1/ 🚨 Big news from the COMEX silver market:
U.S. banks are slashing their short positions at a record pace. What does it mean for silver’s future? Let’s break it down…
Source: From Ed Steer report
2/ 📉 According to the September Bank Participation Report:
5 major U.S. banks now hold only 13,779 net short contracts in silver — down from 25,916 in August.
That’s a 47.5% month-over-month decline — the smallest short position since June 2019.
3/ Their share of total open interest?
👉 Just 8.7% — and possibly even lower after the report’s cut-off.
For years, these banks have been the backbone of COMEX shorting. Now, they’re pulling back
4/ 🌍 Including all 24 reporting banks (U.S. + foreign):
Net short = 40.1% of total open interest
Down from 44.6% just a month ago
This marks a broad retreat from short exposure.
5/ 💡 Why are the banks backing off? Possible reasons:
🔥 Exploding physical demand (ETF inflows, mint shortages, record coin sales)
6/ 🏭 Silver as a critical mineral for energy, tech & defense
🇨🇳 China’s pressure on commodities & supply chains
📉 Weakening economy — shorting is too risky
🪙 Gold rallying hard — silver usually follows
7/ 📈 If U.S. banks are exiting their shorts, it could mean only one thing:
The market is preparing for a major upside move.
The old playbook is breaking down.
The floor under silver keeps rising
8/ 💥 Bottom line:
The U.S. banks’ silver short implosion is a bullish signal.
When the “paper walls” crumble, the physical market will speak loudest.
#Silver #SilverSqueeze
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In its Q2 2025 13F filing it disclosed 932,000 shares of SLV (~$30.6M) and 203,700 shares of SIL (~$9.8M). That’s a clear signal on the radar.
2/ Important note: A 13F = investment portfolio filing, not official FX reserves. Still, it’s unusual to see a central bank directly exposed to silver through ETFs.
3/ Demand is roaring: Industrial silver demand hit a record 680.5 Moz in 2024 — the 4th year in a row. Drivers: solar PV, electronics, autos, and grids.
1/ UK long #bonds are flashing red: 30-yr gilt ~5.57% today -near 27-year highs. Not a fire yet, but the smoke is everywhere. If the UK is the first domino, what does it mean for metals?
For #silver stackers: time to fasten seatbelts.
2/ The curve now: 2Y ~3.97% • 10Y ~4.71% • 30Y ~5.57%. Investors demand extra premium for decades of UK debt.
Translation: rising doubt about long-term fiscal discipline and inflation control.
3/ When governments pay more to roll debt they must: issue more, tax more, or inflate more. All three dilute purchasing power. That’s tailwind for scarce monetary assets.
1/ 📈 The top 10% largest US stocks now make up a record 76% of the entire US equity market.
That’s more concentrated than:
– The Dot-Com Bubble (73%)
– The 1930s Great Depression (75%)
We are in uncharted territory. 🧵
2/ When market power is this concentrated, you don’t have a “broad” market anymore — just a handful of giants pulling the entire index.
If they fall, everything falls.
3/ Now combine that with this:
📊 Buffett Indicator (Market Cap-to-GDP) = 210%
That’s “Significantly Overvalued” territory.
Even Buffett himself says over 200% is a danger zone.
1/ Yes, we’ve discussed this topic before -
but I believe it’s important to bring it up again, this time with details taken directly from Donald Trump’s Executive Order.
What’s written in black and white makes the picture even clearer — and more alarming. 🧵
2/ 🚨 The White House just signed an Executive Order to “Democratize” 401(k) investments.
Sounds nice, right?
Here’s what it really means and why it could turn millions of Americans’ retirement savings into a Wall Street casino.
3/ The EO opens the door for 401(k) retirement plans (used by over 90 million Americans) to invest in:
Private equity
Real estate & infrastructure projects
Commodities
Digital assets (including crypto)
“Lifetime income” products
💡 Commodities like gold and silver aren’t that hard to understand.
But why let a fund hold them for you with fees and paper claims - when you can own and manage them yourself?
The U.S. is now shortening the gold supply chain.
Instead of London → Switzerland → New York,
the goal is to bring it all home.
Lower costs, more control...
…and another nail in London’s coffin.👇
2/ Gold destined for COMEX typically flows through:
🇬🇧 LBMA (pricing) →
🇨🇭 Switzerland (refining) →
🇺🇸 New York (delivery)
This setup made sense decades ago.
Today? It's overly complex, expensive, and slow.
3/ China runs a tight, efficient system:
SGE (spot) + SHFE (futures) – both in one country.
Directly connected to refiners and banks.
The West? Still dependent on London & Swiss refiners.