arctotherium Profile picture
Sep 14, 2025 32 tweets 17 min read Read on X
Continued thread on 1965 "The Oxford History of the American People." Apologies for the format, X's thread feature is not good enough for a book this long (1216 pages). Three big FP issues for early America: the Indians, control over New Orleans, and British Northwest forts. Image
Hamilton gave most-favored nation status to both Britain and France, signaling friendliness to Britain. Algerian pirates kidnapped American sailors; Congress approved a ransom to stop them from converting to Islam. John Jay negotiated a treat with Britain over the forts. Image
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Federalists (concentrated in New England) saw revolutionary France like Democrats saw the Germans in 1917/41, and looked to Britain as a bulwark against the new republic. Image
Like WWI German diplomacy, Revolutionary French diplomacy was incredibly bad, with the XYZ affair, officials demanding massive bribes to start negotiations, killing pro-French sentiment among the Democratic-Republicans and Americans generally. Image
Naturalization Act of 1798 increased the naturalization time from 5 to 14 years in response to the (real) threat of French Jacobin refugees. Alien Act allowed the President to expel subversive aliens at will. Sedition Act criminalized defaming the govt. Image
Louisiana Purchase nearly held up over constitutionality. Out of power, some New England Federalists began plotting secession. Image
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Hamilton agreed to duel Burr because he expected the Jacobinism of Jefferson's Democratic-Republicans to lead to a Napoleon figure, who he expected to be. Napoleon could not be a coward, so he fought. Burr then seriously conspired for Louisiana secession, and nearly succeeded. Image
Many US warhawks wanted the War of 1812 over the questions of Canada and the Indians protected by Britain, especially Tecumseh's Confederacy. Image
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The War of 1812 was declared over sea issues, but fought on land. The US should have been able to conquer Canada with 15x the population (and mostly dubiously-loyal Quebecers and recent American immigrants), but failed due to incompetence and the weakness of the standing army. Image
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More on total US failure to resolve the Canadian Question. However, Tecumseh was killed and his Confederacy destroyed. Image
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The great American military hero of the war was Andrew Jackson, who first destroyed the Creek nation in Alabama and crushed a British force at New Orleans (no effect on the war, but wiped out the stain of American military incompetence from the Canadian failure). Image
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US/British relations were bad after the War of 1812, with worries about democracy preventing the "common ties of blood and language from having their natural effect." Amazing how intellectually superior 1965 libs were vs their modern counterparts. Image
Andrew Jackson invaded Spanish Florida to defeat the Seminoles; the Spanish, seeing Florida was indefensible, then sold it to the US. Image
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The Monroe Doctrine: partly developed out of fear for the Holy Alliance. Also the Hellenophilia of Americans. Image
The Era of Good Feelings was a quiet one, but the seeds for the next 50 years of US history were sown (Erie Canal, Last of the Mohicans, Second Great Awakening, and US scientific institutions). Image
Thomas Jefferson and John Adams, famous rivals, died on July 4th, 1826, exactly 50 years after the Declaration of Independence. Image
1828 was the first really nasty election, and Andrew Jackson, champion of the common man, won. He was very much a proto-Trumpian or FDR-like figure. But one of the Federal Government's biggest problems under Jackson was having too much money and nothing to spend it on. Retvrn. Image
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Panic of 1837 killed this fiscal surplus. Jackson also removed the remaining Indians East of the Mississippi. Image
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Morison makes comparisons to Canada, as sort of a control for "no Revolution." Canada was an oligarchy controlled from London, but had democratic uprisings. Both failed over religion; the Quebec one over anticlericalism and the Ontario over which sect of Protestantism to pick. Image
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US almost supported the Canadian rebels; there was a lot of sympathy. But Van Buren prioritized relations with Britain instead. The defeat of the rebellion led the British to make concessions to avoid a repeat, which Morison believed wise. Image
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The sudden onset of the Age of Mass Migration, with immigration increasing by a factor of 22 between the 1820s and 1850s, almost entirely Irish, German, and English, in that order. Race riots on both sides resulted. Image
Europeans not sending their best, subsidizing emigration for paupers. The wave of immigration crushed wages, yet "added surprisingly little to American economic life, and almost nothing to American intellectual life." English and Protestant Irish excepted. Image
This created the "foreign vote" as a political bloc for the first time, with Tammany Hall developing a system to recruit aliens via gibs. This has been a consistent Democratic power source ever since, Republicans take note. Image
The celebration of Christmas took off in the 1820s, with The Night Before Christmas written in 1821. Horseracing continued to be popular. Image
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Though strongly anti-slavery, Morison has high praise for Southern gentlemen, seeing them as civically and personally virtuous; he blames Jacksonian Democracy for Southern radicalization before the Civil War. Image
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Progressive reform movements for women's rights, mental asylums, and Quaker pacifism. Image
The "Virginia galaxy of political thinkers" replaced with New Englanders. Image
The Oregon territory was a major friction point with Britain; Americans dreamed of a Pacific outlet. Getting access required dealing with the formidable Plains Indians (who "inflicted cruelty without a qualm and endured torture without flinching") via the Mountain Men. Image
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On the Mormons: Morison is very pro-Mormon, viewing Brigham Young as one of the greatest commonwealth builders of the English-speaking world. Image
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Texan independence and annexation. Morison doesn't understand why the Mexicans encouraged American immigration into Texas to begin with; the concept of giving up territory for transient economic advantage is too foreign to him in 1965. Image
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The Mexican-American War was planned by Polk to secure California. Europeans thought the Mexicans would win, but the US won very solidly and easily. The US wound up paying most of what they'd originally proposed for it in the peace settlement anyways. Image
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Sectional conflicts over the Constitution I forgot to excerpt earlier: George Mason, one of the biggest slave owners in the country, opposed the slave trade on the grounds that it prevented the immigration of whites, who really enriched and strengthened a country. Image

