Not in slogans, but in strategic reality. russia has failed to achieve its war goals.
Ukraine is holding firm, innovating, and rallying global support 👇
2/9 russia’s strategic failures:
• Failed to take Kyiv, Kharkiv, Zaporizhzhia
• Lost Kherson
• 0/23 regional capitals taken
• Finland & Sweden joined NATO
• Black Sea Fleet crippled
• Less land under control now than in 2022
• Wagner mutiny
• No path to victory
Map: ISW
3/9 Ukraine’s resilience:
• Maintained sovereignty—now more sovereign than ever
• More militarized than ever
• Liberated key territories
• Mastered drone warfare & naval strikes
• Integrated Western tech
• United the West behind its cause
4/9 russia’s goals remain unchanged:
•Subjugate Ukraine
•Halt NATO expansion
•Reassert imperial dominance
But it has achieved none.
Now it’s isolated, weakened, and increasingly dependent on china
5/9 Why the war is unsustainable for russia:
• Lack of labor, low growth, high inflation, and war economy dependency
• Hundreds of thousands have fled
• Military spending draining reserves
• Bad demographic outlook
• Long-term decline accelerating
6/9 Europe must stop waiting for Trump & Putin.
Trump’s diplomacy gave russia optics, not peace.
Putin still refuses to meet Zelensky.
Delay only helps the aggressor. Europe must lead
7/9 russia wants to prolong the war.
It believes time is on its side.
But delay only increases the cost—for Ukraine, Europe, and global stability.
The longer the war, the harder the recovery
8/9 How to end the war faster:
•More aid to Ukraine: weapons, training, tech, financial aid
•Tougher sanctions on russia
Pressure works. Hesitation helps the invader
9/9 Ukraine fights for freedom. russia fights for empire.
The war ends when russia is forced to stop.
Europe must act—not wait.
Support Ukraine. Sanction russia. End the war
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1/4 Let me introduce you to a Finnish concept: torjuntavoitto.
It means a "defensive victory"—you didn’t win outright, but you stopped the enemy from achieving their goals.
Finland coined it after WWII. Let’s talk about why it matters today 👇
2/4 Torjuntavoitto applies partly to Ukraine.
russia invaded to conquer, install a puppet regime, and erase Ukraine’s sovereignty. That failed. Ukraine defended its statehood. That’s a defensive victory.
But here’s the twist…
3/4 Ukraine isn’t just defending—it’s winning. russia won’t get to dictate peace. Ukraine won’t officially lose.
And it’s russia, not Ukraine, that will pay reparations.
Torjuntavoitto doesn’t fully apply—because Ukraine’s outcome is even stronger
1/5 Putin’s russia and Hitler’s Germany—more alike than you think.
Putin invaded Ukraine claiming to “protect russians”—just like Hitler claimed to protect ethnic Germans in Poland and Czechoslovakia.
Same playbook: invent a threat, justify aggression
2/5 Both regimes built their ideology around imperial revival.
Hitler wanted a Greater Germany.
Putin wants a Greater russia.
Both deny the legitimacy of neighboring states and cultures—Ukraine’s existence, like Poland’s before WWII, is treated as a mistake to be corrected
3/5 The aesthetics echo too.
Mass rallies, militarized youth, choreographed propaganda, and cults of personality.
Putin’s staged events and war parades mirror the spectacle of nazi Germany—designed to project strength and suppress dissent
1/8 The F-35 vs Rafale debate keeps resurfacing—but let’s be clear: the F-35 is in a different league.
Rafale fans need to chill. Europe has no one to blame but itself for not developing a 5th-gen jet.
The Rafale is good—but it’s not the future
2/8 The Rafale is a very capable but costly 4th-gen fighter.
It’s not stealthy—and Dassault knows that it’s a problem. That’s why their next jet will be stealthy. If stealth didn’t matter, they wouldn’t bother.
The F-35 is built for the next era. Rafale is built for the last
3/8 The Rafale is better than russia’s best jets—but it’s not in a different league. The F-35 is.
Countries like Finland and Poland, bordering russia, don’t have the luxury to choose “Buy European” over a massive battlefield advantage