Clément Molin Profile picture
Sep 8, 2025 • 25 tweets • 12 min read • Read on X
From Poland 🇵🇱 to Moldova 🇲🇩 stretches the longest Ukrainian 🇺🇦 defensive line, 2 800 km !

The biggest fortification system is in the east, in Donbass, but we can also find massive fortifications near Belarus, Kharkiv, or Odessa.

Let's analyse what is new :

🧵THREAD🧵1/25 ⬇️Image
Since 2014, ukrainian forces have been fortifying the frontline, primarly with trenches, dugouts and bunkers.

In 2022, 2023 and 2024, they also added new defensive lines everywhere, with anti-tank ditches and open-air trenches, which are now obsolete. 2025 saw a new program : Image
Previous trenches and fortifications were obsolete, no dugouts, no firing positions, no cover against drones and too large for small infantry teams.

Thus, since the first months of 2025, we have seen a new strategy of trench and fortification building. Image
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The first, and main defensive system has been called "New Donbass Line" by @Playfra0 and myself.

It consists of one (and now two) massive 3 rows anti-tank ditches, with hidden positions behind, barbed wire and dragon teeths. It run from the Kharkiv oblast border to south-Donetsk Image
This line is simply massive, here are some pictures and a map showing how it works.

Of course, it is not perfect, because there are obviously holes (roads, rivers...), but it is the best thing ever done by Ukraine.

It mainly stretches behind the main Donbass cities. Image
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After a summer break, ukrainian engineering units started again to dig, especially filling the hole in the system north of Dobropilla, and preparing a new line south of Kramatorsk to avoid any progress between both lines. Image
As you can see in this zoomed vision, Ukraine is adding 2 more anti-tank ditches to the existing one on the first line (built after the second) and are expanding the east-west line.

As you may know, in red, you can find trenches from 2025 and in yellow older ones. Image
However, if you clicked on this thread, it's because you want to know something else. I said from Poland to Moldova :

While looking at Chernihiv oblast, I saw this. Holes in the forests and brand new ditches. It shows something new is being prepared. Image
Few weeks ago, I sighted the first expansion of the "New Donbass Line" method to the northern part of the country, with the massive line being sighted north of Yampil in Sumy oblast.

This area was not fortified before and we are around 10km from the border. Image
If you read my threads, you may have read one about the defensive line of the north-eastern corner of Ukraine.

Indeed, I mapped the 2024 defensive line there. Image
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Through sentinel-2, I managed to see a long deforestation line ongoing west of Slavutytch, parrallel to the Dnipro river, facing Belarus.

It is in fact the first sight of a modern defensive line : they are getting ready to dig in the middle of the forest. Image
And this is not the only area where the new defensive line is being improved on the russian/belarussian border.

I managed to find the first portions of new 3 rows ditches + barbed wire and dragon teeths lines in Sumy and Kharkiv oblast. Image
Here are some pictures of these new lines.

How does construction works ?

Generally, military units are in charge to fortify the frontline, the military engineering units are fortifying behind them and private companies are doing the big lines.

They mooved from east to north. Image
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What about the Poland-Kyiv line ?

It was mainly built in 2023 and 2024, but local units and companies are still improving existing lines. Since the area mainly concists of swamps and forest, there are only few roads to fortify.

Around Chernobyl, there is constant improvment. Image
What about the Zaporizhia defensive lines ?

This is where there is a big problem. The 2024 two Zaporizhia lines are still here, even if they are being croped from the east with russian push.

But there have been no new improvment. Zaporizhia, Pokrovsk'e or Vassylkivka are left widely undefended...Image
In Kherson, Mykolaiv and Odessa oblasts, we can still find older fortifications, including the Kherson defensive line behind the city going from the sea to the northern part of the oblast.

There is also a long anti-tank ditch system on the border with Transnistria and Moldova Image
To understand the 2 800 km line, we have to cut it into 7 parts, I will rate the fortification by how good, long and useful they are.

-Poland-Kyiv : 4/10
-Tchernihiv/Sumy/Kharkiv : 5/10
-Kharkiv/Izium : 8/10
-Donbass : 8/10
-South : 4/10
-Kherson : 4/10
-Odessa/Moldova 3/10 Image
Now that we saw all the main areas of this long line and how different it can be, lets do 3 case study of Kharkiv, the Oskil and Donbass, where the defensive line is finished.

Kharkiv : for the first time, there is a correct line north of the city, only vulnerability is forests. Image
Here, west of Kharkiv, we can see 4 ditches, 3 new and one older. The line looks good, but there is one problem, it should also go through the forest to avoid infantry penetration. Image
The Oksil line : behind the Oskil river and before the Siverski Donets one, we can see two lines, the main one, behind, is very good. No holes, a lot of small positions and in front of small cities.

The first one is still to be completed. Image
A very good point here, how they covered the roads. You have to let roads, for your own troops to go and retreat.

