Daly Asset Management Profile picture
Sep 2 16 tweets 5 min read Read on X
American investors are living through the most psychologically brutal economic period since 2008.
But it's not a recession causing the damage...
It's the slow-motion wealth destruction that nobody talks about.
Here's what's actually happening to your money:🧵 Image
The economic data tells a story of systematic middle-class erosion disguised as "resilient growth."
Q2 GDP hit 3.0% annualized growth, but that number hides a darker reality.
July job creation collapsed to just 73,000 new positions.
Unemployment ticked up to 4.2%.
Most Americans don't realize they're paying a hidden tax that dwarfs their income gains.
Tariffs have quietly raised the average effective rate from 2.4% to over 18% this year.
That's a systematic transfer of wealth from your paycheck to government coffers.
Let's take a look:
Here's the math that financial advisors won't show you:
The average American household is paying an extra $2,400 annually in tariff costs.
Your grocery bill, furniture, clothing, and household goods all cost more.
But your salary didn't increase by $2,400...
The Yale Budget Lab calculated the real impact:
- Clothing short-term price increase 37%, long-term 17%.
- Household furnishings up 17%.
These aren't temporary spikes.
These are permanent adjustments to your cost of living.
And there's more:
Consumer price inflation sits at 2.6% in July, but that number is meaningless.
Core PCE inflation runs at 3.1%, well above the Fed's 2% target.
The Federal Reserve collected $26.6 billion in tariffs just in June.
Someone has to pay that bill...
Individual investors are feeling the psychological weight.
AAII sentiment survey shows 44.8% bearish readings as of August 20th.
That's 13.8 percentage points above the historical average.
Fear levels haven't been this extreme since early 2025... Image
The disconnect between official "growth" and lived reality is causing mass investor paralysis.
The U.S. Consumer Confidence Index dropped to 58.2 in August, down from 61.7.
People know something is wrong.
But here's what the fear is missing:
Extreme bearish sentiment historically signals market bottoms, not tops.
When AAII bearish readings exceeded 61.9% in April 2025, historical patterns show the S&P 500 typically gains about 16% over the following year.
Panic creates opportunities.
The Fed faces an impossible choice between fighting inflation and supporting a slowing economy.
Rate cuts would fuel more inflation.
Rate holds would deepen the economic slowdown.
Either way, traditional investment strategies built on predictable Fed policy are obsolete:
High-fee advisors can't navigate systematic policy-driven cost increases.
Independence matters more than ever.
Smart investors recognize that this isn't a normal business cycle:
This is a structural shift in how the American economy operates.
High tariff costs, persistent inflation, and slow growth create a new baseline.
The old rulebook doesn't work anymore:
Families see their standard of living erode despite working harder.
Investors watch portfolios gain in nominal terms while losing in real terms.
The gap between financial markets and financial reality widens daily.
This creates an opportunity:
When fear dominates and traditional strategies fail, independent investors who understand the new economic reality can build wealth.
Not by following the crowd.
But by recognizing that the crowd is usually wrong at turning points:
Tired of high-fee advisors who underdeliver?
Our FREE weekly newsletter teaches:
- How to spot hidden portfolio fees
- Macro trends Wall Street hides
- Independent investing strategies
Subscribe here for FREE: dalyam.beehiiv.com
If you found this helpful consider:
- RTing the tweet below
- Following me @DalyAManagement
Thanks for reading.

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More from @DalyAManagement

Aug 31
What if your money got 30% stronger overnight?

Sounds great, until it destroys your economy.

That’s exactly what happened in Switzerland in 2015.

ONE fatal decision triggered absolute chaos across global markets and led to $50 BILLION in losses.

Here’s the story behind it:🧵 Image
It all started with a promise.

For years, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) kept the Swiss franc (CHF) pegged to the euro at 1.20.

Why? A strong franc makes Swiss goods too expensive, hurting exports.

