Clément Molin Profile picture
Sep 8, 2025 25 tweets 12 min read Read on X
From Poland 🇵🇱 to Moldova 🇲🇩 stretches the longest Ukrainian 🇺🇦 defensive line, 2 800 km !

The biggest fortification system is in the east, in Donbass, but we can also find massive fortifications near Belarus, Kharkiv, or Odessa.

Let's analyse what is new :

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Since 2014, ukrainian forces have been fortifying the frontline, primarly with trenches, dugouts and bunkers.

In 2022, 2023 and 2024, they also added new defensive lines everywhere, with anti-tank ditches and open-air trenches, which are now obsolete. 2025 saw a new program : Image
Previous trenches and fortifications were obsolete, no dugouts, no firing positions, no cover against drones and too large for small infantry teams.

Thus, since the first months of 2025, we have seen a new strategy of trench and fortification building. Image
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The first, and main defensive system has been called "New Donbass Line" by @Playfra0 and myself.

It consists of one (and now two) massive 3 rows anti-tank ditches, with hidden positions behind, barbed wire and dragon teeths. It run from the Kharkiv oblast border to south-Donetsk Image
This line is simply massive, here are some pictures and a map showing how it works.

Of course, it is not perfect, because there are obviously holes (roads, rivers...), but it is the best thing ever done by Ukraine.

It mainly stretches behind the main Donbass cities. Image
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After a summer break, ukrainian engineering units started again to dig, especially filling the hole in the system north of Dobropilla, and preparing a new line south of Kramatorsk to avoid any progress between both lines. Image
As you can see in this zoomed vision, Ukraine is adding 2 more anti-tank ditches to the existing one on the first line (built after the second) and are expanding the east-west line.

As you may know, in red, you can find trenches from 2025 and in yellow older ones. Image
However, if you clicked on this thread, it's because you want to know something else. I said from Poland to Moldova :

While looking at Chernihiv oblast, I saw this. Holes in the forests and brand new ditches. It shows something new is being prepared. Image
Few weeks ago, I sighted the first expansion of the "New Donbass Line" method to the northern part of the country, with the massive line being sighted north of Yampil in Sumy oblast.

This area was not fortified before and we are around 10km from the border. Image
If you read my threads, you may have read one about the defensive line of the north-eastern corner of Ukraine.

Indeed, I mapped the 2024 defensive line there. Image
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Through sentinel-2, I managed to see a long deforestation line ongoing west of Slavutytch, parrallel to the Dnipro river, facing Belarus.

It is in fact the first sight of a modern defensive line : they are getting ready to dig in the middle of the forest. Image
And this is not the only area where the new defensive line is being improved on the russian/belarussian border.

I managed to find the first portions of new 3 rows ditches + barbed wire and dragon teeths lines in Sumy and Kharkiv oblast. Image
Here are some pictures of these new lines.

How does construction works ?

Generally, military units are in charge to fortify the frontline, the military engineering units are fortifying behind them and private companies are doing the big lines.

They mooved from east to north. Image
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What about the Poland-Kyiv line ?

It was mainly built in 2023 and 2024, but local units and companies are still improving existing lines. Since the area mainly concists of swamps and forest, there are only few roads to fortify.

Around Chernobyl, there is constant improvment. Image
What about the Zaporizhia defensive lines ?

This is where there is a big problem. The 2024 two Zaporizhia lines are still here, even if they are being croped from the east with russian push.

But there have been no new improvment. Zaporizhia, Pokrovsk'e or Vassylkivka are left widely undefended...Image
In Kherson, Mykolaiv and Odessa oblasts, we can still find older fortifications, including the Kherson defensive line behind the city going from the sea to the northern part of the oblast.

There is also a long anti-tank ditch system on the border with Transnistria and Moldova Image
To understand the 2 800 km line, we have to cut it into 7 parts, I will rate the fortification by how good, long and useful they are.

