6X

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More from @Mylovanov

Feb 15
Stalin expected to crush Finland in 10 days. It took 105 days and 400,000 Soviet casualties. He got 10% of Finnish territory.

Putin invaded Ukraine expecting a quick victory parade. 4 years later, Russia controls just 20% of pre-war Ukrainian territory — WP. 1/ Image
Stalin's USSR had 170 million people vs Finland's 3.5 million. A Soviet general told Stalin it would take 10 days max.

Molotov said Stalin wanted to celebrate his birthday "on the steps of Finland's Parliament in precisely 20 days." 2/
The war ended March 13, 1940 — over three months later with massive Soviet losses the Kremlin concealed.

Stalin had to settle for a fraction of what he wanted. Sound familiar? 3/
Read 9 tweets
Feb 15
Petraeus: This is Ukraine's greatest generation.

When the cessation of hostilities begins, we're going to see Ukraine as the greatest military industrial complex in the West, building an entirely new country focused on new technologies and new economic endeavors. 1/
Petraeus: Ukraine is producing tomorrow's technology for today's war. West produces yesterday's technology for tomorrow's wars. That's got to be changed dramatically.

They've got to overhaul that, bring it more up to date, to reflect how warfare is evolving on the ground, in the air and on the sea in Ukraine. 2/
Petraeus: What allies have got to do is not fall into the trap of buying legacy systems rather than buying what is the future of warfare. The place to see that is in Ukraine.

We‘ve got to learn how they have shortened the kill chain. It starts with new concepts for operations that turn into doctrine. 3X
Read 4 tweets
Feb 15
Rubio: The US and Europe are heirs to the same civilization.

From language to law to government, America is built on Western foundations. This alliance is not just military or commercial, it is civilizational. 1/
Rubio: When the US sounds critical about Europe, it is because we care. Our fate is intertwined with Europe’s. We want Europe to survive and prosper.

But this must be an alliance of partners willing and capable of fighting for who they are and what matters to them. 2/
Rubio: China is not the new Soviet Union. But there are parallels. Our future will be stronger if we address shared challenges together.

Great powers must maintain dialogue. It would be irresponsible not to talk and avoid unnecessary conflict. 3X
Read 5 tweets
Feb 15
Starmer: Europe is a sleeping giant. Our economies dwarf Russia’s — by more than 10 times over. We have enormous defense capabilities.

Europe has more than 20 types of frigates, around 10 types of fighter jets, over 10 types of main battle tanks. Meanwhile, the US has one. 1/
Starmer: Russia has made a huge strategic blunder in Ukraine. Russian casualties number well over a million.

But even as the war continues, Russia is rearming and reconstituting its armed forces and industrial base. 2/
Starmer: Even if a peace deal in Ukraine is struck, Russia’s rearmament would likely only accelerate. The wider danger to Europe would not end there. It would increase.

We must respond to this threat in full. 3/
Read 7 tweets
Feb 15
Rubio: The U.S. is not leaving NATO. We have thousands of troops deployed and may shift some forces, as we always have, but our commitment stands.

We welcome stronger NATO capabilities and greater influence from allies. That’s a positive, not a threat.

1/
Rubio: We don’t want Europe to be dependent on America. We’re not asking Europe to be a vassal, we want to be partners.

The stronger each country and NATO as a whole are, the stronger the alliance is.

2X
Source:
Read 4 tweets
Feb 15
Europe: “We’ll send peacekeeping troops to Ukraine.”

Voters: “No, you won’t.”

Politico: 53% of Germans oppose sending troops. 43% of French voters say no. Even if that risks a fragile ceasefire.

1/ Image
Only the U.K. and Canada show more support than opposition for sending troops to secure a postwar deal.

Western unity fractures when boots hit the ground.

2/
In the U.S., 43% oppose deploying troops to Ukraine. 37% support it.

That aligns with Trump’s position: no American forces will be sent.

3/
Read 6 tweets

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