1/ China is easing physical gold exports.
After years of encouraging imports while restricting exports, it looks like the pure accumulation phase is ending → shifting to active use of gold abroad. #Gold #China
2/ Context:
For years: imports yes, exports no. Goal: build reserves at home and stabilize the market via Shanghai (SGE).
3/ What’s changing:
Fewer export restrictions = gold can now serve as an international reserve asset and offshore repo collateral with foreign partners. #Repo
– A cut with sticky inflation = risk of higher long-term inflation.
– Massive Treasury issuance = more supply, lower bond prices, higher yields.
– Investors demanding a bigger term premium for holding long debt.
3/ The key: long maturities jumped more than short. That’s the market’s way of saying:
“Fed, you’re easing too soon. We want more yield for lending over 10–30 years.”
Thread: 1/ 🚨 Rate cuts at record highs.
The Fed just cut rates while the S&P 500 trades at all-time highs.
That’s only the 3rd time since 1996:
• 2019
• 2024
• 2025
What happened next? Let’s dig in. 🧵
2/ Each time the Fed has cut rates within 2% of record highs, the S&P 500 has risen an average of +14% over the next 12 months.
Sounds bullish, right? 📈
But history shows… the rally comes with a price.
3/ 2019: Stocks rallied → until 2020 brought the pandemic crash.
2024: A liquidity-fueled melt-up → but inflation pressures returned.
Short-term gains, long-term instability.
Thread: Institutions are quietly preparing for a silver cycle
1/ Retail wonders if a few ounces matter. Meanwhile, big money is moving closer to the source. Miners are hiring veterans, raising capital, and buying back shares. That’s not bearish behavior. #Silver
2/ Vizsla Silver just appointed mining veteran Eduardo Luna as Lead Director. You don’t bring in heavyweight operators unless you expect to scale. Insider signal: prepare for a bigger cycle.
3/ IMPACT Silver closed a C$16M bought deal — ~44.44M units at C$0.36, with warrants exercisable at C$0.45 into Sep 2027. Capital flows where future cash flows are expected. Institutions aren’t waiting.
1/ 🚨 Silver dump ahead of the Fed 🚨
Overnight, silver dropped -2.57% to $41.81.
Volume at just 47% of average → clear sign of targeted pressure, not natural selling.
2/ Yesterday’s settlement: $42.917
This morning: $41.815
➡️ -1.10 USD gap overnight
Somebody is eager to clear the market before the “big reveal.”
3/ If the Fed were only going -25 bps, the reaction would be mild.
This looks more like prep for a blockbuster -50 bps cut.