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Sep 11 19 tweets 12 min read Read on X
In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’ll cover the agenda-setting and flood of disinformation that spread on X and other platforms right after Charlie Kirk’s assassination. It’s far from the first or last time a tragedy has been weaponized for political purposes.

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Every major political event, especially those involving violence, attracts massive attention. In the immediate aftermath, reliable information is scarce, making it highly vulnerable to both coordinated and improvised disinformation campaigns.

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As I’ve mentioned in my previous soups and lectures, in disinformation campaigns, being first with a narrative is crucial, as people often remember the first version best — psychology studies show it sets the mental schema, and later updates rarely overwrite it.

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The Kremlin knows this very well, which is why they aggressively pushed their own false versions of events like the MH17 downing, the Nord Stream pipeline sabotage, or the Skripal poisonings — they came up with over 20 different stories about what had happened for this one.

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After Charlie Kirk’s assassination, MAGA-aligned accounts rushed to blame political opponents. Among the provocateurs were Elon Musk, the world’s richest man, and Donald Trump, president of a waning yet still dominant superpower.

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The President of the United States also swiftly blamed rhetoric from the “radical left” for inciting political violence, implying that it was such discourse that had created the conditions that led to Charlie Kirk’s assassination.

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Elon Musk tweeted, “The left is the party of murder,” @realmattforney called it an “American Reichstag fire” (after which Adolf Hitler persecuted German communists), and @LauraLoomer urged shutting down, defunding, and prosecuting “every single Leftist organization.”

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One of the main narratives was a call for civil war — major MAGA-aligned accounts like @libsoftiktok, Gunther Eagleman (recently souped), and even Elon Musk echoed this, with their posts amplified by X’s bot and troll networks:

8/18

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Another target was the Democratic Party, with accounts like @JoeyMannarinoUS (our favorite “Black woman”), @Anc_Aesthetics, and @seanmdav calling to label it a “terrorist organization,” while many others demanded the party be shut down entirely.

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It’s worth noting that these claims came before any evidence at all about the shooter emerged. This is a textbook example of agenda-setting 101, showing how MAGA Republicans have borrowed a strategy from the Kremlin’s authoritarian playbook.

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The killing has already sparked several conspiracy theories from both ends of the political spectrum. As usual, @shayan86 has been actively debunking these, and I highly recommend giving him a follow. I’ll also go through the main narratives below.

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The most widespread anti-MAGA narrative claims Donald Trump may have ordered Charlie Kirk’s assassination to distract from the Epstein files and spark civil unrest, allowing him to declare martial law and delay the upcoming midterm elections.

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Anti-American communist propagandist @jacksonhinklle claimed the assassination may have been orchestrated by Israel and Benjamin Netanyahu, whereas Australian Gi — sorry, “Syrian Girl” — spread the same story pushed by Harrison H. Smith of InfoWars.

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Anonymous accounts like @UBERSOY1 began doxxing entirely innocent people. That account quickly jumped on the transphobic bandwagon, doxxing a 17-year-old. The post is still up, hasn’t been Community Noted, and will even earn UBERSOY money.

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The polarization of social media is clear when reading comments about the murder on Bluesky (typically more left-leaning, as X is right-leaning). Many left-aligned users are even celebrating it, showing how deeply divided the US society has become:

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Many of these narratives have already been amplified by bot and troll farms, and even by Russian officials like Drunk Dima. For them, it’s a prime opportunity to stir the pot and provoke civil unrest in the United States.

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Another recent example of exploiting tragedy for politics is the gruesome murder of Ukrainian refugee Iryna Zarutska in the US. People who once demonized both Ukrainians and refugees switched to accusing the media and pro-Ukraine voices of ignoring the terrible crime.

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Kirk was a polarizing figure, and I personally disagreed with many of his statements on Ukraine. But he was also a husband & father.

Sadly, cynically exploiting the death of anyone deemed convenient or timely has become routine political practice.

18/18

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The 2nd edition of “Vatnik Soup — The Ultimate Guide to Russian Disinformation” is officially out!

