Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Sep 14 8 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Kellogg: If he [Putin] was winning, he’d be in Kyiv, west of the Dnipro, on Odesa, and he’d have changed the government. Russia is losing.

Losses are World War II scale — over a million dead and wounded. First-line units are gone. Tanks pulled from museums. 1/
Kellogg: Trump asked me in the Oval if Russia is winning. I said no.

I told him to ask his Chairman of the Joint Chiefs, Dan Keane. He said no as well. 2/
Kellogg: Use economic force. Seize oligarch money. Enforce sanctions hard. Shut down the shadow fleet in the Baltic.

Bottle up the Baltic Sea and you cut 70% of their traffic. Today we’re at 6/10 on sanctions but 3/10 on enforcement. 3/
Kellogg: Alaska mattered. Personal diplomacy opens doors.

Trump sat Putin down and talked. You may hate it, but it cracked a door that had been shut. 4/
Kellogg: Don’t let Trump think he’s being used. He’s exasperated.

Zelenskyy and Umerov we’ve kept a steady direction. Europe must carry more weight — and it is. 5/
Kellogg: Don’t fear Russia’s army. This isn’t the USSR.

If Putin rattles nukes, remind him the U.S., Britain, and France are nuclear too. We’d kick their ass. 6/
Kellogg: China is the key. If Beijing cut support, the war ends tomorrow.

Russia even brought in 10,000 North Korean troops to fight in Kursk — proof of a manpower problem. 7/
Kellogg: Drones changed the war. Ukraine leads the world in drone tech.

The U.S. and others are behind. Top-attack, counter-drone, cheap kills — armor must adapt or die. 8X

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More from @Mylovanov

Sep 16
In July 2014, DPR militants stopped 16-year-old Stepan Chubenko.

They knocked out his teeth, tied his hands and legs with tape, pulled a T-shirt over his head, and executed him. Then they dumped his body in a trench near a river, writes Babel. 1/ Image
Stepan traveled home to Kramatorsk. At Mospyne station, gunmen dragged him off the train [parents say for his blue-yellow ribbons and Karpaty football scarf]

Witnesses said the fighters strangled him with a towel, beat him and forced him to swaer loyalty to “DPR.” He refused. 2/
His mother Stalina and father Viktor searched every hospital and trench around Donetsk. For weeks they begged militants for answers.

Stalina caught DPR leader Zakharchenko in his convoy and screamed: “My son is 16. Where is he?” The next day he called her: “He was shot.” 3/
Read 8 tweets
Sep 16
Zelenskyy: The US is strong enough to act alone. Trump can send air defense, impose sanctions, make Putin afraid.

Europe should stop buying oil and gas, but we can’t wait for 27 bureaucracies. EU passed 18 packages — now we need a strong US sanctions package.

1/
Q: Are you ready to meet Trump and Putin without conditions? In Moscow?

Zelenskyy: I’m ready to meet both, no conditions — but not in Moscow. Russia bombs us daily. We can meet elsewhere.

2/
Zelenskyy: They want to continue the war. They postpone meetings on a ceasefire — but it’s never about a ceasefire. Hard to understand their thinking. We must recognize: they don’t want peace.

3/
Read 11 tweets
Sep 16
On March 7, 2022, Ukraine destroyed 49 Russian helicopters at Chornobayivka, stopping Moscow’s advance and saving Mykolaiv and Odesa.

The strike was enabled by reconnaissance from ex-Israeli special forces veteran Eyal Israeli. — The Jerusalem Post

1/ Image
Living in Kherson with his Ukrainian wife for 16 years, he volunteered after the invasion.

He joined the Security Service of Ukraine, formed a sabotage group, raised the first Ukrainian flag on Nov 9, 2022, and directed artillery on Russian HQs and collaborators. 2/
His intelligence identified Iranian advisers, drone sites, and recruiters in Odesa.

Ukrainian strikes hit their positions. An SBU officer confirmed he produced more targets than Ukraine had weapons to attack. 3/
Read 7 tweets
Sep 16
Boris Johnson: Ukraine needs all economic package — sanctions, unfreezing assets. More military help, permissions, missiles.

Package to flip a switch in the Kremlin's brain, make them realize this is over: Ukraine is independent.

Ukraine decides what military forces come. 1/
Boris Johnson: We’re in chicken and egg trap by Putin. Security guarantees and boots on the ground mean nothing until a ceasefire, which is in his gift. Like Donbas, he keeps chipping away. He shows no sign to fix this. We need a package to change his psychology and goal. 2/
Boris Johnson: This is not about territory; this is about destiny. The destiny the Ukrainians have chosen is irrevocable: they've chosen to be part of the Western security architecture and part of that family.

They don't want to be part of the Russian Empire. 3/
Read 5 tweets
Sep 15
NDTV: Trump urged NATO tariffs of 50-100% on China over Russian oil, to end only after the Ukraine war.

He said tariffs “would break China’s grip on Russia”.

In Ljubljana, Wang Yi replied: China does not wage wars, it promotes dialogue and settlement. 1/ Image
Wang Yi said sanctions worsen conflicts, not solve them. He urged stronger UN mechanisms and multilateralism.

He added: China and Europe should be friends, not rivals; cooperation, not confrontation, is the right choice. 2/
Trump accused Xi of “conspiring against” the US, citing China’s Sept 3 parade with Kim Jong Un and Putin present.

Yet he added his personal ties with Chinese leaders remain “very good.” 3X
Read 4 tweets
Sep 15
Ukraine’s war has turned veterans into Europe’s new defence entrepreneurs.

Reuters: Ex-soldiers now run 1 in 4 of the region’s 80 defence startups. VC funding hit $5.2bn in 2024 — up 500% from pre-war levels — as Ukraine’s frontlines forced rapid testing and scale. 1/ Image
Frontline use in Ukraine cut development from years to months.

Units return faults after missions in Bakhmut or Kharkiv, and startups issue fixes within weeks. Civilian-only firms cannot match this pace. 2/
Veteran-founded Quantum Systems, now valued at $1bn, supplies reconnaissance drones to Ukraine.

Other firms include Stark (drones), Arondite (battle-planning software), and Kyiv-based Terminal Autonomy, which shifted from kamikaze drones to cruise missile work. 3/
Read 9 tweets

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