So, the SNB artificially weakened it.
But on Jan 15, 2015, they suddenly abandoned the peg.

What happened next was absolute financial chaos.

In minutes, the Swiss franc skyrocketed 30% against the euro.

To put that in perspective:
Read 16 tweets
Aug 17
The US dollar is dying.

For the first time in 80 years, global investors are abandoning America's currency.

Your savings, mortgage, and daily expenses are about to get crushed.

Here's the terrifying timeline of how the world's reserve currency is collapsing: 🧵 Image
Image
The numbers are brutal:

• December 31, 2024: $1 = €0.966
• June 10, 2025: $1 = €0.8747
• One euro now costs $1.143 instead of $1.041

That's a 9.8% surge in euro value in just 6 months.

Investors are fleeing dollar assets at unprecedented speed.

But why?
It started with tariff chaos that sent shockwaves through global markets.

February 4th: 10% tariffs on Chinese goods
March 3rd: Doubled to 20%
April: Tariffs hit 145% on Chinese imports

Even temporary pauses couldn't restore confidence.

JP Morgan's chief economist warned:
Read 17 tweets
Aug 10
Most investors think Buffett, Dalio, and Munger are investment geniuses.

They're not.

They're systematic wealth extractors who profit from retail investor mistakes.

I reverse-engineered their $487B playbook.

Here's how they really win:🧵 Image
Most investors think these legends succeed by picking great stocks.

That's not the real secret.

Their advantage comes from systematic wealth extraction methods that retail investors never see:
Secret #1: Infinite Time Horizons

Buffett's average holding period: 11 years
Retail investor average: 10 months

That 10x difference in time creates compounding advantages retail can never match.

Here's the math Wall Street hides:
Read 17 tweets
Aug 8
Every month you buy index funds thinking you're building wealth.

But you're actually funding your own exploitation.

3 firms control $26 trillion in assets and use that power against shareholders like you.

Here's how they rigged the system (without you realizing it):🧵 Image
Think your S&P 500 fund gives you a voice in corporate America?

Think again.

BlackRock, Vanguard, and State Street are the largest shareholders in 88% of S&P 500 companies.

When you buy their index funds, you're handing them your voting rights:
The Big Three control 74% of the entire equity ETF market. That's not diversification.

That's concentration disguised as choice.

BlackRock manages $11.5 trillion, Vanguard $10.4 trillion, State Street $4.7 trillion.

Combined: $26.2 trillion in power you handed them.
Read 17 tweets
Aug 5
Japan is secretly burning $100 billion to prevent an economic apocalypse.

Four desperate interventions in 2024 alone.

When their money runs out in 5 years, the collapse will make 2008 look like a warm-up.

Here's the $1 trillion gamble that could crash the global economy:🧵 Image
Most people think currency intervention is about national pride.

The reality? Japan is burning through its foreign reserves to prevent a debt crisis that could devastate its entire economy.

The problem is, it could take the whole world down with it.

Let’s break it down:
Japan holds $1 trillion in foreign reserves, mostly US Treasuries.

When they defend the yen, they're forced to sell America's own debt back into the market.

This creates a terrifying feedback loop that could destroy both economies.

Here's how the desperation escalated:
Read 17 tweets
Aug 3
Three investors who predicted every major crash just liquidated everything.

Ray Dalio: "Economic heart attack coming"
Michael Burry: $98M bet against Nvidia
Jeremy Grantham: "50% market collapse"

They're not warning about a recession.

They're warning about system failure:🧵 Image
Ray Dalio just issued his most terrifying prediction yet.

The founder of the world's largest hedge fund warns America faces an "economic heart attack" within 3 years.

He's calling the $37 trillion national debt "near the point of no return."

And he isn't alone:
Michael Burry liquidated nearly his entire $77 million portfolio.

The man who made $1 billion calling the 2008 housing crash just placed a $98 million bet against Nvidia alone.

His latest message to investors? One word: "Sell."

We are still not done:
Read 18 tweets

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