Hodges: Trump shows none of the leadership attributes expected, takes no responsibility, always brags “I did this, I did that.” Around cagey old political leaders, it only makes him look weaker. European leaders should not be intimidated by him. 1/
Hodges: Trump has a reputation of backing down, so talk of security guarantees lacks weight. Few believed him when he said Putin wants peace. Putin wants peace, but only on his terms. Zelenskyy and European leaders know the situation in Ukraine isn’t as bad as portrayed. 2/
Hodges: Trump thinks talks alone can solve this, as if it were a simple deal, not cultural and historical issues. His approach was doomed since he won’t acknowledge that Russia is the aggressor. History shows even the “no cards” side can win. 3/
Hodges: Trump wants to skip the ceasefire and go straight to peace, but no one believed Russia would live up to it. The challenge is who provides the guarantee, their mission, rules of engagement. Russians would test it. A ceasefire would help reach a long-term solution. 4/
Hodges: Zelenskyy insisted talks be at the leader level, not with deputies. Macron added a quadrilateral for European security so Europe isn’t sidelined. Hope Germany and others keep investing in Ukraine’s defense industry. 5/
Hodges: Trump has always leaned toward Russia. Zelenskyy knows the U.S. can’t be relied on alone — Europe must act more. Ukraine’s success and Russia returning to its borders serve our interests. Zelenskyy questions why the U.S. suggests giving up unconquered territory. 6/
Hodges: I thought Rubio was the only responsible, thoughtful cabinet pick, with Senate experience. Disappointed he fully backs Trump, but he’s emerging as the leader on big foreign policy issues — Ukraine, Europe, alliances, China, Iran. 7X
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
French baker Loïc Nervi bakes bread in Troyeshchyna, Kherson, and Kramatorsk. Locals call him Vitalik.
Since the start of Russia’s full-scale invasion, he has been baking bread for elderly people in frontline and hard-hit areas, writes Hromadske. 1/
He is 43. In France’s Var region, he owns four bakeries and leads a team of 25 people. At home, his wife and two daughters, aged 7 and 9, wait for him. 2/
In March 2022, he went to the Polish-Ukrainian border. Then to Kherson, Sumy, Kharkiv, Zaporizhzhia, Chernihiv, Fastiv, and Kramatorsk. This is now his tenth mission to Ukraine. 3/
Former Ukraine PM Arseniy Yatsenyuk: The position of the American administration is to avoid involving the EU in negotiations with Russia on Ukraine.
Zelenskyy performed here to the maximum — everything that could be said and everyone that could be met, he did it. 1/
Yatsenyuk: We have to prepare for the next winter. Russia caused $65B in damage to Ukraine's energy sector.
Without long-range missiles, without Tomahawks, without Ukraine having the ability to retaliate, we will not be able to ensure energy security for the next year. 2/
Yatsenyuk: Starmer's statement is very clear. Even if a peace agreement is signed — Great Britain, the EU, and everyone else must continue funding Ukraine's defense.
He is saying that even if a peace agreement is signed, Russia will continue preparing for the next offensive. 3/
Ben Shapiro: Russia has never quite entered Europe; it’s existed on the fringes. As Dugin says, “Atlanticist” ideas aren’t Russian ideas.
Integrating Russia into Europe has been a failed experiment. Europe and the U.S. must uphold shared values to sustain their alliance. 1/
Ben Shapiro: The Germans and the French fought for centuries. The French and the English fought for centuries.
The Roman Empire was its own civilization; outlying areas were “barbarians.” After Rome fell rose Christendom, ended by the Reformation and the Peace of Westphalia.
2/
Ben Shapiro: Civilizations define themselves internally and against others. Rome was not only what was under its sway, but in opposition to German, Assyrian, Persian armies.
Christendom was forged in opposition to Islam, which spread deep into Europe, even into France.
Zelenskyy: Ukrainians will never forgive me or the US if we cede Donbas to Putin.
Ukrainian people will reject peace deal that involves Ukraine unilaterally withdrawing from eastern Donbas and turning it over to russia — Axios. 1/
Main sticking point in Geneva talks is control of Donbas. Around 10% still in Ukrainian hands.
US mediators proposed Ukrainian forces withdraw from parts they hold and allow area to become demilitarized "free economic zone." Washington has not taken position on sovereignty. 2/
Russian delegation has new leader: Putin adviser Vladimir Medinsky. Zelenskyy worries russian delegation will try to turn talks into meet and greet to buy more time.
Zelenskyy: "Medinsky likes to philosophize about historical roots. We don't have time for all this shit." 3/
FT: Zelenskyy at Munich said he'd hold elections but only after two months of ceasefire and with security guarantees in place.
He's pushing back hard on US pressure to hold votes by May 15. 1/
Washington wants elections and a peace deal by mid-May, with security guarantees contingent on the broader settlement. Kyiv insists security guarantees must come before any peace deal is signed. 2/
White House is pressing — “hold presidential elections and a referendum on any peace deal by May 15 or risk losing US security guarantees entirely.” That's the ultimatum hanging over Zelenskyy in Munich. 3/
Xi Jinping purged 5 of 6 generals in China's top military body over past three years. He reaches back to Maoist tactics of "rectification."
Only two members left in Central Military Commission: Xi and Vice Chairman who oversees purges — The NYT. 1/
In January, Xi called on China to remember Yan'an, where Mao transformed guerrilla fighters into disciplined force through campaign of political terror that eliminated rivals and cemented his absolute authority. 2/
Last year 983,000 officials punished for violating party rules — highest number on record.
John Garnaut, Garnaut Global founder: "Xi believes he needs to build foundation of absolute ideological unity and personal loyalty for future battles." 3/