Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Aug 23 5 tweets 1 min read Read on X
Prigozhin expected to die days before his jet exploded in Aug 2023, The Guardian.

He told this to his mother two months after Wagner’s failed march on Moscow.

1/ Image
His mother Violetta said he never tried to topple Putin, only to pressure the generals. He stopped 120 miles from Moscow after Lukashenko’s calls, saying he wouldn’t kill conscripts.

Western intel says Putin ordered the onboard bomb that killed him.

2/
After Prigozhin’s death, the Kremlin seized Wagner, his Africa mining, catering empire, and bot farms.

Fighters moved into Russia’s new Africa Corps. His son Pavel, 27, was sidelined.

3/
Violetta beat EU sanctions in 2024 but still faces travel bans. She now runs a pro-war gallery in St. Petersburg, with a portrait of her son in Ukraine.

4X

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More from @Mylovanov

Aug 23
Ukrainian drone strikes in August hit at least 7 major Russian oil refineries, shutting down 4.

Over 10% of Russia’s refining capacity is offline, including key sites in Volgograd and Ryazan, two of the country’s largest plants — Moscow Times. 1/ Image
Carnegie’s Sergey Vakulenko warns Ukraine’s drone strikes could cause “irreparable” or “permanent” damage to Russian refineries.

Moscow imposed a full ban on gasoline exports to ease the fuel deficit, but demand at home remains unmet. 2/
Gasoline shortages hit regions like Crimea and Siberia, with AI-92 and AI-95 prices at record highs. Western sanctions worsen the crisis, blocking repairs at refineries reliant on foreign-made equipment — up to 80% of which is imported. 3X
Read 4 tweets
Aug 23
McFaul: I applauded President Trump’s efforts to end Russia’s war in Ukraine, but diplomacy is judged by results, not efforts.

Alaska and Washington meetings created iconic photo opportunities, but no substantive progress to end the war. Alaska may have even set back. 1/ Image
Meeting in Alaska, once Russian territory, gave Putin propaganda victories that Russian media exploited.

U.S. soldiers rolled out a red carpet for Putin, Trump personally greeted him as a friend, giving him greater respect than close allies. 2/
Alaska summit was abbreviated, lunch canceled, and no questions were allowed due to lack of results.

Trump walked back his pre-summit goal of achieving a rapid ceasefire, now arguing ceasefires aren't needed for peace negotiations. 3/
Read 11 tweets
Aug 23
Putin: The war[in Ukraine] began in 2014 when they used tanks and aircraft against Donbas civilians.

[This never happened. It is Russia who sent tanks to Ukraine once Russian propped separatists failed to take Donbas, Kharkiv, Dnipro.]

0/
Putin: They forget this and claim we started it.

We don’t have unfriendly countries, only elites. Propaganda misleads people [says the master of propaganda].

We are doing everything to stop the war [by bombing Kyiv daily]

1/
Putin: With Trump, I see light ahead—we had a frank meeting in Alaska, contacts continue.

U.S.-Russia ties are at their lowest since WWII.

Full restoration depends on Western partners and NATO ties, but Trump’s leadership is key. I hope we keep this pace.

2/
Read 6 tweets
Aug 22
Q: How much land does Russia want?

Stubb on Aug. 20 : For Americans, imagine giving up Florida, Georgia, South and North Carolina, Virginia, and pushing into Maryland.

That’s the scale of territory. 1/
Q: When and where could the bilateral take place?

Stubb: Geneva in Switzerland could work, but final choice is up to the Russian and Ukrainian presidents. 2/
Q: Does Trump understand what Putin wants?

Stubb: Yes. Don’t underestimate his negotiating skills. He knows land and real estate, so he grasps the scale. Negotiations will be tough. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Aug 22
Zelenskyy: This month Ukraine raised $1.5B from EU partners to buy U.S. weapons - Patriots, HIMARS, missiles. (Pearl program).

Rutte: 2 layers of security guarantees:

1. A strong Ukrainian army after peace.

2. Guarantees by the U.S. and Europe. (Not like Budapest or Minsk)
1/
Zelenskyy: We have no agreements with Russians.

We agreed with President Trump, and he is the only person who can stop Putin in my view.

I don’t want to set conditions that could later be used as obstacles to end the war.

2/
Zelenskyy: Ukraine needs $1–1.5B monthly for Pearl program. Domestic drone industry has $6B gap. Drones are weapon No.1, reducing losses and holding the front.

Rutte: NATO’s 5% GDP defense spending deal will also finance weapons for Ukraine.

3/
Read 9 tweets
Aug 22
Lavrov demands a Russian veto on Ukraine’s security. He revives the 2022 Istanbul draft with Moscow & Beijing as guarantors.

Lavrov: Putin will meet Zelenskyy only after prep talks and if Kyiv resolves the legitimacy of who signs any deal, Reuters/Guardian.[Zero concessions]

1/ Image
Lavrov ruled out European troops in Ukraine after a settlement. He called them foreign intervention and absolutely unacceptable.

On the same day, Russia launched 574 drones & 40 missiles. Strikes killed 1, injured 15, and hit Lviv — 26 homes, a kindergarten, offices damaged.

2/
A U.S. electronics factory in Ukraine was destroyed.

Zelenskyy: Russia deliberately attacked U.S. property, injuring 6 workers.

AmCham: Russia is attacking American business, humiliating American business.

3/
Read 7 tweets

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