π¨BREAKING: BULL RUN WILL END IN 50 DAYS!
Cycle Peak Countdown indicator says $BTC is 95% done
I researched all the data and found smth interesting
Here is what will happen and why we will dump hard soonπ§΅ππ»
Cycle Peak Countdown indicator says $BTC is 95% done
I researched all the data and found smth interesting
Here is what will happen and why we will dump hard soonπ§΅ππ»
β« Before we get started
β I'll be making my profile private soon, so to keep up with my latest threads and insights, make sure you follow @0xChainMind and join my TG
β Please consider retweeting the first post, or simply giving it a like if u're appreciate my work
β I'll be making my profile private soon, so to keep up with my latest threads and insights, make sure you follow @0xChainMind and join my TG
β Please consider retweeting the first post, or simply giving it a like if u're appreciate my work
1/β« I know many of my followers don't have much money to invest in
That's why I want to help you
If you really want this to change and start making life-changing money this bull run - here is the decision:
Everything you need is inside @Degen_Uni:
- Community
- Daily Alpha
- 12 pro mentors
- 100x plays
All for just $99, so join now (spots are limited)π
degenuniversity.xyz
That's why I want to help you
If you really want this to change and start making life-changing money this bull run - here is the decision:
Everything you need is inside @Degen_Uni:
- Community
- Daily Alpha
- 12 pro mentors
- 100x plays
All for just $99, so join now (spots are limited)π
degenuniversity.xyz
2/β« Market cycles are simple but brutal
β Bitcoin rises in four acts
- Accumulation
- Rally
- Euphoric blow-off
- Crash
β Weβre deep in act three β profit is everywhere, sentiment is high, and history says the finale comes fast
β Let me explain moreπ
β Bitcoin rises in four acts
- Accumulation
- Rally
- Euphoric blow-off
- Crash
β Weβre deep in act three β profit is everywhere, sentiment is high, and history says the finale comes fast
β Let me explain moreπ
3/β« On-chain confirms it
β Nearly 90% of supply is in profit, MVRV and NUPL are stretched
β That kind of across-the-board profitability only happens near cycle tops
β Itβs the moment when holders turn into sellers, setting the stage for reversals
β Nearly 90% of supply is in profit, MVRV and NUPL are stretched
β That kind of across-the-board profitability only happens near cycle tops
β Itβs the moment when holders turn into sellers, setting the stage for reversals
4/β« Spot ETFs hold ~$142B AUM, flows flipped positive again in September after summer outflows
β Yet inflows are modest, not euphoric
β Thatβs late-stage behavior β cautious buying into what could be the final leg
β Yet inflows are modest, not euphoric
β Thatβs late-stage behavior β cautious buying into what could be the final leg
5/β« Seasonality strengthens the case
β Sep 2025 was flat at +2.3%, keeping the weak late-summer pattern
β But Q4 flips the script:
+10.8% Oct 2024
+37.3% Nov 2024
+25.5% Oct 2023
+42.9% Nov 2020
β Oct β Nov has always delivered the parabolic moves that close bull cycles
β Sep 2025 was flat at +2.3%, keeping the weak late-summer pattern
β But Q4 flips the script:
+10.8% Oct 2024
+37.3% Nov 2024
+25.5% Oct 2023
+42.9% Nov 2020
β Oct β Nov has always delivered the parabolic moves that close bull cycles
6/β« Price action already mimics past cycles
β Augustβs $124K ATH followed by a dip to ~$110K mirrors 2017 and 2021 late-summer pullbacks
β Those dips were the pause before the blow-off
β Key supports are $97β101K β lose them and the script breaks
β Augustβs $124K ATH followed by a dip to ~$110K mirrors 2017 and 2021 late-summer pullbacks
β Those dips were the pause before the blow-off
β Key supports are $97β101K β lose them and the script breaks
7/β« Miners are still in the green
β Their average break-even cost sits near $95K, while BTC trades above $111K
β That margin keeps rigs running and removes forced selling pressure
β As long as miners stay profitable, supply stress isnβt the trigger for a top just yet
β Their average break-even cost sits near $95K, while BTC trades above $111K
β That margin keeps rigs running and removes forced selling pressure
β As long as miners stay profitable, supply stress isnβt the trigger for a top just yet
8/β« Now the timing math
β We are 1,020 days past the Nov 2022 bottom, and past cycles topped after 1,060β1,100 days
β That puts the peak in late Octβmid Nov 2025 β roughly 50 days away
β This isnβt guesswork: itβs the same rhythm that marked 2017 and 2021 blow-offs
β We are 1,020 days past the Nov 2022 bottom, and past cycles topped after 1,060β1,100 days
β That puts the peak in late Octβmid Nov 2025 β roughly 50 days away
β This isnβt guesswork: itβs the same rhythm that marked 2017 and 2021 blow-offs
9/β« Halving confirms the timing
β April 2024 cut block rewards in half, reducing new supply dramatically
β Historically, cycle peaks follow 520β580 days later β and right now weβre 510 days in
β That means we are entering zone where every past blow-off top has taken place
β April 2024 cut block rewards in half, reducing new supply dramatically
β Historically, cycle peaks follow 520β580 days later β and right now weβre 510 days in
β That means we are entering zone where every past blow-off top has taken place
10/β« What happens after the peak?
β Each cycle has ended with a 70β80% drawdown stretched over 370β410 days
β If BTC tops near $120K, the script points to ~$30K lows by late 2026
β The bear always arrives slower than expected, but it never fails to come
β Each cycle has ended with a 70β80% drawdown stretched over 370β410 days
β If BTC tops near $120K, the script points to ~$30K lows by late 2026
β The bear always arrives slower than expected, but it never fails to come
11/β« Altcoins always follow last
β Bitcoin peaks first, then liquidity rotates as traders chase one final run in alts
β That phase is fast and euphoric, but collapses hit harder than BTC
β Both 2018 and 2021 proved the script β nothing suggests 2025 will be different
β Bitcoin peaks first, then liquidity rotates as traders chase one final run in alts
β That phase is fast and euphoric, but collapses hit harder than BTC
β Both 2018 and 2021 proved the script β nothing suggests 2025 will be different
12/β« All roads converge:
- On-chain greed
- Cautions ETF flows
- Explosive Q4 seasonality
- Cycle math
β ~50 days remain for the blow-off top before winter sets in
β Discipline now decides who keeps profits and who rides them back down
- On-chain greed
- Cautions ETF flows
- Explosive Q4 seasonality
- Cycle math
β ~50 days remain for the blow-off top before winter sets in
β Discipline now decides who keeps profits and who rides them back down
β« Also, make sure you're subscribed to my Tg channel and don't miss any new threads
t.me/ChainMindAlpha
t.me/ChainMindAlpha
β« I hope you've found this thread helpful!
Follow me @0xChainMind for more.
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