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Bourbon Capital

@BourbonCap

Sep 8

8 Stocks to Hold for the Next Decade🧵

1. $GOOG - Alphabet

• Google controls over 90% of the global search market, cementing its dominance.

• A leader in quantum computing and one of the fastest-growing cloud providers.

• Gemini models now serve 9M+ developers, setting benchmarks across languages and logic.

• The Gemini App has 450M MAUs, with daily requests up 50% QoQ.

• Owns YouTube, where Shorts average 200B daily views, monetizing on par with long-form in many regions.

• Waymo has driven 100M autonomous miles and is expanding into new cities and countries.

Despite heavy R&D investment, Alphabet is projected to double FCF within three years, giving it unmatched flexibility for innovation, acquisitions, and shareholder returns.

2. $OSCR - Oscar Health

• Healthcare is facing disruption, but Oscar benefits from government-backed protections.

• Covers 2 million members and is projected to reach 3–4M by 2030.

• AI-driven tools provide real-time, personalized care plans, bridging insurer and provider roles.

• The +Oscar platform could power third-party systems, opening new licensing and white-label revenue streams.

• Strong presence in rural and underserved markets via 24/7 online consultations.

• Positioned to capitalize on ICHRA adoption, where employers fund ACA premiums.

Oscar is showing robust top-line growth, margin expansion, and a scalable foundation for long-term execution.

3. $AMZN - Amazon

• Amazon remains a global powerhouse across cloud, logistics, and retail.

• AWS holds 32% of the global cloud market.

• Amazon Pharmacy is growing 50% YoY, capturing digital health momentum.

• 200M+ Prime members provide strong loyalty and recurring revenue.

• Project Kuiper has successfully launched its third satellite and secured enterprise/government customers.

• Committing $19B by 2040 to expand German logistics and cloud infrastructure.

Amazon is on track to surpass $1T in revenue and generate $100B+ in FCF by 2029.

Read 8 tweets

Bourbon Capital

@BourbonCap

Aug 27

In 2018, $TSLA was at $19, $AMD at $12 and $SHOP at $14, and right now they went up with over 2000% return in less than a decade.

Here are 5 companies under $20 that could potentially hit similar returns in the next 8-10 years.

1. $DLO - DLocal Limited ($14)

DLocal is a payment processing platform with a strong focus on Latin America and the Asia-Pacific regions.

Its transaction-based revenue model scales efficiently: as payment volumes increase, the company doesn’t need to proportionally raise costs. This operating leverage allows DLocal to grow profitably while maintaining an almost debt-free balance sheet and expanding both revenue and cash reserves.

In Q2 2025, Total Payment Volume (TPV) reached a record $9.2 billion, up 53% YoY and 14% QoQ. This marked the third consecutive quarter of 50%+ TPV growth, underscoring the platform’s accelerating adoption.

DLocal’s cloud-native, asset-light infrastructure minimizes fixed costs, enabling rapid expansion without the burdensome overhead typical of traditional banks. This lean model provides a significant competitive edge, particularly in fast-growing emerging markets where scalability and cost efficiency are critical.

$DLO has strengthened integrations with major global tech leaders such as Amazon, Google, Spotify, Shein, Temu, and Didi. This means, as these companies expand their regional footprints, DLocal directly benefits from the surge in transaction volumes, reinforcing its role as a trusted enabler of cross-border commerce.

With its efficient business model, expanding partnerships, and strong execution in high-growth markets, DLocal is well-positioned for outsized returns. By 2029 the stock could delivery +270% return.

Read 10 tweets

Bourbon Capital

@BourbonCap

Aug 25

Fair Isaac $FICO still has so much potential and strong pricing power.

The stock has grown at 32.4% per year, delivering over 1522% returns in 10 years.

Let me tell you about it🧵

Before the 1960s, there was no easy way to know a person’s credit card history, so loan decisions were largely based on trust.

There was also no concept of a variable interest rate depending on credit risk.

Bill Fair and Earl Isaac, working together at the Stanford Research, saw an opportunity to bring standardization and objectivity to the lending process. In 1956, they started a consulting firm called Fair, Isaac & Co.

