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Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

Sep 14, 2025 • 8 tweets • 3 min read • Read on X

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Kellogg: If he [Putin] was winning, he’d be in Kyiv, west of the Dnipro, on Odesa, and he’d have changed the government. Russia is losing.

Losses are World War II scale — over a million dead and wounded. First-line units are gone. Tanks pulled from museums. 1/

Kellogg: Trump asked me in the Oval if Russia is winning. I said no.

I told him to ask his Chairman of the Joint Chiefs, Dan Keane. He said no as well. 2/

Kellogg: Use economic force. Seize oligarch money. Enforce sanctions hard. Shut down the shadow fleet in the Baltic.

Bottle up the Baltic Sea and you cut 70% of their traffic. Today we’re at 6/10 on sanctions but 3/10 on enforcement. 3/

Kellogg: Alaska mattered. Personal diplomacy opens doors.

Trump sat Putin down and talked. You may hate it, but it cracked a door that had been shut. 4/

Kellogg: Don’t let Trump think he’s being used. He’s exasperated.

Zelenskyy and Umerov we’ve kept a steady direction. Europe must carry more weight — and it is. 5/

Kellogg: Don’t fear Russia’s army. This isn’t the USSR.

If Putin rattles nukes, remind him the U.S., Britain, and France are nuclear too. We’d kick their ass. 6/

Kellogg: China is the key. If Beijing cut support, the war ends tomorrow.

Russia even brought in 10,000 North Korean troops to fight in Kursk — proof of a manpower problem. 7/

Kellogg: Drones changed the war. Ukraine leads the world in drone tech.

The U.S. and others are behind. Top-attack, counter-drone, cheap kills — armor must adapt or die. 8X

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More from @Mylovanov

Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

Feb 6

Ukrainian POWs were forced to exhume civilians killed by Russia in Mariupol.

Marine Serhii Hrytsiv: “Over four weeks, we dug up around 800 civilian bodies.” Russia made prisoners clean up the crime scene — then blamed them for it, reports. 1/ Slidstvo.Info

Every morning at 4 am, POWs were taken from Olenivka colony to ruined Mariupol.

Serhii Hrytsiv: “They divided us into groups of 5 and drove us into the city.” They dug in courtyards, gardens, mass graves, under collapsed homes. 2/

The dead included children and elderly people.

Serhii Hrytsiv: “Many died from shelling, hunger, cold, no medical care.” Some bodies were torn apart. Often they could reach only one victim while entire families remained buried under concrete. 3/

Read 10 tweets

Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

Feb 6

Russian occupation makes young Ukrainian men illegal on their own land: join Russia’s army, or go to prison. So they run.

In 2024 alone, Russia drafted 5,500 men from Crimea. Since 2015, it has drafted 50,000+ Crimean residents into the Russian army. — Hromadske.

1/

Vasyl, 20, from Crimea got his first draft notice at 18 — at work.

He hid, moved across Russia, and fled through Belarus to Ukraine in Dec. 2025 — without documents.

2/

Bogdan, 18, from occupied Berdiansk, faced the same path.

Russian authorities pulled him from class, took him to a psychiatric hospital, registered him for the draft, and told him: “Free until 2026. Then — the army.”

3/

Read 11 tweets

Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

Feb 5

For Putin, the end of the war would be a referendum on his presidency. He fears that verdict.

That is why he keeps sending soldiers into the grinder — to preserve the appearance of control and momentum, writes Michael Kimmage and Hanna Norte in FA. 1/

On the eve of invading Ukraine in 2022, Russia held a workable global position.

It had strong ties with China, deep economic links with Europe, and a “functioning” relationship with the United States.

Russia was flexible, connected, and not isolated. 2/

The invasion destroyed that position overnight.

Europe and the U.S. became adversaries.

Russia lost diplomatic leverage in Europe and became structurally dependent on China for trade, technology, and markets. 3/

Read 12 tweets

Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

Feb 5

Kyrylo Veres, commander of Ukraine’s K2 unmanned systems brigade: Reaching 50,000 confirmed enemy losses per month is realistic.

Unconfirmed can become near 80,000.

When you add unverified losses from infantry, and artillery, the real number is much higher.

1/

Kyrylo Veres: In the army, every specialist has a cost. As cynical as it sounds.

Training an FPV drone pilot costs about 300 times more than training an infantryman.

2/

Kyrylo Veres: If there’s another breakthrough toward Kyiv, many fighters will want to leave to defend their homes. Then it will collapse on both fronts.

I know this personally — in 2022, when my home near Kyiv was occupied, I begged my brigade commander to let me go.

3/

Read 5 tweets

Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

Feb 5

Sikorski: Europe has already contributed much more to sustaining Ukraine [than US]. We’ve spent roughly €200B and extended €90B for the next two years.

The US is providing some intelligence and diplomacy. Success comes only when Putin recalculates the cost. 1/

Sikorski: Putin seems to be demanding even territories that he can't conquer. And in Europe, we think that the time of European colonialism should be over. 2/

Sikorksi: The war in Ukraine proves that it’s quite hard to use nuclear weapons. The Russian army is not equipped to operate in an environment that is radioactive. NATO is still a nuclear alliance. 3X

Read 4 tweets

Tymofiy Mylovanov

@Mylovanov

Feb 5

Fire Point, key Ukrainian drones producer, founder Shtilierman on company's success: There was a need and there was no pressure from bureaucracy.

Airbus A380 took 25 years to fly. Why? Bureaucratic burden. In WWII people built a factory in 6 months and produced thousands of aircraft. 1/

Shtilierman: We have the largest government orders in deep strike drones because we are cheaper than our competitors.

We show greater efficiency as a percentage of flight and our cost of strike is many times higher than our competitors. 2/

Terekh, technical chief of Fire Point: The primary investment was our own funds, about $2M invested in MVP. We reinvested every profit from each contract. To date, the company has never taken a profit. It was directed to scaling production or to the rocket program. 3/