Honza Černý Profile picture
Sep 23 6 tweets 1 min read Read on X
1/ Powell today: “Equity prices are fairly highly valued.”
Translation: The Titanic is “fairly wet.” 🚢💦
#Fed #Stocks Image
2/ Buffett Indicator just hit 217%.
That’s not “fairly high.” That’s “historic bubble territory.”
But sure, call it fairly. 🤡
#BuffettIndicator #Markets
3/ Total US Market Value = $65.47T
Annual GDP = $30.15T
Ratio = 217%
But hey, it’s just slightly inflated — like a zeppelin before the Hindenburg. 🎈🔥
4/ When Powell says “fairly highly valued,”
read: we know it’s insane, but we can’t say the B-word (bubble).
#FedSpeak #Silver
5/ If equities are “fairly” valued at 217% GDP…
then silver at 217% of fair value would already be > $100/oz.
Let that sink in. 🥈🚀
#SilverSqueeze #StackSilver
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More from @honzacern1

Sep 25
1/
"There isn’t enough silver in the world for every millionaire to own 65 ounces."
Sounds wild? Let’s check the math. 🧵🥈
2/
Global investable silver above ground = ~3 billion ounces (bars, coins, ETFs).
Global millionaires = ~59 million (Credit Suisse 2023).

That’s ~50 oz per millionaire if perfectly divided.
3/
But reality is messier:
– A huge chunk of those 3B oz is already locked in vaults, ETFs & central banks.
– The rest? Scattered in private hands.
– Industry consumes ~1.2B oz annually.
So no way every millionaire could get even close to 50 oz.
Read 10 tweets
Sep 25
1/ The war on #Silver is intensifying.
Short positions in $SLV just exploded +67%, $GLD shorts jumped almost +70%. This is massive paper firepower aimed at keeping metals down. 🧵🥈🚨 Image
2/ Normally, such a barrage of new shorts would crush price action. It’s the textbook suppression tool: flood the market with borrowed shares, push the chart flat, kill momentum.
3/ And yet… look at silver today.
Despite the assault, silver still trades near $45/oz, up +1.4% on the day, flirting with its 52-week high.
Read 10 tweets
Sep 25
1/
Silver holds strong at $44.23/oz, slightly up today (+0.10%).
Consolidating near its 52-week high ($44.77).
Healthy price action. 🥈📈 Image
2/
Day’s range: $44.06 – $44.30.
Yesterday’s close: $44.19.
We’re holding above key support at $44.00 — still in the green zone. ✅
3/
Volume is light in early hours (7.1k vs 57k avg).
Main moves will come with US trading session.
Stackers know: quiet consolidation often precedes a bigger move. ⚡️
Read 7 tweets
Sep 24
1/ 🚨 Markets now see a 74% chance of a U.S. government shutdown.
Yes, we’ve been here many times before.
But what if this time it’s real — and longer-lasting? 🕰️ Image
2/ A shutdown means:
– Delayed paychecks for federal workers
– Halted services
– A global signal of political dysfunction in Washington
3/ In past episodes, a compromise always came at the last minute.
But today’s climate is different:
– Negotiations broke down
– Short-term funding was rejected
– Polarization is higher than ever
Read 11 tweets
Sep 24
1/
🚨 Copper prices just jumped after Freeport declared force majeure at Grasberg – one of the world’s largest copper (and silver!) mines in Indonesia. Image
2/
An accident killed two workers and halted operations. Freeport can’t fulfill its supply contracts = immediate shock to the global copper market.
3/
This proves how fragile metal markets are. One mine goes down → global prices surge.
Read 9 tweets
Sep 24
1/
🚨 US housing data came in HOT:
🏠 New Home Sales: 800K (Exp. 650K, Last 664K)
📑 Building Permits: 1.33M (Exp. 1.312M, Last 1.312M)
Wall Street says: “Great for the economy.”
But let’s dig deeper. 👇
#Silver #Gold #Fed Image
2/
Strong housing means:
➡️ Americans are still taking massive debt
➡️ Real estate bubble keeps inflating
➡️ Fed has LESS pressure to cut rates soon
Good news for the system short-term.
Bad news for those who think debt = wealth.
3/
For stackers?
This is actually great news.
Why? Because if the Fed delays cuts or moves slower…
👉 You get MORE TIME to prepare.
👉 More ounces stacked before fiat weakens again.
Read 8 tweets

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