Crémieux Profile picture
Aug 28 5 tweets 2 min read Read on X
People so strongly want to believe groups like Italians were considered non-White when they arrived in the U.S. that they will conflate being treated poorly with being treated like they're another race.

Every time I've mentioned this, I've gotten that same asinine response. Image
The people who make this argument seem to desperately want people to think that groups can become White and that the conflicts of the past were all racial.

But no.

The Irish, for example, were disliked more for being corrupt Catholics and public drunks than for being non-White.
This is from my latest article. Notably, I wrote that blurb and then people immediately commented with the wordplay angle that mistreatment is equivalent to being considered another race.

cremieux.xyz/p/european-imm…
And yes: corruption perceptions did have a major element of truth to them. The Irish were behind a lot of major political corruption in early America.

In some cases, the antipathy was reversed.

Individuals like Boston's mayor Curley hated native Anglo-Saxon Americans, but even then, the hatred was not to do with either group considering the other non-White.

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More from @cremieuxrecueil

Aug 30
Complimentary approaches can make this thread's point clear.

So here's an exploration of county-level results🧵

Firstly: We can explain most of the variance in homicides by just using county race shares, and not even getting particularly detailed with them. Image
That data came from CDC WONDER.

What if we control for which party governed the states during the time period that data is from?

That adds basically nothing. The benefit of this control is nonsignificant. Image
We can use the tidycensus R package to pull 2018-22 ACS data, which is almost the same year range for the rest of the data.

With that, we can add county sex ratios and median ages.

That adds basically nothing. No significant benefit. Image
Read 10 tweets
Aug 30
Two Democratic governors and tons more Democratic elected officials have been talking about how Red States have more crime and killing.

This is misleading🧵

Let's look at homicides. Using data from the CDC's WONDER I've plotted homicide rates by race and state: Image
If you look down at the bottom of the graph you'll notice the summaries for

- Red States (Republican governors for most years 2018-23)
- Blue States
- The country as a whole

I didn't plot Hispanics because that would've crowded the graph and looked even messier

Let's use thisImage
If we compute homicide rates by state using totals, they don't come out very different from if we compute rates based on each documented race's share of the state and the homicide victims.

Doing that, Red States have a higher murder rate, until you start matching. Image
Read 16 tweets
Aug 29
Crime is way down in D.C.

Is it because the National Guard is arresting tons of people, or something else?

While there have been a lot of arrests, crime is down too much for that to be all.

Let me tell you about one of my favorite crime papers. It's about police presence🧵Image
In 2010, the British government issued a report. The report held that there was far too much unnecessary spending going on in policing.

As a result, London's Metropolitan Police saw a 29% budget cut.

To save money, the city shut down 70% of its police stations. Image
The mayor's office worked to shut down police stations without reducing the number of frontline officers they employed.

They tried to make sure the remaining stations would be equally distributed around the city, so that police could plausibly still cover everything.Image
Read 19 tweets
Aug 28
Scandinavian countries have extensive population registers that allow them to study complex phenomena with ease.

One example of this is the trans mortality rate.

It's popularly argued that this rate is extreme— >40%! —but this is not true and is exaggerated by confounding🧵 Image
When we control for the number of prior contacts with psychiatric specialists, we are effectively proxying for one's history and severity of mental illness.

By doing this, researchers found that being referred for gender reasons went from predicting a doubling in risk to...
predicting zero excess mortality.

All of the extra risk of dying could be attributed to the fact that individuals who were referred for gender-related reasons had worse mental health otherwise:

Persons who had similar levels of psychiatric comorbidity died at similar rates.Image
Read 11 tweets
Aug 28
Every governmental institution of American society has always considered groups like Italians and Irishmen to be White.

Yet, there are some academics who insist otherwise.

They are wrong, and I'll provide several examples to illustrate that. For one, Jim Crow: Image
For two, the Union Army: Image
For three, the Confederate Army! Image
Read 6 tweets
Aug 27
The gender wage gap is mostly about married men doing one helluva job earning more than everyone else. Image
Part of the bump is because they tend to work more than everyone else. Image
Another part is because they tend to get paid more per hour. That might be linked to working more! Image
Read 4 tweets

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