Pekka Kallioniemi Profile picture
Sep 11 19 tweets 12 min read Read on X
In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’ll cover the agenda-setting and flood of disinformation that spread on X and other platforms right after Charlie Kirk’s assassination. It’s far from the first or last time a tragedy has been weaponized for political purposes.

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Every major political event, especially those involving violence, attracts massive attention. In the immediate aftermath, reliable information is scarce, making it highly vulnerable to both coordinated and improvised disinformation campaigns.

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As I’ve mentioned in my previous soups and lectures, in disinformation campaigns, being first with a narrative is crucial, as people often remember the first version best — psychology studies show it sets the mental schema, and later updates rarely overwrite it.

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The Kremlin knows this very well, which is why they aggressively pushed their own false versions of events like the MH17 downing, the Nord Stream pipeline sabotage, or the Skripal poisonings — they came up with over 20 different stories about what had happened for this one.

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After Charlie Kirk’s assassination, MAGA-aligned accounts rushed to blame political opponents. Among the provocateurs were Elon Musk, the world’s richest man, and Donald Trump, president of a waning yet still dominant superpower.

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The President of the United States also swiftly blamed rhetoric from the “radical left” for inciting political violence, implying that it was such discourse that had created the conditions that led to Charlie Kirk’s assassination.

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Elon Musk tweeted, “The left is the party of murder,” @realmattforney called it an “American Reichstag fire” (after which Adolf Hitler persecuted German communists), and @LauraLoomer urged shutting down, defunding, and prosecuting “every single Leftist organization.”

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One of the main narratives was a call for civil war — major MAGA-aligned accounts like @libsoftiktok, Gunther Eagleman (recently souped), and even Elon Musk echoed this, with their posts amplified by X’s bot and troll networks:

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Another target was the Democratic Party, with accounts like @JoeyMannarinoUS (our favorite “Black woman”), @Anc_Aesthetics, and @seanmdav calling to label it a “terrorist organization,” while many others demanded the party be shut down entirely.

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It’s worth noting that these claims came before any evidence at all about the shooter emerged. This is a textbook example of agenda-setting 101, showing how MAGA Republicans have borrowed a strategy from the Kremlin’s authoritarian playbook.

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The killing has already sparked several conspiracy theories from both ends of the political spectrum. As usual, @shayan86 has been actively debunking these, and I highly recommend giving him a follow. I’ll also go through the main narratives below.

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The most widespread anti-MAGA narrative claims Donald Trump may have ordered Charlie Kirk’s assassination to distract from the Epstein files and spark civil unrest, allowing him to declare martial law and delay the upcoming midterm elections.

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Anti-American communist propagandist @jacksonhinklle claimed the assassination may have been orchestrated by Israel and Benjamin Netanyahu, whereas Australian Gi — sorry, “Syrian Girl” — spread the same story pushed by Harrison H. Smith of InfoWars.

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Anonymous accounts like @UBERSOY1 began doxxing entirely innocent people. That account quickly jumped on the transphobic bandwagon, doxxing a 17-year-old. The post is still up, hasn’t been Community Noted, and will even earn UBERSOY money.

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The polarization of social media is clear when reading comments about the murder on Bluesky (typically more left-leaning, as X is right-leaning). Many left-aligned users are even celebrating it, showing how deeply divided the US society has become:

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Many of these narratives have already been amplified by bot and troll farms, and even by Russian officials like Drunk Dima. For them, it’s a prime opportunity to stir the pot and provoke civil unrest in the United States.

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Another recent example of exploiting tragedy for politics is the gruesome murder of Ukrainian refugee Iryna Zarutska in the US. People who once demonized both Ukrainians and refugees switched to accusing the media and pro-Ukraine voices of ignoring the terrible crime.

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Kirk was a polarizing figure, and I personally disagreed with many of his statements on Ukraine. But he was also a husband & father.

Sadly, cynically exploiting the death of anyone deemed convenient or timely has become routine political practice.

18/18

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The 2nd edition of “Vatnik Soup — The Ultimate Guide to Russian Disinformation” is officially out!

You can order your copy here:
vatniksoup.com/en/books/

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More from @P_Kallioniemi

Sep 8
In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’ll introduce American social media personality David Freeman, AKA Gunther Eagleman™ (@GuntherEagleman). He’s best known for spreading political disinformation on X and shamelessly sucking up to Trump, Putin, and other authoritarian leaders.