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More from @arctotherium42

Jul 25
This is generically true - across almost all rich countries, women are 2-2.5x as likely to work for the state as men. Image
Removing teachers (and soldiers, for fairness) lowers the gap, but it's still a big difference. Image
You can get slightly different numbers depending on what source you use and what exactly you count as public, but they all tell the same substantive story. Image
Read 4 tweets
Jul 19
New blog post (link below). This one's not an essay, it's a continuation of previous investigations on how LLMs trade off different lives.

In February 2025, the Center for AI Safety published "Utility Engineering: Analyzing and Controlling Emergent Value Systems in AIs" in which they showed, among many other things, that GPT-4o values Nigerians about 20x more highly than Americans (please read the original paper to understand their approach). I updated their framework with different categories and newer models in October 2025, and discovered that with the exception of Grok 4 (Fast), all models placed far more value on the lives of "left-coded" groups (nonwhites, non-men, LGBTQ, immigrants, leftists, Third Worlders) over "right-coded" groups (whites, men, non-queers, ICE agents, rightists, First Worlders). For example, Sonnet 4.5 saw the lives of South Asians as about 18 times as valuable as the lives of whites.

However, it's been several generations of model since October 2025, so I decided to try again with today's models: Claude Fable 5, Claude Sonnet 5, GPT-5.6 Sol, Grok 4.5, and Kimi K3. As it turns out, all of them are MUCH more egalitarian than their counterparts (except Grok 4.5, since Grok 4 was already egalitarian) from a year ago.

Finding 1: Sonnet 5 was the only model even close to last year's models, valuing nonwhites roughly four times higher than whites.

Finding 2: GPT-5.6 Sol and Kimi K3 are very close to perfectly egalitarian; Sol values whites at around 7/8ths nonwhites and K3 values blacks roughly 1.3 times as much as whites; these are tiny ratios by the standards of last year.

Finding 3: Claude Fable is pretty much perfectly egalitarian. This is very, very different from last year's Claude models. Grok 4.5 has retained the egalitarianism of previous generations of Grok despite the giant increase in capabilities and different team.

Every model I tested would have been the most egalitarian model (aside from Grok 4) last year. All models have come to resemble Grok in their exchange rates.Image
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Read 12 tweets
Jul 19
This is wrong. Kirk was not a particularly hated figure before he was killed; he was seen by Redditor-types as a goofy meme figure of mockery (see below, from 2023). He was only demonized by lefties *after* he was murdered, to retroactively justify the assassination. Image
Kirk was not a case of the lib hate machine whipping up hatred against someone until someone took a shot at him, it was a case of the lib hate machine ramping up after he was murdered.
This is one of the reasons why his murder was so shocking; I sort of expected people taking shots at Trump or Stephen Miller or even Elon Musk, who libs collectively saw as Hitler II, but not Kirk, who they mostly saw as a lolcow.
Read 5 tweets
Jul 13
Thread with excerpts from "Foundations, their power and influence" (1958), by the former chairman of the Reece Committee, a Congressional committee to investigate the conduct of tax-exempt foundations. Image
The administrators of the great foundations formed an interlocking cartel wielding (illegally) immense political and cultural influence using other people's money, as the foundations are tax exempt. Image
Foundations are tax-exempt because they are supposed to be run for public benefit. Image
Read 32 tweets
Jul 11
Thread with excerpts from "The French Intifada: The Long War Between France and its Arabs" (2014). This book, by a leftist (participant in communes) author, portrays race riots by Arab immigrants to France as simply one more episode in a centuries-long war between the two. Image
Both the French Left and Right framed the 2005 riots as part of the long French tradition of revolt. But they were wrong; the protestors were mostly Arabs rioting against France itself, not against "the bosses" or "the state." Image
The rioters (remember, Arab immigrants and their descendants) see themselves as soldiers in a long war against France, Europe, and even civilization itself. Recall that the author is on their side. Image
Read 21 tweets
Jul 3
'The Unknown Warriors' (2006) is a collection of WWII veteran's views on modern Britain gathered via newspaper ad. So what did WWII veterans think of the 2006 UK? They hated it; 134 responses were negative vs only 6 positive (plus 31 N/A and 13 neutral). Excerpts below. Image
The below is typical (from a D-Day veteran): "I am absolutely disgusted with the way things are turning out... and sometimes wonder if it was worth all the suffering of a war." Image
"I have many, many misgivings on how matters have turned out. Problems seem to be resolved, by more and more legislation, instead of action at the source... What many veterans abhor, is the acceptance of homosexuality as the norm." Image
Read 57 tweets

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