Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Sep 14 8 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Kellogg: If he [Putin] was winning, he’d be in Kyiv, west of the Dnipro, on Odesa, and he’d have changed the government. Russia is losing.

Losses are World War II scale — over a million dead and wounded. First-line units are gone. Tanks pulled from museums. 1/
Kellogg: Trump asked me in the Oval if Russia is winning. I said no.

I told him to ask his Chairman of the Joint Chiefs, Dan Keane. He said no as well. 2/
Kellogg: Use economic force. Seize oligarch money. Enforce sanctions hard. Shut down the shadow fleet in the Baltic.

Bottle up the Baltic Sea and you cut 70% of their traffic. Today we’re at 6/10 on sanctions but 3/10 on enforcement. 3/
Kellogg: Alaska mattered. Personal diplomacy opens doors.

Trump sat Putin down and talked. You may hate it, but it cracked a door that had been shut. 4/
Kellogg: Don’t let Trump think he’s being used. He’s exasperated.

Zelenskyy and Umerov we’ve kept a steady direction. Europe must carry more weight — and it is. 5/
Kellogg: Don’t fear Russia’s army. This isn’t the USSR.

If Putin rattles nukes, remind him the U.S., Britain, and France are nuclear too. We’d kick their ass. 6/
Kellogg: China is the key. If Beijing cut support, the war ends tomorrow.

Russia even brought in 10,000 North Korean troops to fight in Kursk — proof of a manpower problem. 7/
Kellogg: Drones changed the war. Ukraine leads the world in drone tech.

The U.S. and others are behind. Top-attack, counter-drone, cheap kills — armor must adapt or die. 8X

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More from @Mylovanov

Sep 13
Q: Where is Russia going?

President of Finland, Stubb: It's not looking good. With the current regime and President Putin, I don't see a big change.

Nations that don't have a capacity to deal with their past have a very difficult time looking into the future. 1/
Stubb: This's imperialist DNA and an undertone in Russia that doesn't seem to go away.

Russia is built on empire. That's why Putin talks about the “Russkiy Mir,” the great Russia borders of the 18th cent, with one language, religion, and leader. 2/
Stubb: I'm not very hopeful about the future of Russia.

We thought that Russia and many other countries would just automatically revert to liberal democracy, but it didn't happen. 3/
Read 15 tweets
Sep 13
Bosacki: Drones are instruments of terror that shattered homes in Ukraine.

2 days ago they tried to hit Polish homes, one in Wyryki, eastern Poland.

Russian representative claimed they were not Russian drones, but evidence shows parts with signs in Russian. 1/
Bosacki: Every Russian accusation turns into confession. For 1st time in history, UN Security Council met on Polish request.

On night of Sep 9-10, 19 Russian military drones from Ukraine and Belarus breached Polish airspace, violating borders of Poland, NATO, and EU. 2/
Bosacki: Russian colleague kept repeating the Orwellian phrase “alleged aggression,” which caused hundreds of thousands of innocent victims. He blamed a fascist regime.

We recall same rhetoric when Soviet Russia attacked Czechoslovakia 1968, Hungary 1956, Poland 1939. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Sep 13
Rutte: Ukraine has a well-established defence industry and experience with drone interceptors.

At Joint Analysis Training and Education Centre in Poland, NATO and Ukraine work together, taking lessons. We make sure we apply latest insights and technologies to build posture. 1/
Rutte: General Grynkewich and I announce NATO is launching Eastern Sentry to bolster posture on the eastern flank.

It starts in coming days with assets from Allies including Denmark, France, UK, Germany. It adds strength, addresses drones, and shows NATO is ready to defend. 2/
Grynkewich: Eastern Sentry will be flexible and agile, with focused deterrence and defense when and where needed.

It adds enhanced capabilities, integrates air and ground defenses, info sharing. Allies stand with Poland, with forces from France, Germany, Denmark, UK. 3/
Read 4 tweets
Sep 12
Lindsey Graham: Russia kidnapped 19,546 Ukrainian children. They took them from families, moved them to Russia. Teenagers get trained to fight against Ukraine. In 2025, this crime continues — Senator Klobuchar raised it first, and she was right.

1/
Lindsey Graham: In the 1990s, Ukraine gave up 1,700 nuclear weapons for security guarantees from Russia, the UK, and the US. Then Putin invaded in 2014 and 2022. Over a million killed or injured, millions displaced. 24 years later, we let our guard down.

2/
Lindsey Graham: We’re opening another front against Putin. China, India, Brazil buy cheap Russian oil and fund his war. We plan tariffs — choose between our economy or cheap Russian oil. If you prop up Putin’s war machine, you’ll pay a price.

3/
Read 6 tweets
Sep 12
A 6-person elite Ukrainian unit blew up Nord Stream 1 and 2 pipelines in September 2022, causing £20B damage and releasing 350,000 tons of methane, — The Telegraph.

They were led by a retired sea captain and ex-secret service officer, identified only as “Serhii K.” 1/ Image
The operation, nicknamed “Diameter” used a few high-grade explosives, planted 80 meters underwater by 4 expert divers.

The team hired a German yacht, Andromeda, from Rostock and posed as tourists. Bombs were planted at 4 sites near the Danish island of Bornholm. 2/
The operation cost $300,000 and used no submarines, drones, or satellites.

Serhii K was arrested in Italy, he faces explosion and sabotage charges. 5 others remain in Ukraine, which bars extradition. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Sep 12
Bolton: Putin is testing us, seeing if he can claim it was an accident, fog of war, to test our resolve. It doesn’t mean war follows now.
We’ve been misled 3.5 years by fear of wider war. If Russia had better assets, why not use them in Ukraine instead of endless casualties? 1/
Bolton: It's hard to believe this was an accident. The drones launched from Belarus hit Poland, not Ukraine. This looks like a NATO test.

What happens in Ukraine affects U.S. and NATO security, so support for Ukraine is justified and must continue. 2/
Bolton: As we look for stronger sanctions, Europe and the U.S. must abandon the price cap plan that let Russian oil flow while trying to drive down revenues.

It was a stupid idea from the start. We're going to go after Russian oil and gas, go after it. 3/
Read 5 tweets

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