Roman Sheremeta 🇺🇸🇺🇦 Profile picture
Sep 6 11 tweets 2 min read Read on X
The U.S. economy is in real trouble — just look at the latest jobs report.

With 300+ million people, the U.S. historically added about 150,000 jobs a month, roughly in line with population growth.

1/n Image
2/ Then came the pandemic crash of spring 2020: 1.4 million jobs lost in March, 20 million in April.
3/ The rebound followed: millions of jobs added monthly in summer–fall 2020. In 2021 growth slowed, but in 2022 job creation surged to 400,000–900,000 a month — two to four times the historical norm.
4/ By 2023, things leveled at 200–250k a month. In 2024, sometimes closer to 100k, still solid. Toward the end of Biden’s term, the pace accelerated again — some months above 300k.
5/ Then, January 5: a new president. Winter–spring: job growth cooled to 100–120k.
6/ Then came tariffs and deportations from farms and construction sites. May saw just 19k new jobs — the weakest in decades outside the pandemic. June: –13k — catastrophic. July: 79k — historically low again.
7/ The response? Fire the head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Blame the “bad numbers.” Appoint your own guy.

Didn’t help. The new chief reported only +22k in August — and revised June and July down even further.
8/ The biggest losses? Manufacturing. Exactly where tariffs were supposed to “bring jobs back.”
9/ The excuse? “We’re building a record number of factories. Imports are banned. Everything will be made in the U.S. Just wait.” Yet construction is also down. Where are all those workers?
10/ The truth is simple: the economy runs on stability. Tariffs, new laws, even new ministries — business can adapt.

What kills growth is chaos. One thing in the morning, another by noon, something else by evening, and tomorrow — no one knows.
11/ Wild swings — cuts one day, threats to allies the next, hugs with enemies after — leave businesses unable to plan or invest.

Trump’s policies are killing the U.S. economy.

Source: adapted from Vasyl Taras

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More from @rshereme

Sep 3
In russia, 12-year-old Masha Moskalyova drew rockets flying toward a Ukrainian family and wrote:
“No to war. No to Putin.” – Die Welt.

Her classmates reported her.

1/n Image
2/ Soon after, russian authorities arrested her father, Oleksii.

On New Year’s Eve, masked men with weapons stormed their apartment — smashing walls, stealing money, and beating him again.
3/ FSB officers tortured Oleksii:
•slammed his head against a wall under putin’s portrait
•blasted the anthem at full volume
•locked him in a 2-meter cell
•forced him to stand 16 hrs/day
•left him with rats crawling out of the toilet
Read 7 tweets
Sep 3
What Security Guarantees Ukraine Actually Needs

Lately there have been many talks about possible “security guarantees” for Ukraine. It’s time to cut through the noise and lay out what real assurances could look like.

1/n Image
2/ No more illusions about russian “guarantees.”

History has shown one thing beyond doubt: russia’s promises are worthless. From the Budapest Memorandum to countless ceasefires, Moscow has broken every pledge the moment it suited them.
3/ Foreign troops on the ground?

Some suggest U.S. or European “peacekeepers” in Ukraine. The hard truths:
* U.S. boots on the ground are politically impossible – neither party supports it.
* Credible deterrence would require 100,000+ troops – far more than Europe could muster.
Read 14 tweets
Sep 2
In 2027, Russia attacks Poland from Belarus and the Kaliningrad region. It occupies Suwałki, and the front line stabilizes near Białystok. Every night, Russia bombs Polish cities, striking hospitals and kindergartens alike.

1/n Image
2/ NATO’s response is limited. Weapons are sent to Poland, but no soldiers. Western European countries have armies too small to enter the fight.
3/ Thousands of refugees from eastern Poland and bombed-out cities flee to Germany and France. Men send their families to safety.
Read 12 tweets
Aug 29
Peace talks are dead. Security “guarantees” from Europe look hollow. The U.S. waits for a Ukraine–russia summit that will likely never happen.

So what can the U.S. and EU do now to truly help end the war?

1/n Image
1. Expand sanctions.

Target Lukoil & Rosneft — two giants behind nearly half of russia’s crude exports. Cutting their revenues would directly weaken the Kremlin’s war machine. /2
2. Enforce sanctions properly.

Today russian drones still contain U.S., French & German parts. Just like during the Cold War, exports must be tracked from first buyer to final use. No loopholes. /3
Read 8 tweets
Aug 27
Europe’s rearmament is happening at historic speed.

Since russia’s invasion of Ukraine, Europe has been expanding military factory capacity three times faster. From 790,000 m² in 2020-2021 to 2.8 million m² in 2024-2025 - a true “rearmament of historic proportions.”

1/n Image
2/ One of the largest projects is the joint Rheinmetall-N7 Holding venture in Hungary. Construction began in 2022, and by 2024 the first plant producing 30mm shells for Lynx IFVs was already operational.
3/ Meanwhile, Rheinmetall has just opened a new artillery shell factory in Lower Saxony, Germany. Built in only 15 months, with €500M in investment and covering the size of five football fields, it will: …
Read 5 tweets
Aug 27
Russian officials saying that Putin will not sign any agreement with Zelensky, because he is “illegitimate.”

All of this is a direct consequence of Trump trying to appease Putin. I saw this coming eight months ago.

Here is what I wrote on February 18:

1/n Image
2/ Here is what I wrote on February 18:

Fox News has reported that russia and the U.S. have proposed a three-step peace plan, which includes a ceasefire, elections in Ukraine, and the signing of a final agreement.
3/ According to media sources, russia views new elections in Ukraine as a key condition for the success of the settlement process.

Why is russia pushing for elections in Ukraine?
Read 9 tweets

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