Each contributed $400, beginning in a studio apartment in San Rafael, California. They sent letters to the 50 largest U.S. lenders explaining their ideas, but only one responded: the American Investment Company (AIC). AIC hired them

The scoring systems were extremely helpful to lenders because they could tighten or loosen standards based on changing the cutoff score level.

They could track them over time to get an accurate sense of overall company risk. Prior to credit scoring, there was no easy way to assess the changing credit risk across thousands of home loans, for example. They also now had the ability to charge variable interest rates based on the credit risk.

So this was the initiation of the subprime lending market.

Read 11 tweets

Bourbon Capital

@BourbonCap

Aug 18

Stanley Druckenmiller ran Duquesne Capital for 30 years, averaging 30% annual returns with zero down years.

Let’s dive into his latest quarterly portfolio update, recent performance, and investment tips.

His Stock-Buying Criteria:

Druckenmiller’s a top-down guy. He starts with the big picture: global economic trends, liquidity, central bank moves. Then drills down to stocks.

He looks for:

1) Secular growth themes like e-commerce: He has held MercadoLibre for over a year, and the company is expecting over 20% growth. He has been trading Nubank, another promising company with massive growth potential, and recently added Sea Limited and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM), both strong companies with significant potential.

2) Undervalued assets with significant upside potential. He has held Coupang for about two years, and the company is expecting significant growth. He recently added Thermo Fisher, one of the most beaten-down stocks due to tariffs but with a strong moat.

3) Strong management (loves founder-led firms)

Investment Tips

1) Follow Macro Trends First. Economic cycles, central bank policies, and liquidity dictate winners.

2) Bet on Secular Growth Themes: E-commerce is expecting some of the strongest growth over the coming years.

3) Focus on Cash Flow, Not Hype.

4) Size Your Bets When Conviction Is High: Many people want the market or strong companies to crash, but few capitalize on these opportunities.

5) Back Strong Management. Look for honest management, a CEO with significant experience in the field, and a founder with over 15 years’ experience who speaks confidently during earnings calls without speculating about future revenue.

6) Adapt to Changing Markets: Don’t cling to old strategies, what worked yesterday might fail tomorrow stay flexible.

7) Watch Sentiment, Not Just Numbers. Market sentiment can shift rapidly: everyone may be bullish one moment, but fear can dominate by the close. This happens multiple times a year, yet few people capitalize on fearful times.

Read 9 tweets

Bourbon Capital

@BourbonCap

Aug 15

David Tepper has achieved a 28% annual return over the past two decades.

It's one of the best contrarian investors, he was right about Alibaba and now he has a new bet

Let me tell you about it🧵

Tepper left Goldman Sachs in 1992 and founded Appaloosa Management in 1993 with $57 million in capital

Appaloosa Management is renowned for its strong performance, particularly in distressed debt investing. Since its inception in 1993, the fund has reportedly compounded at an average annual return of over 25% for much of its history.

By 2010, it was reported that Appaloosa had returned $12.4 billion to clients since inception, ranking it among the top hedge funds for total client returns. This figure reflects returns up to 17 years after its founding.

His Strategy

Buy when others are fearful: “There comes a point where prices are so cheap that you just have to buy.”

Focus on Distressed Assets

Concentration over diversification

Read 8 tweets

Bourbon Capital

@BourbonCap

Aug 12

Shift4 Payments $FOUR has a lot potencial

- Company its expanding
- Insiders are buying
- Boring businesses

Today, the company is worth $6 billion, operates in over +75 countries, runs one of the biggest payment processing companies in the world, and has a strong presence in hospitality.

The stock has grown at 18% per year, delivering over 130% in returns in 5 years (IPO in Jun 2020).

Here are a few reasons why I consider it a buy:

1) It's a boring business than operating in multiple industries like hospitality, gaming, casinos, hotels, and e-commerce, yet it's still growing, expanding, and adding new features.

The company generates over $100 million from subscription revenue and is expecting to add more venues in the coming years.

90% of the revenue comes from processing payment fees

2) Anyone who runs a restaurant knows the system is usually a nightmare when you have to deal with multple companies. However, Shift4 offers everything together, from inventory management, table management, payments, and kitchen orders.

Even the new Tesla restaurant is using their system, and you will see more and more Venues using Shift4

Every single time a customer pays, Shift4 makes money

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