Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Sep 14, 2025 8 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Kellogg: If he [Putin] was winning, he’d be in Kyiv, west of the Dnipro, on Odesa, and he’d have changed the government. Russia is losing.

Losses are World War II scale — over a million dead and wounded. First-line units are gone. Tanks pulled from museums. 1/
Kellogg: Trump asked me in the Oval if Russia is winning. I said no.

I told him to ask his Chairman of the Joint Chiefs, Dan Keane. He said no as well. 2/
Kellogg: Use economic force. Seize oligarch money. Enforce sanctions hard. Shut down the shadow fleet in the Baltic.

Bottle up the Baltic Sea and you cut 70% of their traffic. Today we’re at 6/10 on sanctions but 3/10 on enforcement. 3/
Kellogg: Alaska mattered. Personal diplomacy opens doors.

Trump sat Putin down and talked. You may hate it, but it cracked a door that had been shut. 4/
Kellogg: Don’t let Trump think he’s being used. He’s exasperated.

Zelenskyy and Umerov we’ve kept a steady direction. Europe must carry more weight — and it is. 5/
Kellogg: Don’t fear Russia’s army. This isn’t the USSR.

If Putin rattles nukes, remind him the U.S., Britain, and France are nuclear too. We’d kick their ass. 6/
Kellogg: China is the key. If Beijing cut support, the war ends tomorrow.

Russia even brought in 10,000 North Korean troops to fight in Kursk — proof of a manpower problem. 7/
Kellogg: Drones changed the war. Ukraine leads the world in drone tech.

The U.S. and others are behind. Top-attack, counter-drone, cheap kills — armor must adapt or die. 8X

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More from @Mylovanov

Feb 16
Hillary Clinton: Give Ukraine Tomahawks. Give them more Patriot missiles. Let them strike inside Russia.

When Ukraine hit cross-border targets, Russia began thinking about talks. Hundreds of thousands killed are not enough pain for Putin. Create leverage. 1/
Clinton: Trump administration’s position toward Ukraine is disgraceful.

Forcing Ukraine into a surrender deal with Putin is shameful. The effort by Putin and Trump to profit off the misery and death of Ukrainians is a historic error and corrupt to the nth degree. 2/
Clinton: Ukraine is fighting for our democracy, our freedom and our civilization.

It is losing thousands of people and watching its country destroyed by one man’s mania to control them. Trump either does not understand that suffering or does not care. 3X
Read 5 tweets
Feb 16
Stubb: I don’t believe Russia keeps fighting to gain territory. In 12 years it gained about 8% more, and recently just 1%.

Losses are huge — 34,000 in December, 30,000 in January — and recruitment lags. The real issue is the political cost for Putin.

1/
Stubb: Russia has always had troops on our border. I think Russia is losing — the war was Putin’s strategic mistake.

He wanted to stop NATO and keep Europe weak. Instead, Finland and Sweden joined, and Europe is moving to 5%. The Nordics and Baltics are not next.

2/
Stubb: Russia is not going to test Article 5. But it remains a long-term threat — imperialism and expansion are in its DNA.

It hasn’t reckoned honestly with its history. We must ensure those ambitions don’t spill into the South Caucasus or Central Asia.

3X
Read 5 tweets
Feb 15
Stalin expected to crush Finland in 10 days. It took 105 days and 400,000 Soviet casualties. He got 10% of Finnish territory.

Putin invaded Ukraine expecting a quick victory parade. 4 years later, Russia controls just 20% of pre-war Ukrainian territory — WP. 1/ Image
Stalin's USSR had 170 million people vs Finland's 3.5 million. A Soviet general told Stalin it would take 10 days max.

Molotov said Stalin wanted to celebrate his birthday "on the steps of Finland's Parliament in precisely 20 days." 2/
The war ended March 13, 1940 — over three months later with massive Soviet losses the Kremlin concealed.

Stalin had to settle for a fraction of what he wanted. Sound familiar? 3/
Read 9 tweets
Feb 15
Petraeus: This is Ukraine's greatest generation.

When the cessation of hostilities begins, we're going to see Ukraine as the greatest military industrial complex in the West, building an entirely new country focused on new technologies and new economic endeavors. 1/
Petraeus: Ukraine is producing tomorrow's technology for today's war. West produces yesterday's technology for tomorrow's wars. That's got to be changed dramatically.

They've got to overhaul that, bring it more up to date, to reflect how warfare is evolving on the ground, in the air and on the sea in Ukraine. 2/
Petraeus: What allies have got to do is not fall into the trap of buying legacy systems rather than buying what is the future of warfare. The place to see that is in Ukraine.

We‘ve got to learn how they have shortened the kill chain. It starts with new concepts for operations that turn into doctrine. 3X
Read 4 tweets
Feb 15
Rubio: The US and Europe are heirs to the same civilization.

From language to law to government, America is built on Western foundations. This alliance is not just military or commercial, it is civilizational. 1/
Rubio: When the US sounds critical about Europe, it is because we care. Our fate is intertwined with Europe’s. We want Europe to survive and prosper.

But this must be an alliance of partners willing and capable of fighting for who they are and what matters to them. 2/
Rubio: China is not the new Soviet Union. But there are parallels. Our future will be stronger if we address shared challenges together.

Great powers must maintain dialogue. It would be irresponsible not to talk and avoid unnecessary conflict. 3X
Read 5 tweets
Feb 15
Starmer: Europe is a sleeping giant. Our economies dwarf Russia’s — by more than 10 times over. We have enormous defense capabilities.

Europe has more than 20 types of frigates, around 10 types of fighter jets, over 10 types of main battle tanks. Meanwhile, the US has one. 1/
Starmer: Russia has made a huge strategic blunder in Ukraine. Russian casualties number well over a million.

But even as the war continues, Russia is rearming and reconstituting its armed forces and industrial base. 2/
Starmer: Even if a peace deal in Ukraine is struck, Russia’s rearmament would likely only accelerate. The wider danger to Europe would not end there. It would increase.

We must respond to this threat in full. 3/
Read 7 tweets

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