tern Profile picture
Aug 24, 2025 29 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Chatting with a colleague who runs a large summer event...
Her: "The behaviour of the kids this year was a nightmare, it's getting worse and worse, it's because this age group missed out on three years introduction to school."

Me: "Schools were only closed for 12 weeks..."
Me: "... in 2020 and 9 weeks in 2021. They were open the whole of the rest of those years!"
Her: "But the pandemic disruption affected the 2019/2020 school year, then the 2020/2021 school year, then the 2021/2022 school year. It disrupted three school years of learning."
Me: "But freedom day was before the 2021/2022 school year started?"
Her: "Yes, but then the flu and all the other bugs came bouncing back and everyone had to catch up on their infections."

Me: "Has that finished yet?"

Her: "I don't think so, I think we're going to be suffering from the effects of the lockdowns for a long time."
Me: "Do you know that Covid infection can cause damage to the brain?"

Her: "I'm sorry, are you saying that millions of children have brain damage from covid infections? That's a horrible thing to say."
Me: "You're saying that these children have been permanently harmed by being at home for 21 weeks, spread out over two school years. That's an even more horrible thing to say. You're saying that being in their family unit for 12 weeks has broken them forever."
Her: "No, it's just the disruption at school."
Me: "Look. We're both agreed that there's something wrong with kids at the moment. Yes?"
Her: "Yes."
Me: "Good. I'm glad you're not in denial about that too."
Me: "Do you think kids are sick now more than they were six years ago?"

Her: "Yes."

Me: "Good. We're agreed on that too."
Me: "And you probably blame the period *five years ago* when they didn't get sick enough."

Her: "Yes, I do think that actually."
Me: "You think that kids are off sick more because something like they need to encounter viruses when their immune systems are developing, right?"

Her: "Yes."
Me: "So why are all the teachers off sick more now? They're adults. They've been catching these viruses for decades. Are you telling me that *not being sick one year* is going to make those adults more sick forever?"
Me: "And please, just please don't say the vaccines."
Her: "It's the kids bringing all the viruses into school. The teachers missed out on them in 2020 and now they're catching up."
Me: "FOR FIVE YEARS!"
Me: "Here's a simpler and proven reason: Covid infections make you more vulnerable to other infections. It's scientifically proven. It's not controversial. It's true. It's just the way it is...
Me: "It doesn't matter if you've been vaccinated, if you get a covid infection, you are then more likely to catch other infections....
Me: "And the same goes double for all these kids who have *never been vaccinated*. Each Covid infection makes them more vulnerable to other viruses, bacteria, fungi, everything."
Me: "And covid infections affect the brain. This is not controversial science. It's proven and true."
Me: "If you want a simple explanation for why kids' behaviour is worsening and worsening, and why they're off sick more, and why adults are off sick more... it's because of Covid infections."
Her: "Well, what do you propose we do about it. All go back into lockdown?"
Me: "No. I advocate for the same thing I've been advocating for for five years.
Ventilation and air filtration in schools, hospitals, prisons, shops, nurseries, etc.
Effective testing and tracing.
The right kind of masks when necessary....
Me: "... Paid leave for isolation and sickness.
Health education that informs people about how transmission and infection work, and what infection causes."
Me: "But in the meantime, I just want some acknowledgement that covid infections are making all this stuff worse, and not all of the lies and denial and misdirection."
Me: "And for people not to gaslight me to my face about things that are obvious."
And she said she'd think about it.

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More from @1goodtern

Jan 15
This may be obvious to everyone else already, but it occurred to me today that ICE just does not have the manpower to do everywhere what it's doing in Minnesota.

The surge there is not sustainable nationwide.
But the appearance of ICE being everywhere right now is heavily shaped by the unusually large and concentrated deployment in Minnesota, which is drawing outsized attention and resources.
They don't have capacity to mount similar surges everywhere simultaneously, especially given training and logistical limits.
Read 14 tweets
Jan 14
One of my dissertations was on the causes of the second world war.

I wrote it late, in a hurry, when I was young, naive, sleep deprived, and thought that it was ancient history.

But one aspect of what I wrote was what Germany looked like *from the outside*.
🧵
Here are six key views of Germany from other countries at the time that totally misread the situation.

Some of them might be relevant today.
They overlap a bit, but I've put a rough timeline along with them.
Read 61 tweets
Jan 10
Just imagine for a moment that you are infected with a virus that harms the lining of your arteries. The virus doesn't damage the artery walls in every part of your body to exactly the same degree. Some parts will be more damaged, some less.

At your next infection, will the parts of your artery wall that were more damaged first time round be more or less vulnerable to the virus?
It's an interesting question, isn't it.

Will those damaged parts be better equipped the next time round?
Sadly the answer is no

Those harder-hit patches do not reset to factory condition once the acute infection passes.
Read 9 tweets
Jan 10
I just want to do a very quick run through the latest up to date charts of rates of sickness absence in *young* doctors here.

Yeah. This is still *really* important, and I'll explain why in a moment.
There are some really really important points before I get on to the graphs.
First off - these are young doctors in their mid to late 20s.
'F1s' and 'F2s' and 'Core Training' doctors.

There may be a very tiny number of older F1s and F2s, but *they're rare*.
Read 77 tweets
Jan 9
Let's play "Guess Where The Line Goes"

This one is "Retirement Due To Ill Health, NHS England".

It's a horrible thing to be playing games with, but I think it's less horrible to play 'Guess Where The Line Goes' than to ignore it altogether. Image
A, B, C, or D? Image
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Image
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A? Image
Read 27 tweets
Jan 8
The minimisers would have you believe that every bad health condition develops immediately, symptoms of it appear immediately, medical attention is found immediately, and the condition is diagnosed immediately.

The truth is very different.
It can take years for conditions to develop after they have been triggered.
It can take years for the symptoms to become bad enough to need medical attention.
Read 17 tweets

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