Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Sep 17 4 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Snyder: What happens in Ukraine will affect whether Russia, the EU, the US endures. We are not spectators. History shows no state is alone; a smaller power can prevail. Russia could win, Ukrainian victory must be thought of with that in mind. 1/
Snyder: Trump’s superpower is to disappoint. His tweets prepare for disappointment. Europeans must act, not use US policy as excuse. Wars end for economic reasons, but power matters only if turned into political-military force. Europe has power to help Ukraine win. 2/
Snyder: A necessary condition for victory is sovereignty. The ability to set domestic and foreign policy, write a constitution. Without this, it won't feel like victory. The subjective sense of sovereignty is tied to Ukrainians making decisions and integration with the EU. 3/
Snyder: In the present and future, victory for Ukrainians must be set in long-term history of surviving extraordinary adversity. Ukraine in the 20th century went through worse. Survival isn't victory, but part of it. Qestion is how to create conditions that feel like victory. 4X

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More from @Mylovanov

Sep 17
For the first time ever, Trump administration approved Ukraine arms packages under the new PURL program, Reuters.

Undersec. Elbridge Colby cleared up to two $500M shipments from U.S. stocks. Ukrainian allies pay, Ukraine gets kit. Target: up to $10B in allied-funded weapons. 1/ Image
What’s in it: air-defense systems and other gear Ukraine asked for, as Russia ramps drone and missile strikes.

Trump frustrated by Moscow’s attacks despite talks, greenlit the PURL push. 2/
This is the 1st new weapons flow beyond Biden-era donations or direct sales.

Under PURL, NATO countries buy from U.S. stocks, Washington ships fast. 3X
Read 4 tweets
Sep 17
Putin spent 250,000 soldiers’ lives, his best brigades and hundreds of billions to seize a few towns in Donbas - The Atlantic.

Now he faces a hostile Ukraine armed by the West, a wrecked economy and reliance on China. His war to restore power turned Russia into a graveyard. 1/ Image
Whatever happens on the front, Ukraine remains an armed enemy on Russia’s border. Europe cut Gazprom, embargoed trade, and rearmed.

NATO grew to include Finland and Sweden. Putin sacrificed his soldiers so Europe could build air defenses. 2/
Russia’s army burned through its best cadres and equipment. Rebuilding will take years and billions.

By then, today’s drones and tactics will be outdated, leaving Moscow with fewer men, fewer machines, and nothing new to offer. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Sep 17
That’s horrible to death. Two 13-year-old brothers weighing only 8.5 kg each were found bedridden in frontline Pokrovsk.

They survived over a year under the care of their 10-year-old brother, Platón, after their grandmother's death, Ukrainska Pravda reports. 1/ Image
The boys have severe genetic condition lissencephaly type 1, causing neurological disorders, epilepsy, and protein-energy deficiency - they cannot move and need constant care. 2/
10-year-old Platón fed, watered, lifted his brothers, cleaned around them, and carried them to basement during shelling for over a year without adult supervision. 3/
Read 10 tweets
Sep 17
Lavrov: The Americans came to understand that the people who, in protest against the oppressive Nazi regime, voted in referendums to join — to return to — the Russian Federation will never again live under the yoke of the current Kyiv authorities.

1/
Lavrov: The Russian army never targets civilian infrastructure or the population. For every accusation, we ask: where is the proof, where are the facts? As for fakes accusing our army of crimes, they later turned out to be committed by the Ukrainian regime. 2/
Lavrov: When blatant violations of international humanitarian law can’t be denied, the UN Secretariat timidly issues impersonal calls for restraint — to both sides. We saw the same reaction when it was clear how inhumanly the “Nazi formations” of Kyiv acted.

3/
Read 9 tweets
Sep 16
In July 2014, DPR militants stopped 16-year-old Stepan Chubenko.

They knocked out his teeth, tied his hands and legs with tape, pulled a T-shirt over his head, and executed him. Then they dumped his body in a trench near a river, writes Babel. 1/ Image
Stepan traveled home to Kramatorsk. At Mospyne station, gunmen dragged him off the train [parents say for his blue-yellow ribbons and Karpaty football scarf]

Witnesses said the fighters strangled him with a towel, beat him and forced him to swaer loyalty to “DPR.” He refused. 2/
His mother Stalina and father Viktor searched every hospital and trench around Donetsk. For weeks they begged militants for answers.

Stalina caught DPR leader Zakharchenko in his convoy and screamed: “My son is 16. Where is he?” The next day he called her: “He was shot.” 3/
Read 8 tweets
Sep 16
Kellogg: Ukrainians are not the obstacle to peace — Putin is. We are in the last 10 yards of the fight. This war could end tomorrow if he agreed to come to the table and negotiate. 1/
Yermak: Putin will not stop at Ukraine unless stopped together. Ukraine today is the shield of Europe and the free world.

Only a strong and united answer will prove to him that his comfortable position cannot last. 2/
Powell: Putin’s sport is judo, and he thrives on keeping options open. The West must close those options.

His summer campaign has already faltered. Real pressure, combined with a way out, can force him into real negotiations. 3/
Read 9 tweets

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