But they are also used by your ennemy to attack. Here, the fire can be concentrated between the ditches, honestly, it is nearly impossible to cross here. Image
For the Donbass part, there is one big vulnerability, it is west of Sloviansk. This forest can be easily crossed by infantry (maybe there is barbed xire, I cannot tell).

Another vulnerability between those mines, the ditch was stopping, now they are filling the hole. Image
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My next work will be to map all the holes (road, rivers, forests... in the new defensive lines to understand where Russia will try to cross it.

Here, there was a big hole (even if vehicles cannot cross, infantry can), but they did good work. Image
Let's be clear, fortifications cannot stop the russian army, but :

-It stopped all armoured assaults
-It forces the infantry to take another road
-It concentrates ukrainian means and firepower
-It offers a good defensive position

-> When you see how massive lines are, with 3 ditches filled with barbed wire, with barbed wire everywhere and dragon teeths, that you see the reduced number of suitable roads, you understand how useful they will be when Russia will reach them.

It will be way more difficult to push, because it would require time, men and a lot of means to cut the barbed wire, cross the ditches and establish supplies with an increasing number of drones.

I will soon offer new perspectives with videos, photos and a map of all suitable holes for infantry and vehicles for a better understanding of where Russia will push !Image
Thank you all for following and reading this thread. Besides the writing work is a longer one, mapping. It takes time, energy but it is very useful.

You can support me here :

Don't hesistate to ask me questions :buymeacoffee.com/clement.molin

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More from @clement_molin

Jun 18
Ukraine 🇺🇦 has now targeted around 500 russian 🇷🇺 trucks and vehicles during the last 48 days.

Mid-range strikes continue to expand across occupied territories, on roads, bridges and rear base. This continues to slow down russian offensive.

🧵THREAD🧵1/13 ⬇️
From tomorrow, I will be off for more than 1 week, which means there won't be any new map/airstrike/fortification/mid-range strikes update, apart from some small tweets.

I will however continue to follow the overall trends.
In total, I have 270 geolocated strikes on trucks and vehicles since january, most of those are from May to June.

The key Rostov-Crimea road remains the priority target, but roads in Donetsk, Luhansk and Kherson oblast have also been largely targeted. Image
Read 13 tweets
Jun 15
La guerre en Ukraine 🇺🇦/🇷🇺 a désormais dépassé la durée de la Première Guerre mondiale et pourrait encore durer plusieurs années.

Voici ce qu’il faut savoir en juin 2026 de ce conflit généralisé aux portes de l’Europe 🇪🇺 qui n'en finit plus.

🧵THREAD🧵1/10 ⬇️ Image
Quel est l’objectif de guerre de la Russie, pays agresseur ?

Les objectifs de guerre de la Fédération de Russie ont beaucoup évolué depuis quatre ans. Outre les déclarations officielles, le principal objectif russe est resté territorial et politique. Moscou cherchait, le 24 février, à vassaliser l’Ukraine tout en annexant une large région, la « Novorossia », entre Kharkiv, le Donbass et Odessa. Cet objectif a largement évolué, notamment après l’échec des offensives sur Kyiv, Kharkiv et Odessa.

Aujourd’hui, l’objectif territorial principal reste l’occupation de toute la région du Donbass, en particulier sa capitale de facto, Kramatorsk. Il est très probable que l’armée russe dispose de deux objectifs territoriaux secondaires : l’occupation complète des deux autres oblasts annexés, Kherson (ce qui est quasi impossible à l’heure actuelle) et Zaporijjia, et l’harmonisation de la ligne de front sur la rivière Oskil dans l’oblast de Kharkiv.

L’objectif politique initial — redonner à la Russie sa puissance d’antan, l’ancrer dans l’Eurasie, retrouver les populations, les industries, les mines et l’accès à la mer des deux voisins slaves (l’Ukraine et la Biélorussie) — reste inchangé. Sans l’Ukraine, la Russie est condamnée à être une puissance secondaire et plus largement asiatique, sa dimension d’empire s’effaçant avec la montée en parallèle de la démographie non slave.

Les autres objectifs qui ont pu jouer un rôle auparavant sont caduques aujourd’hui : la démilitarisation de l’Ukraine semble impossible, quatre ans de guerre d’attrition n’ayant pas conduit à un effondrement ukrainien. La dénazification, étendard pour parler de l’effacement du nationalisme ukrainien, est également un échec. Les nationalistes ukrainiens sont plus forts et décomplexés que jamais, représentant près de 100 000 hommes dans l’armée ukrainienne. Les figures antirusses controversées d’Europe centrale et orientale ont par ailleurs été réhabilitées. Empêcher l’OTAN et l’UE de s’étendre à l’Est était aussi un mirage. Bien que la considération eût été réelle, la Suède et la Finlande ont rejoint l’Alliance, tandis que la Moldavie, le Caucase du Sud, les Balkans occidentaux et l’Ukraine ont accéléré leur rapprochement avec l’Europe, tous brandissant la menace russe.

