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Roy🇨🇦 Profile picture
@GrandpaRoy2
Sep 1 • 8 tweets • 3 min read • Read on X
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Ukraine's reports that strikes on Russian production and storage facilities of Shahed (Russian: Geran-2) strike UAVs reduced the number of their launches by a third in August, from 6302 to 4132.
1/ Militarnyi.comImage
The Russian practice of accumulating Shaheds for massive attacks every 3-4 days was also diminished, with the maximum attack in July of 728 drones reduced to 110 in August.
2/ Image
The Izhevsk Electromechanical Plant "Kupol" that produces chips for military drones was struck in July, destroying four production workshops.
The company completely stopped working.
3/ Image
On July 4, a facility near Moscow for the production of Shahed warheads was struck.
Fires and heavy smoke were recorded.
Also near Moscow the Krasnozavodsk Chemical Plant that supplies thermobaric compounds for warheads was struck.
4/ Image
A ship carrying components for Shaheds from Iran was sunk on Aug 14 by a long-range Ukrainian UAV near the pot of Olya on the Caspian Sea.
This logistics network allows Russia to increase the rate of production of Shaheds.
5/ Image
Also in August a logistics warehouse in Tatarstan 1300 km from Ukraine that stores completed Shaheds was struck twice.
Satellite images confirmed six hits on the facility, destroying large stocks of the drones.
6/ Image
Ukrainian intelligence estimates that Shahed production was 170 units per day, with plans to increase production to 190.
The losses caused by the various Ukrainian strikes may prevent this increase, and production may indeed fall below 170 units per day.
7/7
Source militarnyi.com/uk/articles/ud…

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More from @GrandpaRoy2

Roy🇨🇦 Profile picture
Sep 1
Russian nationalist and war critic Igor Girkin (aka Stelkov) writes from his prison cell that Ukraine doesn't need the 18–22 year olds now able to leave the country.

“Ukraine has started allowing men aged 18 to 22 to leave the country; the first conscripts have already left.
1/ Image
“For some reason, everyone here insists on seeing some kind of PR in the enemy's actions and denies the enemy any rationality. We still haven't unlearned ‘throwing hats’ at the enemy,’ ‘laughing’ at Iskanders, and saying that if we want, if we strain ourselves, …
2/
“…we will be in Kyiv and defeat everyone.

Things are completely different. The enemy is smart, cunning, resourceful, ruthless, determined, and resilient. And after three and a half years of war, some propagandists, to put it mildly, have not appreciated or understood this.
3/ Image
Read 12 tweets
Roy🇨🇦 Profile picture
Aug 31
The Ukrainian Telegram channel “Deep State” summarizes new Russian assault tactics that include bypassing infantry to target drone and mortar operators in the rear.

“Increasing the use of NPK, strike wings, and heavy FPV. The enemy is experiencing problems with infantry, …
1/ Image
“…so they are betting on the robotization of certain processes. If in 2024 their idiot with TM [TM-62] went without small arms and threw a mine into a dugout, now they want to completely transfer this task to the drone component to prevent the detection of assault groups.
2/
“The enemy is abandoning the use of a large number of personnel. There are no longer columns of 30-60 heads. Assault actions by 2-4 assault troops have become the norm. Of course, there are more groups.
3/ Image
Read 7 tweets
Roy🇨🇦 Profile picture
Aug 30
Russian operators often claim that the Ukrainians hijacked their drone to explain its loss to their boss.
One of their own describes what really happens.

“So, we found out that you cannot hijack commercial drones (Mavics, Autelis, and Matrices) in the sense of taking control.
1/ Image
“What can you do then?
The simplest thing is to let it fly away with the wind into the sunset. Again, to understand the problem, you need to know your hardware!
2/
“The Mavic 3 (the most common series on the front) determines its position in space by barometer (altitude), signals from navigation satellites (altitude, speed relative to the ground, drone's geographic location), and the Visual Positioning system…
3/
Read 15 tweets
Roy🇨🇦 Profile picture
Aug 27
Israeli-Ukrainian military analyst Yigal Levin comments on Zaluzhnyi refusing to even speak to Vance when he called regarding replacing President Zelensky.

“This information from The Guardian that the US was looking for a replacement for Zelensky six months ago, …
1/ Image
“…and that they even called Zaluzhny but he didn’t pick up, is not surprising at all.

I actually wrote about this six months ago — we Israelis know well the nature of the US and the essence of American strategy.
2/
“And yes, they are great masters of coups and replacing disobedient elites.

Back then, Zaluzhny, on the contrary, met with Zelensky, making it clear to the Americans that during the war he would not allow the political echelon to be split.
3/ Image
Read 10 tweets
Roy🇨🇦 Profile picture
Aug 27
The ending of Mavic 3 production in favor of Mavic 4 has adversely affected both sides in Ukraine.
Ukrainian EW expert Serhii “Flash” Beskrestnov reviews the prospects for the Mavic 4.

“1. Both we and the Russians lost a lot of DJI drones due to electronic warfare (EW).
1/ Image
“2. The Russians write their own firmware 1001 for Mavics (not without help from the Chinese), and we use it too. Thanks to this firmware, Mavics no longer "fall" under EW but fly upwards searching for a stable signal from the operator.
2/
“The operator then brings the drone back home.

3. Losses of Mavics are minimized.

4. DJI recently announced the release of the 4th generation of drones, for which there is no 1001 firmware and no magical EW countermeasures. Production of the 3rd series is discontinued.
3/ Image
Read 6 tweets
Roy🇨🇦 Profile picture
Aug 26
The Ukrainian “Peaky Blinders” drone unit gives an encouraging report of recent conditions in the Pokrovsk area.

“Being on rotation in the Pokrovsk area for some time now, we have done a considerable amount of work and come to certain conclusions.
1/
“The situation here now is very different from what it was in the spring. Back then, Russian troops moved in groups of 2-4 people and tried to involve large forces for advancement.
2/
“But now they have been forced to significantly reduce their movements and they walk exclusively alone. Enemy infantry has noticeably decreased, but our drone operators have significantly increased. This means there is direct competition to destroy the target.
3/
Read 7 tweets

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