Putin is back on the global stage after Alaska summit, says NYT. At the Sept 1 SCO summit in Tianjin, Xi Jinping and Narendra Modi embraced him, rode in his limo, and held hands in public.
In 2022 they criticized his war. Now they show Moscow is reintegrated.
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The summit’s final communiqué never mentioned Ukraine’s war, even while listing other conflicts. Ukraine’s MFA called it surprising. The silence showed how Putin has eased isolation, even as his troops still fight in Europe’s largest war since WWII.
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Trump factor: Tariffs and trade wars with India, Brazil, and South Africa pushed them closer to Moscow.
Modi: India has other options as ties with Washington fray.
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Russia has kept ties with China, India, Turkey, Iran, Vietnam, Nepal, Tajikistan — lifelines for its wartime economy. Xi and Putin declared relations unprecedented before China’s WWII parade, where Putin will join Xi.
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Limits remain. Most partners refuse to recognize Russia’s land grabs in Ukraine, wary of angering Europe. In the Caucasus, Aliyev and Pashinyan signed a U.S.-brokered peace pledge, cutting Moscow out.
Zelenskyy: We cannot see and hear any offer for peace from Putin.
Putin is going to use the meeting in China as permission to continue his war. He tries to show that he doesn't care about the pressure on him. But it works. 1/
Zelenskyy: The situation for the Russian economy is quite complicated, and everyone who is dealing with Russia also has to understand that we are going to talk about the tariffs. 2/
Zelenskyy: The basis for the security guarantees — the strong Ukrainian army.
It's the guarantor of security and peace. So it's important to support our army: mean, weapons, training, and manufacturing of weapons. 3/
Putin hasn’t just found partners—he’s flaunting them. In Beijing, he stood with Xi, Modi, Iran’s Pezeshkian, and Kim, showing a bloc that fuels his war and challenges Western dominance. CNN: Europe now feels in the firing line.
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Russia’s war lifelines: Chinese & Indian money, Iranian drones & weapons, North Korean manpower. This bloc keeps Moscow fighting after 3.5 years. Isolation hasn’t broken Putin—it gave him new leverage.
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China & India call themselves “neutral” but bankroll Russia with oil buys & dual-use tech. U.S. Treasury: their firms supply chips & telecom parts ending up in Russian drones.
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Ukraine knocked out up to 20% of Russia’s refining—over 1M barrels/day, The Economist.
Since early Aug it hit more than a dozen refineries and depots. On Aug 30 drones struck Krasnodar and Syzran supplying Russian units. In 2025, 40% of UA long-range targets are refineries.
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Forecourts across Russia run dry, queues grow. Wholesale petrol prices jumped +54% since Jan 2025, hitting records. Moscow banned gasoline exports and ordered rationing in some regions. Jan–Jul budget deficit: $61.4B. Strikes now cover an 800 km arc from Ryazan to Volgograd.
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Ukraine’s FP-1 drone drives the campaign: built at ~100 per day, cost $55K, range 1,600 km, 60–120 kg warhead, hardened against jamming. Lyutyi drones also used. Larger swarms overwhelm air defenses, repeatedly hitting the same sites to choke fuel flows to the front.
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Macron: Russia has lost 1M soldiers, either dead or wounded, and has taken over a considerable portion of Ukrainian territory. Russia does not have the right.
Russia is continuing to send soldiers to the front to try and win over a few more kilometers. 1/
Macron: Russia is fighting an immoral war. Discussions are only possible if we can have very strong peace guarantees for Ukrainian people.
Those conditions are absolutely essential for a ceasefire or a peace agreement or an armistice. 2/
Macron: Today the Coalition of the Willing met to ensure political and military commitments and pledges.
All 35 members agreed to ensure peace and security stability for Ukraine. 3/
NSJ: The U.S. has failed for 30 years to create a clear strategy to deter Russia, relying on “resets” instead of using strong military and strategic power.
Since 1991, U.S. policy has focused on relations, not deterring Russian expansion. 1/
During the Cold War, US contained USSR, using hard power, alliances, and aiming for the Soviet collapse.
Under Putin, Russia rearmed and pursued imperial goals, exploiting U.S. inaction and Europe’s Nord Stream reliance. 2/
Some U.S. experts wrongly saw Ukraine, Belarus, and the Baltics as Russia’s security buffer, fueling NATO debates.
U.S. efforts focused on ideology, “normative language,” and distant theaters (Middle East, nation-building) while ignoring Europe’s strategic security needs. 3/