L’objectif russe est donc désormais d’installer la confrontation dans la durée, jusqu’à un effondrement hypothétique de l’aide à l’Ukraine (qui semble compromise par la dernière aide de l’UE), l’essoufflement de la population ukrainienne (une considération bien réelle mais qui n’impactera probablement pas la situation au front) ou une victoire à la Pyrrhus, que ce soit la prise du Donbass suivie d’un cessez-le-feu ou une capitulation de l’Ukraine comme la Finlande en 1940.Image
Quel est l’objectif de l’Ukraine, pays agressé ?

L’objectif de Kyiv a lui aussi beaucoup évolué. L’armée ukrainienne a été surprise par l’ampleur de l’offensive du 24 février, qui lui a fait perdre des territoires stratégiques, comme le sud du pays. L’objectif initial de survivre en tant qu’État a été largement assuré par les victoires à Kyiv, Kharkiv et Mykolaïv en 2022. Le second objectif, retrouver les frontières d’avant-guerre, a échoué en 2023 après l’échec des offensives ukrainiennes. Depuis cette date, les Ukrainiens ont pour objectif de tenir dans la durée, jusqu’à un essoufflement ou un retrait hypothétique des Russes.

Kyiv refuse de se retirer des territoires sous son contrôle, mais a déjà accepté l’idée de concessions territoriales, de manière non officielle, sur la Crimée, le sud et l’est du pays. Pour Kyiv, il est hors de question de capituler et de céder des territoires sans combat à Moscou, d’autant que les garanties de bonne foi de la Russie ont historiquement montré qu’elles n’étaient pas tenues. Dès lors, l’Ukraine a développé ses propres moyens pour que chaque km2 de territoire conquis coûte plus cher à Moscou, tout en essayant de toucher au maximum l’économie russe. Une contre-offensive hypothétique reste possible, mais il est encore tôt pour savoir si les Ukrainiens ont les moyens de la réaliser.Image
Read 10 tweets
Jun 14
For months, Ukraine 🇺🇦 has been conducting a series of deep infiltrations on the Velika Novosilka front.

Some of Russia’s 2025 gains have already been reversed, with the February counter-attack expanding to a 40-kilometer front.

🧵THREAD🧵1/12 ⬇️ Image
As a reminder, in February, the Ukrainian army conducted a discreet offensive for several weeks, clearing infiltrated areas, securing Pokrovsk'e and infiltrating areas that were previously under Russian control. Image
This counter-attack notably secured Ternuvat and prevented the use of Uspenivka to launch assaults on the Zaporizhzhia front.

This significantly slowed the Russian advance, reducing its length from 42 km to 25 km (west of Hulialpole). Image
Read 12 tweets
Jun 13
The Ukrainian 🇺🇦 blocus of Crimea is starting 🇷🇺

After they repeatedly hit bridges connecting Crimea and occupied Kherson oblast, the Ukrainians started implementing a blocus of the peninsula.

Last night, trucks and a pontoon bridge were hit.

🧵THREAD🧵1/15 ⬇️ Image
Last night, the Code 9.2, Phalanx and the davinci units launched multiple strikes against targets in and around the key roads leading to Crimea.
As you can see on the map, only few bridges are connecting Crimea to mainland Ukraine. 6 of them have been reportedly hit including the main ones :

🔸Henichesk bridge
🔸Chonhar road bridge
🔸Chonhar rail bridge
🔸Armyansk bridge (on canal)
🔸Stavky and Myrne bridges (?) on canal Image
Read 15 tweets
Jun 11
Last night, multiple Ukrainian 🇺🇦 units hit the bridges leading to Crimea, further isolating the peninsula from the land bridge to Russia 🇷🇺

At the same time, strike campaign continues on multiple key roads, with over 375 vehicles and trucks hit since early May.

🧵THREAD🧵1/13 ⬇️Image
Crimea is connected with southern occupied Ukraine by multiple key bridges.

The one in Chonhar was hit few days ago by multiple drones, which forced the russians to put up a pontoon bridge for their road traffic.
At least 3 bridges have been recently hit. The one in Henichesk, the ones in Armyansk and in Stavky.

As we can see on the video, these strikes are putting holes in the middle of those key bridges. Any consolidation attempt will probably be hit. Image
Image
Read 13 tweets
Jun 7
Ukraine 🇺🇦 continues its massive mid-range strike campaign against russian 🇷🇺 logistics.

Since early May, more than 290 russian trucks and vehicles have been hit. I have now mapped 210 strikes since january.

🧵THREAD🧵1/14 ⬇️ Image
The strike campaign is guided by multiple units, using a large veriety of drones.

The backbone of it are the FP-1/2 strikes on key logistics hubs, mainly oil/fuel depots, trains, gas stations, electric substations and rear bases.

Those strikes are often guided with AI. Image
The latest video recently published showcased some strikes around Melitopol (few missed) with Hornet drones.

Interestlingly, everything is not blurred, which helps understanding how they are using those drones.
Read 16 tweets

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