1/4 If Trump truly believes Putin wants peace, he’s a huge idiot.
If he doesn’t, he’s a traitor helping Putin.
Putin has zero incentive to stop the war—he hasn’t achieved his goals, isn’t close, and faces no real pressure from the West, especially from the Trump administration
2/4 Putin believes time is on his side. He thinks he’ll outlast Western support for Ukraine and get a better deal later.
Trump’s behavior reinforces that belief.
Instead of pressuring russia, Trump pressures Ukraine—trying to force it into a bad, unfair deal
3/4 As @Podolyak_M said:
“11 years of russian invasion have taught us that neither the most optimistic nor the most pessimistic scenarios ever come true.”
The same applies to negotiations.
Trump’s lack of leverage on Ukraine helps prevent a forced bad deal