My tweet unexpectedly became quite popular. Need to say that I clearly understand that I may be wrong. Or expect too much from Russians. Perhaps.
But don’t be delusional. This «last push» may last > 1 year.
A little bit more about Russian strategic manoeuvres🔽🧵
Everything what is said — my own conclusions. I will tell you just a couple of random facts and you may have your own conclusions after that. But I am not changing my mind.
In a lot of cases I think that Russian higher military command became, looks like, much more adoptive to the situations and even more creative.
Unfortunately, I need to say they have become more talented. IMHO. At least in a lot of cases.
The fact that they deployed 5/6 marine brigades into Dobropilla direction (alongside with a tank regiment, infantry regiment and 2 motorised brigades) and considering(!) to use them only in one direction under the only one command — tells a lot.
Let me repeat myself again: they redirected 9 regiments/brigades near Dobropilla. If you think that will use those brigades in charge without armed columns — it’s up to you.
Apart from that that deployed a fresh 70 motorised division from Kherson oblast to Chasiv Yar.
And I even say nothing about Lyman direction.
What is also interesting that Russians are going to use the 7 VDV division alongside with 4(!) new VDV regiments (and motorised units) at Zaporizhia direction.
And all of them during autumn will do it on their foot?
7 VDV regiments and approximately the same amount from motorised units. Do they want to capture the city? No, they don’t.
They want held theirs positions (in the future) as close as possible to Zaporizhia.
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
The 90 gtd together with the 5th tank brigade and 36 motorised brigade launched an offensive near Sviatohirsk, Donetsk oblast.
They been firing at our positions for 5 hours with 152 mm SPGs and 122 mm MRLS.
After that — 9 tanks and 16 BMP-2 entered the village.
We had only 1 120 mm mortar and 60 rounds for it. And 1 2S1 behind us from airborne.
It was quite tuff. And I was 100% sure that I will die there.
And this is the thing I am proud of myself: that being 100% sure that I will die I stayed and held my position near the oak.
Back than it was a totally different war. No FPV drones, no guided bombs.
Just massive AFV columns, a lot of artillery. Or, fox example, 4 Russian Su-25 flying and bombing the village you live in just 15 km from the frontline.
I need to say that those things that U gonna read are personal experience and represents Russian actions at the Western (the hardest since November till December) flank.
I hope it will help future historians to write a decent research.
And yes. This thread is not about the problems the AFU faced, Koreans or anything else.
This one is quite «technical», I would say. Because if I would like to write more and in complex — this thread would be close to a word «endless».