Crémieux Profile picture
Aug 26 7 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Retatrutide is more effective at generating weight loss and other benefits for the people who take it, but there does seem to be a cardiac safety signal.

This could potentially be important *for people who have preexisting atrial fibrillation and CVD.* Image
Keep in mind, only one of these events became serious and the rest just passed: "Reported cardiac arrhythmias were mild to moderate in severity with the exception of one severe adverse event."

The reason for this signal seems to be a dose-dependent increase in heart rate.
Increasing heart rate could help to explain the added benefits of the drug for weight loss.

But I have doubts. Why? Because the heart rate increase was linearly dose-dependent, but weight loss tapped out at 8mg. Image
For almost everyone, this should be no big deal, but if you have a history of heart problems, maybe consider using a GLP-1RA product that does not contain glucagon, like semaglutide or tirzepatide.

Those drugs reduce arrhythmia risk and cut the incidence of MACEs immediately:Image
The hint that this is due to glucagon and not GLP-1R or GIPR agonism comes from sources like

- Trials of those drugs, showing reduced heart rates with weight loss (same scale as with non-pharmacotherapy approaches)
- A trial of the GLP-1RA/GCGN drug Mazdutide: Image
To recap:

There might be a rare issue with GLP-1RA-GCGN products

It's probably nothing to worry about if you have a healthy heart, but if you have a history of heart issues, maybe look elsewhere, and as always, the default advice is: consult your doctor before starting any drug

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More from @cremieuxrecueil

Aug 28
Scandinavian countries have extensive population registers that allow them to study complex phenomena with ease.

One example of this is the trans mortality rate.

It's popularly argued that this rate is extreme— >40%! —but this is not true and is exaggerated by confounding🧵 Image
When we control for the number of prior contacts with psychiatric specialists, we are effectively proxying for one's history and severity of mental illness.

By doing this, researchers found that being referred for gender reasons went from predicting a doubling in risk to...
predicting zero excess mortality.

All of the extra risk of dying could be attributed to the fact that individuals who were referred for gender-related reasons had worse mental health otherwise:

Persons who had similar levels of psychiatric comorbidity died at similar rates.Image
Read 11 tweets
Aug 28
People so strongly want to believe groups like Italians were considered non-White when they arrived in the U.S. that they will conflate being treated poorly with being treated like they're another race.

Every time I've mentioned this, I've gotten that same asinine response. Image
The people who make this argument seem to desperately want people to think that groups can become White and that the conflicts of the past were all racial.

But no.

The Irish, for example, were disliked more for being corrupt Catholics and public drunks than for being non-White.
This is from my latest article. Notably, I wrote that blurb and then people immediately commented with the wordplay angle that mistreatment is equivalent to being considered another race.

cremieux.xyz/p/european-imm…
Read 5 tweets
Aug 28
Every governmental institution of American society has always considered groups like Italians and Irishmen to be White.

Yet, there are some academics who insist otherwise.

They are wrong, and I'll provide several examples to illustrate that. For one, Jim Crow: Image
For two, the Union Army: Image
For three, the Confederate Army! Image
Read 6 tweets
Aug 27
The gender wage gap is mostly about married men doing one helluva job earning more than everyone else. Image
Part of the bump is because they tend to work more than everyone else. Image
Another part is because they tend to get paid more per hour. That might be linked to working more! Image
Read 4 tweets
Aug 27
The president of the American Medical Association exaggerated the trans adolescent suicide rate by a factor of at least 3,846.

Getting it wrong by one order of magnitude would be egregious.

Being off by almost four orders of magnitude is just the worst sort of cynical lying. Image
The rate is still high, and worth worrying about at 13 per 100,000! That's almost 5x the rate for the adolescent population as a whole!

You do not need to shame parents with the lie that their kid has a fair coin's odds of suicide. That's just evil; it's emotional blackmailing.
The suicide rates for prisoners in Sachsenhausen were 111/100k for straight prisoners and 1167/100k for gay prisoners. Even with a fudge factor, you cannot get to Mukkamala's claimed rate.

He wants you to believe that being trans is worse than being in a Nazi concentration camp. Image
Read 5 tweets
Aug 26
Gerrymandering is the death of centrism in America.

The more districts are uncompetitive, the less hope there is for moderate candidates, and the less value there is in moving to the center.

Gerrymandering means a more divisive and polarized America, with poorer governance🧵 Image
A recent paper in the American Economic Review made the value of competitive elections clear using data from America and France.

Looking at American elections, when candidates are in their primaries, they're more radical. When they compete with the other party, they moderate. Image
The same thing is observed in France, where the multi-round elections come with extensive moderation for some, slight moderation for others, and essentially no moderation for those who are already at the nation's center. Image
Read 24 tweets

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