Alex גדעון בן װעלװל Profile picture
Aug 18 13 tweets 3 min read Read on X
The thing I would like for those who fixate on destroying Israel to understand is that this idea is corrosive. Not for Israel, but for the people who hold it. Incoming thread. Image
1) It is not feasible. You can invoke apartheid South Africa all you want to insult Israel. That regime came down with the collaboration of the whites. They had no memory of genocide. No memory of mass expulsion. No memory of forcible assimilation.
Israel, by contrast, is nothing like South Africa or French Algeria or you name it. The country has no parallels on this planet. Nobody has gathered a global diaspora and revived a language. Nobody has faced annihilation so frequently and come back from the brink.
Israelis would and do violently oppose the dismantling of their state. Even the most left wing among them who still have a relationship to reality understand it would be October 7 on a bigger scale.
Fundamentally, those who seek to dismantle Israel do not understand what makes it a strong and durable society. Their thinking about it is two dimensional. Their warped moralism, seeking the annihilation of a society, clouds their judgement.
2) I don't know if it is the cause of bad thinking or the symptom of it, but this unwillingness to engage with reality is what is so corrosive.

The societies that fixate on destroying Israel suffer because of it.
They don't have an accurate grasp of reality. Information that contradicts their preferred Israel narrative is simply ignored or spun.

Iran is an instructive example.
The Iranian regime has spent tens of billions of dollars destabilizing Lebanon, Yemen, the Palestinian territories, etc... all in the name of destroying Israel. It was a good tool for building their regional influence. But they drank their own kool aid.
When the war Iran had been building towards was started by their proxies in Gaza and expanded by their proxies in Lebanon Iran thought they had the upper hand.

It never seriously occurred to them that the violence they export could come to their lands.

But it did.
Israel’s strikes devastated Iran’s missile and nuclear infrastructure, wiped out key military and scientific leadership, reduced their oil revenue, and left Iran isolated. Allies like China and Russia sat on the sidelines while Israel won a war in 12 days.
What does the Iranian regime have to show for this effort? A crippled nuclear program, shattered missile sites, dead commanders, oil exports declining, global isolation, mass arrests at home, water shortages, blackouts, and a society pushed deeper into dysfunction.
It is the Iranian people who suffer because of the delusions of their regime. As I write this the Iranians are seeking to rebuild their terrorist network and beef up their missile capabilities. They learned nothing because they continue to be fixated with a self-destructive idea.
Israel is not going anywhere. More to the point, the people who cannot accept this are condemning themselves, their societies, and their descendants to worse lives. Broaden your imagination. Abandon ideas of destruction. Not for Israel, but for yourselves.

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More from @JewishWonk

Aug 11
There is a fierce argument happening in Israel and across the Jewish world on whether to continue the war in Gaza or cut a deal to get the hostages home and end the war. I'd like to explain why I am in the end the war camp. Thread.
1) The war that Hamas started when they invaded Israel on 10/7 to rape, murder, and kidnap Israelis saw Israel develop two overarching war goals:

-Return the hostages
-Destroy Hamas as a political and military org

These two goals are in tension.
2) Israeli security leaders increasingly assess the two goals are not achievable at the same time. More explicitly, the ones who have retired and can speak freely say there is no more to achieve with warfare and that a deal is necessary.
timesofisrael.com/on-the-precipi…
Read 30 tweets
Aug 4
The interests and constraints preventing a conclusion of the war in Gaza, a thread.
1) Hamas still has hostages they kidnapped on 10/7.

Every day they remain captive, Hamas keeps leverage. It stalls ceasefire talks, splits Israel’s war cabinet and society, and keeps the war alive. The longer they hold them, the more volatile Israeli politics becomes.
2) Hamas planned a media strategy, not a viable military way to win against Israel.

Their goal was to provoke a massive Israeli response. They wanted to ignite the region, collapse normalization deals, and position themselves as the political leaders of the Palestinian cause.
Read 10 tweets
Jul 29
Some thoughts on the French initiative to recognize a Palestinian state, the UK's threats to join, and the second order effects of this.
1) We see headlines along the lines of "France to recognize Palestine." Their diplomacy is actually more ambitious. They are lobbying for coordinated EU or international recognition, aiming to give diplomatic weight to the idea of a Palestinian state even as war continues in Gaza
2) The French initiative is not particularly realistic if taken at face value. It doesn’t create borders, unify Palestinian leadership, or disarm Hamas

It bypasses a core problem: there is no functioning Palestinian state and no Palestinian consensus on what one would look like
Read 16 tweets
Jul 29
I am tired of bad arguments and I am especially tired of Jon Stewart and Peter Beinart, two pet Jews for people who hate us.

Here's some actual arguments about what is happening in Gaza that are much harder to dismiss with semantic debates about antisemitism, a thread.
1) Hamas has ruled Gaza since 2007 when it violently took over.

It has received billions in aid meant for schools, hospitals, and basic infrastructure. Instead, Hamas built a vast underground tunnel network, stockpiled weapons, and turned Gaza into a launchpad for war.
2) Hamas deliberately embeds itself among civilians, a violation of international law. It stores rockets in mosques, UN schools, and hospitals. It uses human shields as military strategy. This is documented by international bodies and openly admitted by Hamas leaders.
Read 12 tweets
Jul 15
I don't really believe this matters in the NYC mayoral race, but I do want to talk about the intifada, since most of my Jewish American peers have only been encountering this term for the last two years.
For some background for those unfamiliar with me, I am a Soviet born Jew. After the fall of the Soviet Union most of my extended family fled to Israel. Growing up in the 90s and 2000s I would spend my summers in Israel with my cousins.
People forget this now, but in the first election that Russian speaking Jews voted in was the 1992 one where a large plurality voted for Rabin.

Russian Jews didn't really know the politics of Israel at that point. They were fresh off the boat.
Read 12 tweets
Jul 9
Very often the conversation about antisemitism on this website is about abstractions and tweets and public statements. I want to talk about a recent incident to ground this in real world stakes and flesh out some of my thinking.

Specifically an attempt at a pogrom back in April Image
Leftists, in response to a perceived grievance against far-right Zionists, sought to incite a mob against the non-Zionist Hasidic community in Crown Heights. They used wildly overheated language like the below to whip up a mob. Image
The reason why you may not be familiar with this incident is because the mayor of New York deployed the police in large numbers to keep the mob away from where the bulk Hasidic Crown Heights lives.

It ended, to my knowledge, with no physical violence occurring.
Read 12 tweets

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