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David is a textbook example of someone profiting from MAGA grievance politics. He uses extreme, provocative language to farm engagement on X and never hesitates to flatter anyone who might give him more exposure — or money.

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But David wasn’t always like this. At some point, in his mid-40s, he even tried a real job: he trained to become a cop. He spent three years with the Metro Transit PD, but after that he either got fired or quit, and never looked back.

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Read 24 tweets
Sep 5
In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’ll introduce a Russian-Estonian businessman, Oleg Ossinovski. He is best-known for his deep ties to Russian rail and energy networks, shady cross-border dealings, and for channeling his wealth into Estonian politics.

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Oleg made his fortune via Spacecom Trans & Skinest Rail, both deeply tied to Russia’s rail system. Most of this is through Globaltrans Investments PLC, a Cyprus-based firm with 62% held via Spacecom and tens of millions in yearly profits.

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Ossinovski’s Russian-linked ventures made him Estonia’s richest man in 2014, with an estimated fortune of ~€300M. His business empire stretched across railways, oil via Alexela shares, and Russian bitumen imports from Help-Oil, a supplier to the Defense Ministry.

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Read 15 tweets
Sep 2
In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’ll introduce a Swiss/French writer, Alain Bonnet, aka Alain Soral (@officielsoral). He’s best known for his rabid antisemitism and for his pathetic support for all the worst authoritarian regimes from Russia to North Korea.

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Alain’s childhood was problematic, as his father has been characterized as a “narcissistic pervert” who beat his children and did jail time for fraud. Alain himself has said he was “programmed to be a monster.” Born Alain Bonnet, he took the stage name of his sister,…

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… actress Agnès Soral. She wasn’t too happy about this, commenting “How would you like to be called Agnès Hitler?”. Like many grifters, he became a pick-up/seduction artist writer, à la late Gonzalo Lira, writing books and even making a B-movie, “Confessions d’un dragueur”.
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Read 23 tweets
Aug 18
In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’ll explain the Alaska Fiasco and how it marks the peak of Trump’s two-year betrayal of Ukraine. What was sold as “peace talks” turned into a spectacle of weakness, humiliation, empty promises, and photo-ops that handed Putin exactly what he wanted.

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Let’s start with the obvious: Trump desperately wants the gold medal of the Nobel Peace Prize, mainly because Obama got one. That’s why he’s now LARPing as a “peace maker” in every conflict: Israel-Gaza, Azerbaijan-Armenia, India-Pakistan, and of course Ukraine-Russia.

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Another theory is that Putin holds kompromat — compromising material such as videos or documents — that would put Trump in an extremely bad light. Some have suggested it could be tied to the Epstein files or Russia’s interference in the 2016 US presidential election.

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Read 25 tweets
Aug 11
In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’ll talk about engagement farming: a cynical social media tactic to rack up likes, shares, and comments. From rage farming to AI-powered outrage factories, engagement farming is reshaping online discourse and turning division into profit.

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Engagement farming is a social media tactic aimed at getting maximum likes, shares, and comments, with truth being optional. It thrives on provocative texts, images, or videos designed to spark strong reactions, boost reach, and turn online outrage into clicks and cash.

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One subset of engagement farming is rage farming: a tactic built to provoke strong negative emotions through outrageous or inflammatory claims. By triggering anger or moral outrage, these posts often generate 100s or even 1,000s of heated comments, amplifying their reach.

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Read 24 tweets
Aug 6
In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’ll cover the autocratic concept of “Good Tsar, Bad Boyars”: the idea that the leader is wise and just, but constantly sabotaged by corrupt advisors. This narrative shields the ruler from blame, and it’s used by both Putin and Trump today.

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The phrase “Good Tsar, Bad Boyars” (Царь хороший, бояре плохие), also known as Naïve Monarchism, refers to a long-standing idea in Russian political culture: the ruler is good and benevolent, but his advisors are corrupt, incompetent and responsible for all failures.

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From this perception, any positive action taken by the government is viewed as being an accomplishment of the benevolent leader, whereas any negative one is viewed as being caused by lower-level bureaucrats or “boyars”, without the approval of the leader.

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Read 21 tweets

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