“a central fact about the world’s fifth-largest economy: India’s large population of poor farmers hinders its capacity to reach mutually beneficial trade deals.
Agriculture, including dairy, is a major sticking point in U.S.-India trade negotiations.” 1/7
“India has an average tariff of 39% on imported farm goods—among the highest in the world. It protects its large but inefficient dairy industry with both high tariffs and nontariff barriers.” 2/7
“Many countries have influential farm lobbies, but in no other major economy do farmers have as much political clout as they do in India. The World Bank estimates that in 2023, 44% of India’s workforce—or about 267 million people—made a living from agriculture.” 3/7
“Over the past five decades, India has gone from being a country that struggled to feed its people to an agricultural superpower. It’s the world’s largest producer and exporter of rice. It’s the world’s largest producer of milk and pulses such as chickpeas and beans.” 4/7
“For many Indians, agricultural self-sufficiency is a point of pride, Indian agricultural economist Ashok Gulati says in a phone interview. Indians recall being dependent on American food aid as recently as the 1960s.” 5/7
“The average farm in the U.S. is 175 times as large as the average Indian farm of 2.7 acres. The average herd size on an American dairy farm is about 380 cows. The average herd size in India is about four animals, either cows or water buffaloes.” 6/7
“the U.S. ought to consider the complexities of India’s economic environment. A bilateral trade agreement would be good for both countries. But it’s unrealistic to expect Mr. Modi to commit political suicide for a deal with Mr. Trump.” 7/7
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“In an effort to push India to cross unreasonable thresholds on agriculture market access, the Trump administration is depleting the reservoir of trust that both nations have painstakingly built over a generation.” 1/7
“ties can still be largely repaired if the United States chooses. But this requires a deeper appreciation for India’s true “redlines” on agriculture market access and a consistent approach to Russia. The U.S.-India wider strategic relationship is at serious risk.” 2/7
“The commercial promise of a trade agreement with India stands on its own merits. India is on the verge of passing both Germany and Japan to become the world’s third-largest economy. India has the largest consumer market in the world—a title it will likely hold in perpetuity.”
“Frankly, India is being picked on because its trade negotiations with the Trump administration have still not concluded. It is resisting unreasonable demands and unfair expectations.” 1/5
“The selective targeting for condemnation of India’s oil purchases from Russia will be interpreted as exerting pressure on New Delhi’s trade negotiators. The agenda is selfishly American, however sanctimonious the logic that cloaks it.” 2/5
“The upshot is both disappointing and unsustainable. It places at risk decades of mutual political trust. This week a White House spokesperson referred loosely to “sanctions on India”.” 3/5
.@IgnatiusPost: “In 1986, Reagan had the heretical idea that the United States should make a deal to ban all ballistic missiles — and maybe all nuclear weapons. But the military brass & the CIA were so aghast at this disruptive proposal that..” 1/4 washingtonpost.com/opinions/2025/…
“over the next six months they buried it in a blizzard of negative secret memos until it died.” 2/4
“Would the world be safer today if Reagan had succeeded in his plan to ban offensive ballistic missiles? We’ll never know.” 3/4
“Vijay Gokhale, a former Indian ambassador to Beijing, said in an opinion piece in The Times of India published on Tuesday that China and India still had many diverging interests. But he wrote that China provided India & other developing countries a critical counterbalance..” 1/7
“to “Trumpian disorder” as a source of capital and technology and as a partner in fighting climate change.
China is beginning to look better than at any time in the previous five years,” Mr. Gokhale wrote.” 2/7
“Beijing has responded to India’s friendlier posture with cautious optimism, taking into account the chance that the reorientation could simply be a play to hedge against the Trump administration, analysts said.” 3/7
'The Illegals' by .@shaunwalker7 is a fantastic read - covering the history of how Russia has used illegals (spies living under deep cover) from the Tsarist era to the modern day. Some pretty fascinating stories in there, so of which defy belief. (1/18)
Perhaps none more so than Iosif Grigulevich, who as Teodoro Castro, managed to convince Costa Rica to appoint him as their ambassador to Italy and Yugoslavia from 1952 to 1954: gw2ru.com/history/3218-i…
Some interesting excerpts:
“The foreign policy of the newly proclaimed Soviet Union had two overarching goals, and the INO (Inostrannyj Otdiel) was key to both." 3/18
(Translated) “All their sources announce a victory of Dassault Aviation Rafale F4 in the MRFA program aimed at supplying 114 combat aircraft... An official announcement is expected next month, on the occasion of the 80th United Nations General Assembly in New York.” 1/4
“The fact that an Indian single-seater Rafale hit by a Pakistani air-to-air missile (of Chinese manufacture) managed to return to safe port and save the life of its pilot has finished convincing the Indian Air Force of its willingness to order a hundred Rafale.” 2/4
“Now there is talk of a "make in India" construction oscillating between 75 and 80% of the copies ordered by the MRFA... The fact that the Rafale F4 is also guaranteed ITAR free is a real plus for an India now clearly in commercial and economic war with the United States.” 3/4