Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Aug 26 8 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Trump: Europe will give Ukraine major security guarantees — they should, it’s their neighborhood. We’ll back them up. If we get a deal and I think we will, I don’t see big problems. We’ll support it because I want the killing to stop.

1/
Q: Have you spoken to Putin since last Monday?

Trump: Every talk starts good, then a bomb hits Kyiv and I get angry. I think we’ll end this war. Putin coming to Alaska was a big statement he wants it done. Not easy for him to come.

2/
Trump: We want denuclearization — too much power. But first we must end the war. In Alaska we also talked missiles, nuclear limits, bringing China in. U.S. has the most, Russia second, China third but catching up in 5 years.

3/
Q: Why is Putin reluctant to meet Zelenskyy?

Trump: He doesn’t like him — they don’t like each other. If we had a real president, not from a fraudulent election, this war would never have happened. Putin said so. After Afghanistan’s incompetence, he saw weakness.

4/
Trump: I said Zelenskyy is the greatest salesman — better than PT Barnum. He’d visit and walk out with $50B, once even $100B. Total $350B. I secured $1T worth of rare earth for America because I wasn’t going to let our taxpayers carry it all.

5/
Trump: We don’t pay Ukraine anymore. At NATO, I changed it — wealthy countries weren’t paying. Now NATO requests missiles, we supply, NATO pays in full. They can give them to Ukraine or use them otherwise, but we deal only with NATO, not Ukraine.

6/
Trump: I don’t blame Ukraine [for asking money and getting it]. We were in for $350B. Now we make money — we sell weapons to NATO. They went from 2% to 5% because of me, now paid up with trillions. But I don’t want profit, I want the war to end and lives saved.

7/
Q: How would your ties with Russian and North Korean leaders affect diplomacy?

Trump: I have very good relations with Kim Jong-un. We had 2 summits, got along great. I know him better than almost anyone except his sister. With me there was no problem.

8X

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More from @Mylovanov

Aug 27
Bloomberg: Trump hit India with 50% tariffs at midnight, punishing Modi for buying Russian oil.

Tariffs strike 55% of exports to the US, crippling labor-intensive industries like textiles, footwear, and jewelry, while sparing electronics and pharma. 1/ Image
The US canceled a trade mission set for Aug 25-29, wrecking hopes of a fall deal promised during Modi’s February White House visit.

As talks collapse, India turns to BRICS: Modi heads to China next week, while trade with Russia is set to jump 50% to $100B. 2/
Trump ties trade to geopolitics, claiming he brokered a ceasefire after May’s India-Pakistan clashes — a story Modi rejects.

Citigroup sees tariffs cutting 0.6-0.8 pp from GDP, though exports are just 2% of output. Modi bets on tax reform and aid to cushion the blow. 3X
Read 4 tweets
Aug 27
Bessent: Europe must step up. They buy refined products from Russian oil yet won’t threaten tariffs on India.

Only Canada backed Graham’s bill for high secondary tariffs at the G7. This war is in Europe’s backyard — they must share the burden, not leave it to the U.S.

1/
Bessent: Frozen Russian assets are part of negotiations with Putin. We shouldn’t seize them immediately — they’re leverage. In talks, some or all may go to Ukraine’s rebuild.

2/
Q: India vows retaliation after Trump’s 50% tariff over Russian oil. Thoughts?

Bessent: Trump and Modi have good ties, but India stalled tariff talks since Liberation Day. I expected a deal by May-Jun. Instead, they drag talks while profiteering on Russian crude.

3/
Read 4 tweets
Aug 27
Now Ukraine allows men aged 18–22 leave the country. Zelenskyy removes the wartime ban in place since 2022.

Zelenskyy: the change was agreed with the military.

PM Svyrydenko: it also covers Ukrainians already abroad. Here is an informative FT article on the change in rules:
1/ Image
The old ban trapped men under 60 inside Ukraine, splitting families and fueling illegal escapes. Many parents sent boys abroad before 18 to avoid conscription. Schools reported graduating classes “almost entirely girls.”

2/
Only men 25+ can be drafted, but the US and allies urge Kyiv to lower the draft age. Zelenskyy rejects it, tying change to faster Western arms. A Socis poll shows 86.5% of Ukrainians oppose lowering the age.

3/
Read 6 tweets
Aug 27
Trump backs a European reassurance force in Ukraine after a peace deal, writes WSJ. Plans for 30,000 European troops shrank to 6,000-10,000 from France and the UK.

But voters resist: 56% of Germans oppose, 68% of French reject deployment without a formal accord.

1/ Image
Britain cut back because its army lacks manpower. Starmer says UK troops need a US backstop if Russia strikes.

Macron insists French soldiers will guard airports and infrastructure, not the front line. Yet Eastern NATO states refuse to pull forces from their own borders.

2/
Poland, a top donor of tanks, planes, and APCs to Ukraine, draws a red line: no troop deployment.

A March poll shows 58.5% of Poles strongly oppose sending troops, 28% probably not. Warsaw warns such a move risks dragging fighting into Polish territory.

3/
Read 5 tweets
Aug 27
John Bolton: Trump’s Ukraine policy is incoherent. He acts on impulse, undoing himself within days.

In Alaska he threatened sanctions if Putin refused a ceasefire. Then he dropped the threat, scrapped the sanctions, and said he no longer wanted a ceasefire but a final deal. 1/ Image
Trump rushed the summit. Putin’s envoy asked for a meeting on Aug 8. Trump announced it for Aug 15. No modern US–Russia summit on a major war has ever been arranged in 7 days. 2/
After Alaska, Trump met Zelensky and EU leaders in Washington on Aug 18.

He interrupted the talks for a 40-minute call with Putin, then proposed a Putin–Zelenskyy summit followed by a trilateral with himself. No date was set. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Aug 27
Trump: Ukraine likely thought they were going to win, trying to beat an enemy 15 times their size. Nobody goes into a war thinking they’re going to lose.

[Ukraine didn’t go into war. Russia invaded Ukraine]

1/
[Trump says US can impose sanctions or tariffs on Ukraine as well as on Russia]

Trump: If I can stop the death of people by doing sanctions or using a very strong tariff system that's very costly to Russia or Ukraine or whoever we have, you know.

2/
Q: Lavrov said Putin won’t sign a peace deal with Zelensky due to his illegitimacy. Did the Russians share this with your team?

Trump: Doesn’t matter what they say. Everybody’s posturing. It’s all bullshit.

3/
Read 6 tweets

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