The Icahnist Profile picture
Aug 21 6 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Blackstone is putting BILLIONS into the most disruptive shift of our lifetime

The Energy Transition

The Playbook⬇️
We’re in the middle of a once-in-a-century shake-up:

Data centers + AI are sucking power like never before.

EVs & electrification are stressing old grids.

Governments are throwing money at decarbonization.

It’s chaotic, expensive, and full of opportunity
How Blackstone plays it

David Foley (head of BETP) runs it with 3 simple rules:

1. Back the best people → If management isn’t A+, they fix it.

2. Stay in control → Board seats, staged funding, tight governance.

3. Be flexible → Markets change fast. They pivot themes as shocks hit (think AI power demand exploding overnight)
Where they invest

BETP IV ($5.6B) spreads across the energy system:

Software → Energy Exemplar (models electricity markets).

Hardware → Power Grid Components, Trystar, Sediver.

Infrastructure → Champlain Hudson (NYC transmission), Potomac hydrogen-ready plant.

Services → Shermco (grid maintenance), Legence, Geosyntec.
Deals that show the playbook

Energy Exemplar (2024)

SaaS that lets utilities simulate the grid.
Critical for renewables-heavy markets. ARR is scaling globally.

Power Grid Components

The boring-but-vital business: substations, safety gear. You can’t run EV chargers or AI data centers without this stuff.

Champlain Hudson Power Express

A 339-mile clean power line from Quebec to NYC. Delivers ~20% of NYC’s daily demand.

Blackstone wrangled financing, politics, and engineering to make it happen.

Shermco ($1.6B, 2025)
They test and maintain grid infrastructure. As assets age, this becomes mission-critical.

Blackstone is adding AI diagnostics + rollups to scale it.
The energy transition is the biggest reshuffle in decades

By building entire ecosystem from software to steel, Blackstone is making sure they’re on the winning side.

Blackstone’s strategy is simple: diversify across the grid, stay flexible, and back operators who can execute.

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More from @TheIcahnist

Aug 8
How to buy great businesses that nobody wants and make a fortune doing it.

Corporate orphans. Neglected divisions.

The Carve-Out Guide⬇️ Image
So… What’s a Carve-Out?

You’re buying a business from someone who doesn’t want it…

and selling it to someone who finally does.

Some giant conglomerate has a perfectly decent business, but they’ve got 87 divisions, 14 layers of management, and they forgot this one even existed.

You come in, offer a fair price (or maybe a little less), and voilà, you just bought a future IPO.
Why?

✅ Pay less than it’s worth
✅ You can actually improve the business
✅ Less competition
✅ The seller doesn’t care about optimizing value
✅ Most of Wall Street is too lazy to do the work

It’s like buying a used Ferrari from someone who thought it was a lawnmower.
Read 9 tweets
Aug 2
They analyzed 10,000+ PE deals.

54% of Private Equity value creation comes from one thing.

Let’s break it down⬇️ Image
Value Creation

Across all deals globally, value creation comes from:

-Revenue Growth: 54%
-Multiple Expansion: 32%
- Margin Expansion: 14%

In today’s high-rate regime, revenue growth is no longer optional.

It’s the core driver. Image
Multiples are Dead. Growth is King.

In 2019–21, multiple expansion drove 40–45% of returns.

In 2024? Just ~25%.

Revenue growth now drives 65–70% of total value creation. Image
Read 10 tweets
Aug 1
The Modern Rainmaker

From a kid in Texas to $30 BILLION AUM.

$20B+ in profits.

He built one of the most successful family offices ever.

The full arc of John Phelan’s story⬇️ Image
Dallas, 1986.

John Phelan graduates Phi Beta Kappa from SMU.

Economics. Political Science. Top of his class.

He has hunger for the game.

He heads to Goldman Sachs, Investment Banking Division.

Mentors; Hank Paulson. Byron Trott.
Sam Zell & Real Assets.

At the Zell-Merrill Lynch funds, he enters distressed real estate.

Sam Zell becomes a mentor.

He learns to buy hard assets when everyone else runs.

Quote from Zell: “Liquidity is oxygen. Everyone forgets until it’s gone.”

Phelan doesn’t forget.
Read 10 tweets
Jul 30
Private Equity Legend: 3i

The most legendary PE deal in Europe.

40% IRR. 15x MOIC

Thread Image
The Target

Action – a non-food discount retailer offering simple, functional products at ultra-low prices.

•~6,000 SKUs, 2/3 below €2
•Mass-market focus on convenience & affordability

Founded 1993. Low-margin, fragmented space.
The Deal

2011: 3i acquired Action for ~€650M at ~8x EBITDA

2019: Hellman & Friedman joins as minority investor.

2025: Valuation hits €21B.

15x MOIC (on invested capital)
40%+ IRR over 14 years

76% of 3i’s entire PE NAV
Read 7 tweets
Jul 27
Largest LBO Failure in History

In 2007, KKR & TPG bet on the “safest” asset class.

In reality, it was a ticking bomb.

The biggest PE bankruptcy ever.

Thread Image
TXU looked like a dream LBO:

- Largest coal power operator in Texas

- 3M retail customers

- $4B EBITDA

- Stable utility cash flows

KKR & TPG thought they’d locked in a “safe” annuity.

Instead, they set a ticking bomb.
Why they did it:

Bet on rising natural gas prices

Deregulated Texas market = growth

Monopoly-like infrastructure

Classic “steady cash flow + leverage” LBO profile

$44.3B EV, 8.5x EBITDA, $36B of debt.

It was supposed to be a cash-printing machine.
Read 9 tweets
Jul 19
Private Equity Legend: Ted Forstmann

- Buy a dying jet company.

- Make it the Rolex of aviation.

- Sell it for $5.5B.

Now every billionaire wants one. Image
The Opportunity

Gulfstream was once a pioneer in business aviation.

In 1990, it was stagnating:

- Aging aircraft models (GIII near end-of-life)

- Bloated org chart, low productivity

- Undifferentiated in an increasingly crowded market
- R&D cutbacks = innovation freeze
Forstmann’s Investment Philosophy

Forstmann didn’t believe in “junk bond LBOs.

He believed in:
- Low leverage
- Operational value creation
- Long-term compounding

Gulfstream wasn’t a buy-and-flip.

It was a buy-and-build-back-better.
Read 8 tweets

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