Roy🇨🇦 Profile picture
🇨🇦 🇺🇦 Grandfather, OSINT of Ukrainian and Russian sources: FPVs, drone munitions, EW, landmines. ❤️my family (grandchildren!), reading, and Kaja Kallas.
11 subscribers
Aug 30 • 15 tweets • 4 min read
Russian operators often claim that the Ukrainians hijacked their drone to explain its loss to their boss.
One of their own describes what really happens.

“So, we found out that you cannot hijack commercial drones (Mavics, Autelis, and Matrices) in the sense of taking control.
1/ Image “What can you do then?
The simplest thing is to let it fly away with the wind into the sunset. Again, to understand the problem, you need to know your hardware!
2/
Aug 27 • 10 tweets • 3 min read
Israeli-Ukrainian military analyst Yigal Levin comments on Zaluzhnyi refusing to even speak to Vance when he called regarding replacing President Zelensky.

“This information from The Guardian that the US was looking for a replacement for Zelensky six months ago, …
1/ Image “…and that they even called Zaluzhny but he didn’t pick up, is not surprising at all.

I actually wrote about this six months ago — we Israelis know well the nature of the US and the essence of American strategy.
2/
Aug 27 • 6 tweets • 3 min read
The ending of Mavic 3 production in favor of Mavic 4 has adversely affected both sides in Ukraine.
Ukrainian EW expert Serhii “Flash” Beskrestnov reviews the prospects for the Mavic 4.

“1. Both we and the Russians lost a lot of DJI drones due to electronic warfare (EW).
1/ Image “2. The Russians write their own firmware 1001 for Mavics (not without help from the Chinese), and we use it too. Thanks to this firmware, Mavics no longer "fall" under EW but fly upwards searching for a stable signal from the operator.
2/
Aug 26 • 7 tweets • 2 min read
The Ukrainian “Peaky Blinders” drone unit gives an encouraging report of recent conditions in the Pokrovsk area.

“Being on rotation in the Pokrovsk area for some time now, we have done a considerable amount of work and come to certain conclusions.
1/ “The situation here now is very different from what it was in the spring. Back then, Russian troops moved in groups of 2-4 people and tried to involve large forces for advancement.
2/
Aug 24 • 8 tweets • 3 min read
Russian blogger “Philologist” (Svyatoslav Golikov) admits that Ukrainian military analyst Konstantin Mashovets is correct in describing the critical effects on the Russian army of attacks on fuel and railway systems.

“A few days ago Konstantin Mashovets wrote (quote):
1/ Image “ ‘No one needs to explain the direct connection between strikes on oil refineries, fuel railway trains, transport hubs (especially railway ones), and the capabilities of Russian troops to carry out operational and strategic maneuvers with forces and means…
2/
Aug 20 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
The Russians claim that Ukraine has begun to implement mesh networks for FPVs.
New compact, inexpensive modems allow a swarm of drones to combine into a local network.
Each FPV can transmit and receive digital data packets.
1/ Image The operator when connected to one drone can control any other in the network.
The connection to the final FPV can be transmitted not through a single channel but simultaneously by several nearby drones.
This significantly increases resistance to EW jamming.
2/ Image
Aug 20 • 15 tweets • 4 min read
Israeli-Ukrainian military analyst Yigal Levin explains why Putin has convinced Trump to avoid a ceasefire.

“Why did Putin speak out against a ceasefire at the meeting with Trump and propose an alternative in the form of signing a comprehensive agreement to end the war?
1/ Image “That is, a peace treaty.

There is a point here that, as I noticed, some people miss.

A ceasefire can be organized as soon as tomorrow, all it takes is an order, and then it depends on the field commanders to comply with it.
2/
Aug 16 • 15 tweets • 5 min read
Russian correspondent Sergei Shilov believes that Ukraine will massively cover frontline roads with net tunnels, and that Russia must as well.

“Roads of Death, Corridors of Life
1/ “A vivid example of what drones are capable of in modern warfare is the Yunakovka-Sudzha route. Following the Kursk operation, there remain hundreds of burned-out Ukrainian Armed Forces vehicles.
2/
Aug 13 • 10 tweets • 3 min read
EW expert Serhii “Flash” emphasizes that Ukrainian drone detectors fail soldiers if they give too many false alarms.

“The closest Ukrainian drone detector to the Russian Bulat 3MX is Aspirin 2.0. It cannot be bought; it is distributed by the Poroshenko foundation.
1/ Image “In the photo, it is number 1.

Its sensitivity, ranges, and detection distance are not inferior to the Russian Bulat. But ours has false alarms, which Bulat does not, and it does not recognize the type of drone (Autel, DJI, FIMI).
2/ Image
Aug 12 • 6 tweets • 3 min read
Ukrainian EW expert “Flash” examines a captured Russian “Bulat” drone detector.

“The detector is really very good. We have no equivalents. I think this is 100% a Chinese development and there is nothing Russian in it. All the microchips are erased and erased very deeply.
1/
Image
Image
“Do you know what is the most important thing in a drone detector? Not sensitivity and not size, but the absence of false alarms. If there are false and unnecessary triggers, soldiers will not use the device. We once went through all this based on Tsukorka's experience.
2/ Image
Aug 11 • 16 tweets • 6 min read
A blog by “Corporal” on the prominent Russian Telegram news channel “Kotsnews” lays out the numerous Russian deficiencies in drone technology relative to Ukraine.