-Poland-Kyiv : 4/10
-Tchernihiv/Sumy/Kharkiv : 5/10
-Kharkiv/Izium : 8/10
-Donbass : 8/10
-South : 4/10
-Kherson : 4/10
-Odessa/Moldova 3/10 Image
Now that we saw all the main areas of this long line and how different it can be, lets do 3 case study of Kharkiv, the Oskil and Donbass, where the defensive line is finished.

Kharkiv : for the first time, there is a correct line north of the city, only vulnerability is forests. Image
Here, west of Kharkiv, we can see 4 ditches, 3 new and one older. The line looks good, but there is one problem, it should also go through the forest to avoid infantry penetration. Image
The Oksil line : behind the Oskil river and before the Siverski Donets one, we can see two lines, the main one, behind, is very good. No holes, a lot of small positions and in front of small cities.

The first one is still to be completed. Image
A very good point here, how they covered the roads. You have to let roads, for your own troops to go and retreat.

But they are also used by your ennemy to attack. Here, the fire can be concentrated between the ditches, honestly, it is nearly impossible to cross here. Image
For the Donbass part, there is one big vulnerability, it is west of Sloviansk. This forest can be easily crossed by infantry (maybe there is barbed xire, I cannot tell).

Another vulnerability between those mines, the ditch was stopping, now they are filling the hole. Image
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My next work will be to map all the holes (road, rivers, forests... in the new defensive lines to understand where Russia will try to cross it.

Here, there was a big hole (even if vehicles cannot cross, infantry can), but they did good work. Image
Let's be clear, fortifications cannot stop the russian army, but :

-It stopped all armoured assaults
-It forces the infantry to take another road
-It concentrates ukrainian means and firepower
-It offers a good defensive position

-> When you see how massive lines are, with 3 ditches filled with barbed wire, with barbed wire everywhere and dragon teeths, that you see the reduced number of suitable roads, you understand how useful they will be when Russia will reach them.

It will be way more difficult to push, because it would require time, men and a lot of means to cut the barbed wire, cross the ditches and establish supplies with an increasing number of drones.

I will soon offer new perspectives with videos, photos and a map of all suitable holes for infantry and vehicles for a better understanding of where Russia will push !Image
Thank you all for following and reading this thread. Besides the writing work is a longer one, mapping. It takes time, energy but it is very useful.

You can support me here :

Don't hesistate to ask me questions :buymeacoffee.com/clement.molin

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More from @clement_molin

May 7
Comment suivre la guerre en Ukraine 🇺🇦🇷🇺 soit-même ?

Oubliez Liveuamap, oubliez l'ISW, oubliez les médias traditionnel, il est ici question des véritables outils accessibles gratuitement !

Les outils en sources ouvertes pour suivre la guerre en Ukraine :

🧵THREAD🧵1/22 ⬇️ Image
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1- Une bonne carte

Il existe des dizaines de cartes en ligne, voici les plus intéressantes :

🔹map.ukrdailyupdate.com (pro-ukraine, mais avec plus de 200 vidéos géolocalisées par jour)
🔹playframap.github.io (carte de Playfra, pro-ukraine mais la carte est plutôt neutre, utilisant de nombreuses sources de terrain)
🔹deepstatemap.live (pro-ukraine, proche du gouvernement ukrainien mais conservant une constance dans la guerre + beaucoup des sources de terrain)
🔹google.com/maps/d/u/0/vie… (carte d'AMK mapping, pro-russe, carte bien plus progressive que les autres)
🔹ukraineviews.org (outil rassemblant 12 ! cartes interactives dont 6 pro-russes)
🔹uacontrolmap.com (carte neutre utilisant uniquement les vidéos géolocalisées)
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2- Bases de données des pertes de militaires :

🔹Pour la Russie : en.zona.media/article/2026/0… (média russe dissident)
🔹Pour l'Ukraine : ualosses.org/en/soldiers/ (groupe ukrainien, infos concordantes avec d'autres sources) Image
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Read 22 tweets
May 5
Dans le sud de l'Ukraine 🇺🇦, l'offensive russe s'intensifie autour d'Orikhiv, l'armée ukrainienne fait face à des difficultés localisées.

