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Sep 20 23 tweets 4 min read Read on X
1/ A critical commentary from a Russian soldier about Ukrainian dominance in drone warfare has reportedly (and unsurprisingly) resulted in retaliation against him. Russian warbloggers have nonetheless defiantly pointed out more Russian deficiencies. ⬇️ Image
2/ The commentary by a soldier with the callsign 'Hades' has prompted much discussion from Russian warbloggers. He provided an unusually frank assessment of how Ukrainian drones have stalled Russia's efforts to advance in several directions.
3/ However, according to warblogger Andrey Filatov, it has resulted in predictable relaliation from "thick-headed security guards". "Only a degenerate in uniform could have been offended and started throwing a tantrum."
4/ "And judging by some information, that's exactly what happened..."

'Yasinovataya, Donbass on the front line' see this as symptomatic of official attitudes towards constructive criticism:
5/ "The system lulls itself and its leadership into complacency, ignoring reality, which leads to strategic losses. Filatov calls for professional dialogue and an end to simulation.
6/ "The system in its current form prefers the comfort of illusions—it prefers to hear confirmation of its own rightness than to accept facts that require a reconsideration of approaches and an acknowledgement of mistakes.
7/ "A direct look at reality requires professionalism, responsibility, and a willingness to change—and this conflicts with the interests of those integrated into the vertical for status, not results.
8/ "When real fighters, developers, or analysts voice inconvenient truths, the system's reaction is often defensive rather than constructive: suppression instead of analysis, discreditation instead of dialogue. This is not a sign of strength, but a symptom of managerial weakness.
9/ "If the system were focused on victory, it would seek the truth in every report, not flattery in every comment."

'Yasinovataya' provides a systematic analysis of Russia's problems with its use of drones:
10/ "The defeat in the UAV sector, despite quantitative saturation, is the result of several systemic factors. Filatov points this out directly: there are many drones, but the enemy has tactical and operational superiority.
11/ "The key reasons, confirmed not only by his text but also by the entirety of observations of the Special Military Operation, are:
12/ 📌 1. Tactical weaknesses in use

- Drones are used without a clear understanding of their role in conjunction with other assets.

- The enemy's FPV drones are integrated into tactical schemes: reconnaissance, suppression, and finishing.
13/ - Our side often employs them in a fragmented manner, without coordination or analysis of the results.
14/ 📌 2. Lack of rapid adoption of advanced methods.

- The enemy quickly adapts tactics to new conditions: changing routes, camouflaging equipment, using decoys.

- Our system is slow to respond to changes, often continuing to use outdated schemes.
15/ 📌 3. Problems with management and initiative

- Initiative groups and developers in Russia face bureaucracy, a lack of support, and sometimes even outright resistance.
16/ - Our opponents, especially in the volunteer and private sectors, act flexibly: quickly testing, implementing, and scaling.
17/ 📌 4. Communication and control quality

- The enemy has a better-organized digital infrastructure: secure channels, precise navigation, and integration with combat systems.

- Russian units often suffer from communication outages and the lack of a unified UAV control system.
18/ 📌 5. Command Psychology

- The enemy is quicker to admit mistakes and adjust their approach.

- Our system is prone to complacency, ignoring criticism, and suppressing inconvenient voices—as Filatov points out, this leads to a loss of touch with reality.
19/ 📌 6. Logistics and Supply

- The enemy has an established supply chain for components, including civilian solutions.

We have supply chain interruptions, dependence on a limited number of suppliers, and a lack of systemic support at the Ministry of Defense level.
20/ 📌 7. Feedback and Training

- The enemy actively trains operators, collects data, and analyzes performance.

- Our system has weak feedback, a lack of centralized analysis, and insufficient operator training.
21/ "Conclusion:

The deficit lies not in the number of drones, but in the inability to transform them into a tool for systemic superiority. The enemy operates as a flexible, adaptive network.
22/ "Our side operates as an inertial vertical, where even obvious solutions are drowned in managerial viscousness. This is precisely what Filatov notes: drones exist, but they don't bring victories because the system doesn't know how to use them." /end

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More from @ChrisO_wiki

Sep 20
1/ Russians can no longer complain anonymously about corruption. A corruption-reporting option on the Kremlin website launched under Vladimir Putin's predecessor Dmitry Medvedev has quietly been removed for unknown reasons (seen here before and after). ⬇️ Image
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2/ The independent Russian news outlet 'We can explain' reports that the option to send a message to Putin via email has disappeared from the Kremlin website. To do so, you now need to register through the Russian government portal Gosuslugi.
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Sep 20
1/ One of Russia's 'combat donkeys' has been demobilised and is now enjoying a comfortable retirement in a zoo. Ironically, it is being treated much better than the humans it served alongside. ⬇️ Image
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3/ The 'Faust's Mouthpiece' Telegram channel reports that a donkey which served for a long time in the 1430th Guards Regiment, carrying ammunition, has been retired during a redeployment.
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Sep 19
1/ While today's incursion into Estonian airspace by three Russian MIG-31s is the most serious such incident in 30 years, it's not the first time that it's happened. It also highlights a strategic vulnerability for Estonia: it does not have a fully agreed border with Russia. ⬇️ Image
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2/ The incident happened this morning near the island of Vaindloo off Estonia's north coast. According to the Estonian Defence Forces, the three Russian aircraft spent 12 minutes in Estonian airspace at a depth of less than 10 km, flying east to west. Image
3/ According to Estonia, the aircraft had no flight plans and their transponders were switched off. At the time of the violation, they also lacked two-way radio communication with Estonian air traffic control. NATO forces responded to the incursion.
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Sep 19
1/ The Russian government has declared prominent Russian warblogger Roman Alekhin to be a 'foreign agent', to the alarm and bewilderment of many other Russian warbloggers. The move is being linked to Alekhin's recent scandal over fundraising for the war effort. ⬇️ Image
2/ In its weekly Friday publication of the latest individuals and organisations to be sanctioned under its foreign agent law, the Russian Ministry of Justice has listed Alekhin on the grounds that he had collaborated with other 'foreign agents'.
3/ Specifically, according to the Ministry, he had "participated in the dissemination of foreign agent messages and materials to the general public."
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Sep 18
1/ A Russian who repeatedly raped his teenage stepdaughter over a period of two years has escaped justice by enlisting to fight in Ukraine. He is only one of a number of Russian rapists and pedophiles who has been able to enlist to avoid going to trial for their crimes. ⬇️ Image
2/ 37-year-old Vladimir Bikbaev was detained in the Krasnoyarsk Territory on suspicion of repeatedly raping his stepdaughter, who was under 14 years old. She complained that he had regularly raped her since 2023 and had threatened to kill her.
3/ Bikbaev was charged with rape earlier this month. However, he was offered the chance to avoid a trial if he agreed to sign a military contract to go and fight in Ukraine. He duly accepted.
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Sep 18
1/ Russia's failure to make anything more than grinding incremental progress in Ukraine is causing discontent in the Russian warblogger community. One warblogger blames incompetent and dishonest 'butcher commanders' who have killed their entire units three or four times over. ⬇️ Image
2/ Telegram warblogger 'Ramzai' writes that the ratio of losses between Russian and Ukrainian forces "has gradually leveled out due to the massive use of all types of drones by the Ukrainians, [with] 2-3 UAVs for every one of our soldiers."
3/ "Moreover, half of our enemy's losses are caused by our Aerospace Forces' operations in the enemy's rear. The situation is less rosy along the line of contact.
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