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Sep 3 17 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Russian blogger “Atomic Cherry” argues that much greater Ukrainian organizational flexibility has defeated Russian systems run by Soviet-style thinking.

“Within the framework of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, one can clearly see an interesting trend: …
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“…the mismatch of competencies of military structures regarding the technologies used on the battlefield. Sounds unclear, right?
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“Well, in reality, it is very simple– for example, the Air Force turned out to be extremely incompetent in the war of unmanned systems, although formally the vast majority of the weapons used are aircraft, ie, they correspond to the environment in which the Air Force operates.
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“Or, say, take the naval structures, which turned out to be surprisingly helpless in the naval war, despite the apparent abundance of technical means and resources.
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“This leads to very curious results – the war in complex operational environments begins to be waged by structures that seem to be extremely far from such by their competencies.
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“It is especially interesting to observe this in the example of Ukraine – despite the fact that the Armed Forces of Ukraine are de facto the same fragment of the Soviet system as the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, the Ukrainian military bureaucracy has a much…
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“…lower level of systemic influence – it is structurally ‘loose,’ and it has been possible to extract resources, functions, means, and technologies from it in favor of alternative forms and types of organization.
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“(similar processes are happening in Russia, but on a less massive and obvious scale, because the military bureaucracy is much more monolithic and knows how to defend its historical monopoly).
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“This made it possible to form parallel General Staff and Ministry of Defense military-civilian structures–such as the Forces of Unmanned Systems, for example–or to transfer part of the military functions to other power agencies as happened with the Security Service of Ukraine.
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“And interestingly, these rather modest in scale and number parallel structures have become some of the key pillars of Ukrainian defense capability.
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“Why did this happen? The difference in the thinking of the leaders. The difference in the system of organizing combat work, approaches, and goal-setting.
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“For example, look at the units responsible for "deep strike" on Russian territory – the 14th Regiment of the Forces of Unmanned Systems. It is easy to assume that the topic of long-range air attack means is handled by a former Air Force officer, right?
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“But no, the 14th Regiment was organized by an officer...of the Special Operations Forces. A person who has nothing to do with air warfare–but nevertheless ensured very serious results (not only the destruction of oil refineries but also work on Russian military warehouses; ..
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“…regular strikes on fuel echelons – also the work of this unit).

A professional saboteur and infiltration specialist turned out to be more competent, flexible, and understanding of the situation than the ‘classic’ specialists formally trained to operate in this environment.
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And this is a widespread situation on both sides of the front. "Classical military education" turned out to be mostly ineffective, not corresponding to the moment and needs. Trends are set by specialists from more flexible, adaptive structures…
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“…(by the way, about trends: the use of FPV drones in combat originated in the Ukrainian Special Operations Forces and the Security Service of Ukraine), by default related to intelligence activities, working with complex data, and non-standard tasks.”
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More from @GrandpaRoy2

Sep 1
Russian nationalist and war critic Igor Girkin (aka Stelkov) writes from his prison cell that Ukraine doesn't need the 18–22 year olds now able to leave the country.

“Ukraine has started allowing men aged 18 to 22 to leave the country; the first conscripts have already left.
1/ Image
“For some reason, everyone here insists on seeing some kind of PR in the enemy's actions and denies the enemy any rationality. We still haven't unlearned ‘throwing hats’ at the enemy,’ ‘laughing’ at Iskanders, and saying that if we want, if we strain ourselves, …
2/
“…we will be in Kyiv and defeat everyone.

Things are completely different. The enemy is smart, cunning, resourceful, ruthless, determined, and resilient. And after three and a half years of war, some propagandists, to put it mildly, have not appreciated or understood this.
3/ Image
Read 12 tweets
Sep 1
Ukraine's reports that strikes on Russian production and storage facilities of Shahed (Russian: Geran-2) strike UAVs reduced the number of their launches by a third in August, from 6302 to 4132.
1/ Militarnyi.comImage
The Russian practice of accumulating Shaheds for massive attacks every 3-4 days was also diminished, with the maximum attack in July of 728 drones reduced to 110 in August.
2/ Image
The Izhevsk Electromechanical Plant "Kupol" that produces chips for military drones was struck in July, destroying four production workshops.
The company completely stopped working.
3/ Image
Read 8 tweets
Aug 31
The Ukrainian Telegram channel “Deep State” summarizes new Russian assault tactics that include bypassing infantry to target drone and mortar operators in the rear.

“Increasing the use of NPK, strike wings, and heavy FPV. The enemy is experiencing problems with infantry, …
1/ Image
“…so they are betting on the robotization of certain processes. If in 2024 their idiot with TM [TM-62] went without small arms and threw a mine into a dugout, now they want to completely transfer this task to the drone component to prevent the detection of assault groups.
2/
“The enemy is abandoning the use of a large number of personnel. There are no longer columns of 30-60 heads. Assault actions by 2-4 assault troops have become the norm. Of course, there are more groups.
3/ Image
Read 7 tweets
Aug 30
Russian operators often claim that the Ukrainians hijacked their drone to explain its loss to their boss.
One of their own describes what really happens.

“So, we found out that you cannot hijack commercial drones (Mavics, Autelis, and Matrices) in the sense of taking control.
1/ Image
“What can you do then?
The simplest thing is to let it fly away with the wind into the sunset. Again, to understand the problem, you need to know your hardware!
2/
“The Mavic 3 (the most common series on the front) determines its position in space by barometer (altitude), signals from navigation satellites (altitude, speed relative to the ground, drone's geographic location), and the Visual Positioning system…
3/
Read 15 tweets
Aug 27
Israeli-Ukrainian military analyst Yigal Levin comments on Zaluzhnyi refusing to even speak to Vance when he called regarding replacing President Zelensky.

“This information from The Guardian that the US was looking for a replacement for Zelensky six months ago, …
1/ Image
“…and that they even called Zaluzhny but he didn’t pick up, is not surprising at all.

I actually wrote about this six months ago — we Israelis know well the nature of the US and the essence of American strategy.
2/
“And yes, they are great masters of coups and replacing disobedient elites.

Back then, Zaluzhny, on the contrary, met with Zelensky, making it clear to the Americans that during the war he would not allow the political echelon to be split.
3/ Image
Read 10 tweets
Aug 27
The ending of Mavic 3 production in favor of Mavic 4 has adversely affected both sides in Ukraine.
Ukrainian EW expert Serhii “Flash” Beskrestnov reviews the prospects for the Mavic 4.

“1. Both we and the Russians lost a lot of DJI drones due to electronic warfare (EW).
1/ Image
“2. The Russians write their own firmware 1001 for Mavics (not without help from the Chinese), and we use it too. Thanks to this firmware, Mavics no longer "fall" under EW but fly upwards searching for a stable signal from the operator.
2/
“The operator then brings the drone back home.

3. Losses of Mavics are minimized.

4. DJI recently announced the release of the 4th generation of drones, for which there is no 1001 firmware and no magical EW countermeasures. Production of the 3rd series is discontinued.
3/ Image
Read 6 tweets

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