J'ai cartographié plus de 1 500 impacts de frappes aériennes qui montrent la direction de l'offensive russe 🇷🇺.

🧵THREAD🧵1/15 ⬇️ Image
En février, j'avais réalisé cette carte montrant les probables objectifs russes pour l'année dans le secteur.

Cet objectif semble encore d'actualité au vu de la direction de l'offensive mais les défenses ont été renforcées. Image
Donc, l'objectif russe est de prendre Orikhiv. Pour cela, il faut absolument contrôler les hauteurs au nord-est.

L'armée russe multiplie les infiltrations et s'est emparé d'une partie de Zaliznychne. La clé ici, c'est Ternuvate, qui permettait de sécuriser le flanc nord. Image
Read 15 tweets
May 3
L'armée ukrainienne 🇺🇦 poursuit la fortification d'au moins 45 villes de différentes tailles pour préparer la défense sur le long terme.

Parmi les grandes villes, Odessa, Mykolaiv, Dnipro, Kharkiv, Soumy ou Tchernihiv ont été renforcées.

🧵THREAD🧵1/10 ⬇️ Image
Commençons au nord, oblast de Tchernihiv. (rouge = tranchées et surtout fossés anti-chats, blanc = barbelés et dents de dragons)

Défenses de Hrodnia + 3 lignes en amont
Défenses en construction à Snovsk et Koriukivka
Défenses de Ripky et Tchernihiv
Défenses de Novhorod-Siverskyï Image
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Oblast de Soumy :

Défenses circulaires de Chotska
Défenses circulaires de Hloukhiv
Défenses circulaires de Putyl et Buryn
Défenses circulaires de Konotop (anciennes) Image
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Read 10 tweets
May 1
I agree with what is being said in this thread. Russia 🇷🇺 has been unable for now to reach Dobropilla, which is a critical town to take before attacking Kramatorsk.

However, recent successes in the Siversk and Kostiantynivka directions may unblock the situation

🧵THREAD🧵1/12⬇️ Image
There is one good reason for the failure to advance to Dobropilla this after the august 2024 breakthrough and it's mainly about terrain and logistics.

Assaulting from the east has been difficult because of a well known "kill zone" and well established ukrainian defenses. Image
Instead, Russia had been assaulting westward of Pokrovsk since the start of the year.

The main reason is to unblock the agglomeration's hub position. They had lately some successes and continue to push further. Image
Read 12 tweets
Apr 30
Le début d'année 2026 n'est pas très bon pour l'armée russe 🇷🇺 qui accumule les revers.

Si la traditionnelle offensive de printemps n'a pas encore commencé, les forces russes ont laissé beaucoup de temps aux ukrainiens pour se fortifier.

🧵THREAD🧵1/20 ⬇️ Image
La progression russe n'est pas vraiment le facteur le plus important, puisqu'elle suit les saisons, augmentation au printemps et baisse à l'automne.

Mais cette année, on remarque quand même des chiffres faibles pour les 4 derniers mois et pour 15 000 attaques sur 3 mois ! Image
L'année dernière, l'armée russe avait beaucoup de territoires peu défendus, sans grands obstacles et sans grandes villes à prendre, résultats des petites percées de 2024.

Cela lui donnait la possibilité d'avancer continuellement. Image
Read 20 tweets
Apr 29
This month of April alone, Ukraine 🇺🇦 launched 450 (!) successful strikes on Russia 🇷🇺 and occupied territories.

Among those are part of the nearly 600 mid-range strikes with FP-1 and FP-2 drones into occupied territories since the year started.

🧵THREAD🧵1/7 ⬇️ Image
On this second map, you can see all those mid-range strikes into occupied territories since the year started (most are after march 2026).

In total, around 600 geolocated strikes have been confirmed, hitting various targets in the region. Image
Among those strikes, we now have 34 air-defense systems hit (which does not mean destroyed), 29 radars, or 32 trucks, mainly by long range FPV. Image
Read 7 tweets

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