Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Aug 24 9 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Timothy Snyder in FT: Putin grounds his war on Ukraine in a myth.

He uses a medieval Kyiv chronicle, The Tale of Bygone Years, as prophecy. He claims it proves Russia and Ukraine share “the same roots” and Moscow must rule Kyiv.

Snyder proves the claim is absurd. 1/ Image
Monks in Kyiv wrote the Tale in the 12th century about 9th-century events.

They invented Rørek’s dynasty to glorify their own rulers. They gave him a biblical lifespan, a deathbed child, and a secret heir smuggled to Kyiv. None of it happened. 2/
Rørek, a Danish chieftain, never set foot in Kyiv. He operated a thousand miles away in the Baltic.

Scandinavians reached Kyiv only a century later. No link exists between his raids and the modern Russian state. 3/
Moscow did not exist in the 9th century. It emerged centuries later under Mongol rule.

Mongol khans appointed Moscow’s princes to collect tribute. No ancient continuity connects Muscovy to Kyivan Rus. 4/
The Kyivan Rus state collapsed in the 13th century under Mongol invasions. Lithuania absorbed most of its lands.

Moscow played no role in that polity’s origins or legacy until it fabricated one for itself. 5/
Russian rulers recycled the Rørek myth — from Mongol-era princes to the tsars to Peter the Great — to invent dynasties.

By Putin’s logic, France would invade Belgium over Carolingian history, and Mexico would invade Guatemala over Mayan history. 6/
Putin twists “brotherly nation” rhetoric to mean erasure.

He says Ukrainians share roots with Russians, then orders their bombing, deportation, and torture to enforce that fiction. Myths explain why Russia kills. Putin uses legend to erase Ukraine’s right to exist. 7/
Trump gives the myth political space. In Alaska, Putin repeated the Rørek story and “brotherly nation” line.

Trump responded by denying Russian interference in 2016 and presented himself as free of constraints. 8X

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More from @Mylovanov

Aug 24
Zelenskyy: Today we have very positive results in Donbas. Good “surprises” for the Russians. Commander-in-Chief will provide all the details later. 1/
Q: Did the strikes on the “Druzhba” pipeline increase the chances of lifting Orbán’s veto?

Zelenskyy: We have always supported “druzhba” [in Ukrainian - friendship] between Ukraine and Hungary. Now the existence of this “friendship” depends on Hungary’s position. 2/
Q: Did the U.S. ban strikes on Russia with its weapons, and do you need permission if using your own?

Zelenskyy: Today we are using long-range weapons of domestic production. We don’t discuss such issues with the U.S. That was a long time ago. 3/
Read 4 tweets
Aug 24
Pentagon has blocked Ukraine from firing U.S. ATACMS [190-mile range] into Russia since late spring, WSJ.

Same veto covers U.K. Storm Shadows and even 3,350 new ERAM missiles [150-280 mile range] from an $850M Aug 19 package, mostly paid by Europe. 1/ Image
Elbridge Colby, Pentagon policy chief, built the review mechanism.

It reversed Biden’s 2024 decision to allow ATACMS inside Russia after North Korean troops entered the war. Trump keeps the veto as he courts Moscow for peace talks. 2/
Trump said in Aug 21: It is very hard, if not impossible, to win a war without attacking. There is no chance of winning. Yet the restriction stays.

Pentagon has already rejected at least one Ukrainian ATACMS request on Russian territory. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Aug 24
Russia’s high-tech weapons flop.

Kalibrs miss, A-50 AWACS fleet is almost dead (9 built, 3 shot down), Su-57 jets lag behind US & China’s.

Super weapons Kinzhal and Zircon can be shot down by Patriot. Lewis Page for The Telegraph: Putin’s arsenal is weaker than advertised.

1/ Image
U.S. long-range weapons (Tomahawk, JASSM, ATACMS, PrSM) strike from hundreds of miles.

AWACS scan skies, stealth fighters enter undetected, tankers extend range, EW blinds radars.

America could cripple Russia without troops in Ukraine.

2/
Russian air defenses fail even against prop drones. S-300s, S-400s missed cheap Ukrainian strikes and folded against Israel.

Against U.S. airpower, they stand no chance. Once skies open, drones and jets smash Russian ground forces.

3/
Read 5 tweets
Aug 24
NYT: On a dusty rail platform in Odesa, Ukrainian workers unload white body bags from refrigerated trains. The air reeks of decay.

Inside lie nameless mutilated bodies caked in mud and rot — 6,000 corpses Russia sent back in a mass exchange. The bodies arrive by the hundreds. 1/
Pathologist Ruslana Klymenko, 27, bends over half-liquefied remains. Body fluids soak through her gloves and suit, leaving brown stains on her arms.

She tied two pink ribbons on her head — the only splash of color among rows of white bags and the stench of death. 2/
Six forensic teams work in shifts under camouflage netting. Investigators open the bags, check for explosives, record personal items.

Each body gets a 17-digit code. Flies swarm while the smell of rot burns their throats. 3/
Read 7 tweets
Aug 24
Russians has repeatedly tried to kill Serhii Sternenko, one of key non-state FPV drone supplier to the Ukrainian army - The Times.

At 30, the Odesa-born lawyer, activist, and YouTuber has raised nearly ₴5bn ($125m), supplying over 216,000 drones. 1/ Image
In May, an FSB-linked gunwoman opened fire on him outside his Kyiv apartment.

One bullet tore through his thigh, another ripped a bodyguard’s shirt. Sternenko tied his own tourniquet in an armoured car as his pulse hit 126. 2/
He had fought off killers before. In 2018 two men attacked him in Odesa.

He fatally stabbed one while the other fled. Courts pursued him for years, but in 2023 judges ruled it was self-defence and and even returned him the knife. 3/
Read 7 tweets
Aug 23
Ukrainian drone strikes in August hit at least 7 major Russian oil refineries, shutting down 4.

Over 10% of Russia’s refining capacity is offline, including key sites in Volgograd and Ryazan, two of the country’s largest plants — Moscow Times. 1/ Image
Carnegie’s Sergey Vakulenko warns Ukraine’s drone strikes could cause “irreparable” or “permanent” damage to Russian refineries.

Moscow imposed a full ban on gasoline exports to ease the fuel deficit, but demand at home remains unmet. 2/
Gasoline shortages hit regions like Crimea and Siberia, with AI-92 and AI-95 prices at record highs. Western sanctions worsen the crisis, blocking repairs at refineries reliant on foreign-made equipment — up to 80% of which is imported. 3X
Read 4 tweets

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