auonsson Profile picture
Sep 23 15 tweets 6 min read Read on X
@pmolpmol lists three ships interesting as suspected drone carriers in last night attack on Copenhagen Airport.

In this thread, I will argue that Russian ship ASTROL 1 is an excellent fit.

Right time, right type, erratic track just before attack, highly suspicious background. Image
Article that led me down this rabbit hole, by @pmolpmol nyheder.tv2.dk/live/krimi/202…
ASTROL 1 is a largely flat cargo ship with hatches that likely would serve well as drone pads.

She is a similar model to SCANLARK, recently apprehended by German authorities on drone suspicions and to PORT OLYA 4, drone import ship on Iran trade. Sunk by Ukraine. Image
Image
Image
At time of drone attack start ASTROL 1 was just 35-40 km to the southeast of Copenhagen airport, having passed the hours before.

The night before she spent zig-zaging Kattegat, as if to arrive timely to destination? Image
Sunk ship PORT OLYA did these tracks last year, highly likely importing drones or other armaments from Iran to Russia in Caspian Sea.

ASTROL 1 did at least three similar trips last 12 months, last in Feb 2025. Image
Image
Very circumstantial, but in this photo ASTROL 1 is maneuvering right in front of known gun runner SPARTA IV. Photo taken in 2021. Kaliningrad? St Petersburg? Image
The case presented here is of course highly circumstantial.

ASTROL 1 is steaming south of Gotland. 4 hours ago she left normal traffic patterns and made a turn for Gotland.

I'll leave for the marine commands to decide if she is possible to apprehend and worthy of it. Image
Oh, almost forgot. With AIS we always run the risk of looking at a falsified track. A ship similar in shape to ASTROL 1 passes a webcam with a good match to the AIS-track, yesterday morning, north of Helsingør. This gives more credibility to the AIS-track being true. Image
Unless ASTROL 1 turns she will be on Swedish waters in 90 minutes. Ripe for picking.

Closest openly advertized NATO units is a Latvian catamaran patrol a few hours to NWW. There are almost certainly unadvertized units in the general area as well. Image
ASTROL 1 has turned, 5 km before entering Sweden and is now moving along the border. Again, outside of the most common routes.

A proper Tonkin-distance. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gulf_of_T…Image
Image
There are two US Navy P8 combined intelligence and anti-ship/submarine aircraft operating south of Gotland, northwest of Kaliningrad.

Seeing one of those is rather common, two not so much.

Likely not related, maybe available. Image
German journalist @winkelsdorf makes a case for Russian-crewed, Russia-connected, Norwegian-flagged OSLO CARRIER 3

@winkelsdorf Another vote for OSLO CARRIER 3

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with auonsson

auonsson Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @auonsson

Sep 22
Copenhagen Airport is closed for operations because of drones in the air.

Northern Europes most busy airport. Image
Plane diverting last minute. Image
Copenhagen Police in a ”massive operation on scene” (commanding police officer to news)

dr.dk/nyheder/indlan…
Read 21 tweets
Sep 13
A Russian brand new fishing boat is almost blocking Öresund strait.

They seemingly lost propulsion 4 hours ago, drifted north towards the very narrow channels (~300m) but seem to have anchored.

Swedish coast guard and police have been at scene.

AIS-caveats apply.
A Russian brand new fishing boat is almost blocking Öresund strait.

They seemingly lost propulsion 4 hours ago, drifted north towards the very narrow channels (~300m) but seem to have anchored.

Swedish coast guard and police have been at scene.

AIS-caveats apply. Zoom in.
Fishing boat in question is built this year 2025. Left St Petersburg about 3 days ago.

MECHANIC STEPANOV IMO: 9916252
Read 23 tweets
Sep 9
This is the main logistics hub for armaments into Ukraine.
Tanker (and hence fighters) inbound, Italian AEW&C inbound. Image
Polish AirborneEarlyWarning&Control aircraft landed a few minutes ago. Image
Read 4 tweets
Sep 6
I thought I had found indications of a targeted GNSS jamming attack against president von der Leyen's aircraft this Sunday.

Then I disproved my own hypothesis. Here's how!

This is common for me, I usually don't show it because it takes a lot of effort to explain also 0-results
Hypothesis: if vdLeyen-flight was jammed by a directional jammer other aircraft in the emission cone would also be affected

I got the idea upon looking at an animation by @lemonodor

Marked flight began reporting bad GPS-values just as the pilot of vdL reported issues over radio Image
Animation I refer to available at this link: bsky.app/profile/lemono…
Read 9 tweets
Sep 2
Swedish island Gotland is completely without power, for the second time in two weeks.

Gotland is considered paramount to NATO control of Baltic Sea.

As far as I know last outage is still being analyzed and cause is not known.

svt.se/nyheter/lokalt…
Power company now claims lightning strike as cause.

Article linked was updated.
Last hours lightning around Gotland. Image
Read 7 tweets
Sep 2
Pilot of the aircraft carrying president von der Leyen experienced GPS issues as they approached Plovdiv airport, Bulgaria Sun Aug 31.

Recordings of tower and plane comms are clear.

Transponder reported good GPS-signal and is likely separate from the instrument pilots used.
Half an hour after first reporting GPS-issues the aircraft of von der Leyen is taxiing on Plovdiv airport as the pilot repeats "we had GPS-issues" and thanks the flight controller for the support.

Full recordings with additional comms available at liveatc.net
From this we can derive that the pilot did *experience* GPS/GNSS-issues.

Given the area and years of jamming it is likely to have been caused by the common jamming of area.

Other explanations are possible.
Read 25 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(