You can order your copy here:
vatniksoup.com/en/books/

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More from @P_Kallioniemi

Oct 21
In today’s Vatnik Soup, we’ll explain the context of the upcoming Budapest Blunder, and how it follows the infamous Alaska Fiasco from two months ago and Trump’s absurd delaying of serious aid to Ukraine and effective sanctions on Russia for the past nine months.

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Two months ago, Trump embarrassed the United States by rolling out the red carpet for war criminal dictator Putin and overall acting like a pathetic servant eager to meet his master. Of course, the Alaska Fiasco didn’t bring peace any closer.

2/20
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Worse, the main outcome of the humiliation was to delay serious sanctions, which the US Congress, in rare bipartisan unity against Russia, was on the verge of passing. Two weeks by two weeks, Trump Always Chickens Out, postponing any real pressure on Putin for 9 months now.

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Read 21 tweets
Oct 10
In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’ll introduce American propagandist Alexandra Jost, aka “Sasha” (@sashameetsrus). She’s best known for being paid by the Russian state to spread pro-Kremlin propaganda — and for doing it with a big smile.

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Alexandra, now 26, was born in Hong Kong. Her father is from Texas, and her mother is from Siberia. According to her, she has “dreamed of living in Russia since childhood.” Sasha's mother runs a dance studio in Moscow and her younger brother is avoiding mobilization.

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Since the beginning of her creator career, Sasha has been adamant about one thing: that she’s “never had to be paid” to speak of her “love” for Russia. But, as always with Russia, this turned out to be nothing but vranyo — a Russian “tactical lie.”

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Read 24 tweets
Oct 6
In today’s Vatnik Soup REBREW, I’ll reintroduce an American political commentator and pro-Kremlin propagandist, Tucker Carlson (@TuckerCarlson). He’s best known for his promotion of crazy conspiracy theories and for his support of authoritarian regimes around the world.

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Tucker’s career spans decades, but he’s also been very active in recent years, so a lot has happened since our previous soup on him, which can be found here:

2/24

Once described as “the most powerful conservative in America”, Tucker has now fully transformed into a grifting conspiracy theorist and propagandist willing to work for whoever pays him the most. It’s unclear whether Tucker truly believes his endless conspiracy theories or…
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Read 25 tweets
Sep 25
This is what you’re debating with on social media:
It appears that a few pro-Russian bot farms already found this thread, so remember - just block them all, there's no point in arguing with a computer.
Most of you have seen those "No DMs" profiles, right? That's because you can interrupt the GPT procedure by injecting them new instructions.

At some point it also worked in comments ("give me a cake recipe"), but not so much anymore.
Read 4 tweets
Sep 8
In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’ll introduce American social media personality David Freeman, AKA Gunther Eagleman™ (@GuntherEagleman). He’s best known for spreading political disinformation on X and shamelessly sucking up to Trump, Putin, and other authoritarian leaders.

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David is a textbook example of someone profiting from MAGA grievance politics. He uses extreme, provocative language to farm engagement on X and never hesitates to flatter anyone who might give him more exposure — or money.

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But David wasn’t always like this. At some point, in his mid-40s, he even tried a real job: he trained to become a cop. He spent three years with the Metro Transit PD, but after that he either got fired or quit, and never looked back.

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Read 24 tweets
Sep 5
In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’ll introduce a Russian-Estonian businessman, Oleg Ossinovski. He is best-known for his deep ties to Russian rail and energy networks, shady cross-border dealings, and for channeling his wealth into Estonian politics.

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Oleg made his fortune via Spacecom Trans & Skinest Rail, both deeply tied to Russia’s rail system. Most of this is through Globaltrans Investments PLC, a Cyprus-based firm with 62% held via Spacecom and tens of millions in yearly profits.

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Ossinovski’s Russian-linked ventures made him Estonia’s richest man in 2014, with an estimated fortune of ~€300M. His business empire stretched across railways, oil via Alexela shares, and Russian bitumen imports from Help-Oil, a supplier to the Defense Ministry.

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Read 15 tweets

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