Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Aug 18 6 tweets 1 min read Read on X
Zelenskyy is going to meet Trump with European leaders — Von der Leyen, Rutte, Macron, Starmer, Merz, Meloni, Stubb.

This is unprecedented. The goal is to show that Putin is trying to deceive Trump. 1/ Image
It is impossible to hand over Donbas to Putin — both military and constitutional reasons make this unfeasible.

Putin is making irrelevant and unacceptable demands to prolong the war. What’s needed now is a ceasefire and serious negotiations on a deal. 2/
Trump can hold this line against Putin, and eventually Putin will have to agree.

This means peace is possible and even likely, but Putin will resist. Another 6–10 months may be required. 3/
All of Putin’s demands — restoring the Russian church, making Russian an official language, limiting the size of Ukraine’s army — are unacceptable.

The people reject them, and Putin knows it. They have nothing to do with peace. 4/
I remain optimistic about progress. Putin tried to push Ukraine and Europe out of the talks, but failed. Trump will balance between Putin, the EU, and Ukraine, seeking middle ground. 5/
The only viable middle ground, in the view of many around me, is freezing the current front line and providing Ukraine with guarantees and support to hold it. This is similar to what happened in Korea. 6X

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More from @Mylovanov

Aug 19
Merz: Russia’s demand that Kyiv give up the free parts of Donbas is like asking the US to give up Florida.

No one should force Ukraine into territorial concessions. Ukraine itself must decide this in the course of negotiations. 1/
Merz: The U.S., coordinated with Europe, is ready to provide security guarantees for Ukraine. If a peace deal is reached, Ukraine will receive them. 2/
Merz: I believe Trump was impressed that Europeans spoke with one voice. That mattered to me.

We spent hours preparing this meeting, and I wasn’t sure it would go so well. It could have gone differently, but my expectations were exceeded. 3/
Read 4 tweets
Aug 19
Concrete outcomes after Zelenskyy’s meeting with Trump, Interview

1. Security
2. Trump called Putin. Russia proposed: 1) Ukraine–Russia next 2) Trilateral
3. Return of children — thanks that Melania is on our side
4. “All for all” exchange — Trump will personally help
1/
Zelenskyy: Ukraine is ready for any formats, without preconditions. We want the war to end, not just pause.

2/
Zelenskyy: This was the first opportunity to talk to Trump about such things.

We showed: in 1000 days the Russian army captured less than 1%.

For us the focus is on truth and reality — this shows the balance of strength between Russia and Ukraine.
3/
Read 9 tweets
Aug 19
CNN asked me for my perspective on yesterday’s meeting at the White House.

Q: How important were European leaders with Zelenskyy at the WH today?

Me: Very important.

1. It precluded unraveling of the meeting.

2. It gave gravity to Ukraine’s position. 1/
It’s not just Zelenskyy but European leaders too. That puts Trump in a better position to negotiate with Putin.

European leaders were there to talk about security guarantees if there would be peace. 2/
What's your reaction to Trump’s post: stopping the war is on Zelenskyy, Crimea is a nonstarter, NATO is off the table?

Those are Putin’s goals. He wants to subdue Ukraine completely.

Ukrainian reactions are on 3 levels: pragmatic, justice-based, and emotional. 3/
Read 5 tweets
Aug 19
Trump: We need to discuss possible land swap.

Only Zelenskyy and people of Ukraine can make that decision.

I’ll set up a meeting with Putin for Zelenskyy.

1/
Macron: Maybe we need four-side meeting: US, Russia, Ukraine, and Europe.

This is a question of security of the whole Europe.

Europe needs strong Ukrainian army.

2/
Merz: I cannot imagine the next meeting on Ukraine without a ceasefire, so let's work on that.

We need to preasure Russia. Ceasfire and future talks depend on it.

3/
Read 4 tweets
Aug 19
Rutte: Today it was clear only Ukraine’s president will discuss territory with Putin. For Ukraine to consider this, the US, Europe and others need clarity on security guarantees.

A breakthrough is the US agreeing to join, with its level of involvement to be discussed. 1/
Rutte: Trump sent lethal weapons to Ukraine paid by Europeans, put tariffs on India, pushed security guarantees, planned virtual meeting with leaders, got Putin to agree to meet Zelenskyy before the trilateral.

A very successful day toward ending the war. 2/
Rutte: Led by Starmer and Macron, 30 countries including Japan and Australia worked on security guarantees after a ceasefire or peace deal.

The US now wants in, details soon. Guarantees are key for Ukraine to decide on territory and stop Putin from invading again. 3/
Read 5 tweets
Aug 19
FT: Ukraine offers $100bn weapons deal to Trump paid by Europe to secure US guarantees after a peace deal.

America would “sell, not give” arms. Kyiv also pitched a $50bn drone-production partnership with American firms. 1/ Image
Other details of the Ukraine's proposal:

Ukraine seeks at least 10 Patriot air-defence systems plus missiles and equipment to protect its cities and infrastructure.

Kyiv officials shared the proposals with Trump and European allies before the White House meeting. 2/
Ukraine rejects Putin’s Alaska offer to freeze the frontline if it withdraws from Donetsk and Luhansk.

The document warns Russia would use that foothold to push toward Dnipro and continue its offensive. 3/
Read 6 tweets

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