“This morning, a post appeared on the channel about the fighters of the 5th Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade, …
1/ Image “…who adapted their quadcopters to use anti-tank grenade launchers. Judging by the footage of the objective control video, this is an RPG-18 ‘Fly’ weighing 2.6 kilograms. A bold and effective improvisation, which was most likely invented by a local ‘handyman.’
2/
Aug 9 • 15 tweets • 4 min read
Blogger “Mad Dogs” describes modifications of Russian frontline trenches against Ukrainian FPVs and bomber drones.

“How to survive in the drone era: tricks of modern fortification

Frontline architecture is no longer about ‘trench-machine gun-grenade.’
1/ “Welcome to the era of G-shaped niches, camouflage nets and counter-drone warfare. More and more tactical solutions are born not in offices, but in trenches - under the screech of FPV and in the light of the enemy's thermal imager.
2/
Aug 9 • 13 tweets • 7 min read
Ukrainian innovation has combined the use of legacy anti-tank landmines and a large new fleet of heavy drones for deep precision mining of Russian logistical routes.
Exact nighttime drops and new electronic fuzes combine to put tremendous pressure on Russian supply vehicles.
1/ Image The Soviets developed a family of remote deployed landmines for scattering by rockets and helicopters.
Devices such as the POM-2 anti-personnel and PTM-3 anti-tank landmines were needed in considerable numbers to reliably give enough density on roads and attack routes.
2/ Image
Aug 7 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
When a drone detector displays captured enemy FPV video, is there useful information to be gleaned from the OSD (On Screen Display)?
In particular, can telemetry data help to determine the launch point of the FPV, to approximately locate the enemy operator?
1/ Image Vbat is voltage drop over time and allows estimation of the average current.
Knowing the battery capacity estimates the distance travelled.
The exact Time from the start of the flight combined with the estimated distance will calculate the flight radius.
2/
Aug 5 • 12 tweets • 3 min read
Russian blogger Alexey Zhivov satirizes the Russian car industry.

“The new Laba Bablanada has been launched into production

The main advantage of the car for 3 million rubles is that it has no alternative for buyers.
1/ Image “Bablanada does not have air conditioning, airbags or a rear row of seats because, according to the plant's marketing research, buyers rarely use all of these. For the same reason, the rear left door handle is missing.
2/
Aug 1 • 13 tweets • 3 min read
Russian blogger “Atomic Cherry” argues that Russia is in the preliminary phase of a war with Europe, and the main battle will be for control of the exit from the Baltic Sea.

“The scenario of war between Europe and Russia, which still seems abstract to most observers, …
1/ Image “…has in fact long ago entered its preliminary phase – the phase of deep organizational preparation. These are not statements, not mobilization decrees, and not loud declarations.
2/
Jul 30 • 13 tweets • 4 min read
A report to the Russian “Two Majors” Telegram channel from an artilleryman on the very poor quality of new ammunition.

“About ammunition. The information was verified through an active artillery officer who had been through more than one war and was currently at the front.
1/ Image “They write to us:

"Good health, comrade Majors! A cry from the heart, I ask for publicity, if necessary I can go through deanon with you.
2/
Jul 30 • 12 tweets • 4 min read
Russian blogger “Philologist in Ambush” (Svyatoslav Golikov) struggles to answer a difficult question.

“A typical question from a comrade in a private message: ‘Listen, what do you think, is all this just stupidity, or are they deliberately disposing of the [Russian] army?'
1/ “Putting aside thoughts on this topic, I will note: this is not just a question from the ground, but! from one of those very directions in which operational crises are developing for the enemy. In general, this is for understanding the actual price of our operational successes.
2
Jul 29 • 15 tweets • 4 min read
A Russian description of their drone tactics for the direct support of assaults.

“At the front, we can increasingly observe tactics that are already called "UAV-attack support".

This is when drones are not just reconnaissance, but a full-fledged element of the offensive.
1/ Image “Drones work systematically, consistently and, most importantly, on the nerves

🔊 The psychological effect of constant UAV strikes is a separate type of weapon.
2/
Jul 27 • 6 tweets • 2 min read
Ukrainian EW expert Serhii “Flash” Beskrestnov on children and the future of drone warfare.

“For those who do not understand where UAV technologies are heading.

Children and schoolchildren of Russia will not fight on the front lines.
1/ Image “They will sit somewhere at home, eat porridge, and remotely play the "game" of killing someone with a drone.

Young people have excellent reaction, learning ability, and motor skills.
2/ Image
Jul 22 • 4 tweets • 3 min read
Further information has been released by Ukraine about the new Russian decoy and reconnaissance UAV.
The data transmission module is a Chinese copy of the Australian RFD900X.
This powerful radio modem implies remote control of the UAV, or simultaneous control of many UAVs.
1/ Image The Russian “Gerbera” decoy and reconnaissance UAV has a similar radio modem, and continues a move away from mobile network communication seen on earlier Gerberas.
This may indicate successful Ukrainian efforts to interdict this control channel.
2/ Image