Thread by @AKaszon

@AndrejBabis Here is an article about how digitalization and artificial intelligence are penetrating all areas of our lives and the job market and will fundamentally change our existence.

@AndrejBabis AI will increasingly not only serve as a replacement for physical muscle power, but will also gradually take over cognitive functions.

https://x.com/AKaszon/status/1952221670791414215

@AndrejBabis Many of the developers of artificial intelligence, the technocrats and drivers of digitalization are convinced that digitalization will create many new jobs, but the number of employment relationships will decline. threadreaderapp.com/thread/1917134…

@AndrejBabis I would like to share some hypotheses and examples of how AI will change our existence and about the challenges our society will face. We are in the midst of a global AI arms race in which mission planning is increasingly being taken over by sophisticated algorithms.

@AndrejBabis The country with the most powerful computing infrastructure gains the ability to respond to attacks with precise counterattacks in the shortest possible time.

@AndrejBabis Amid this escalating competition, regulatory hurdles are being reduced rather than increased, as no state wants to risk falling behind in this race.

@AndrejBabis Military AI systems are uncensored. In an emergency, they would not consider the lives of American citizens more worthy of protection than those of an enemy unless an explicit value of human life was incorporated into their programming.

@AndrejBabis There are many different AI models that are already significantly more competent than any human in their very specific areas, such as detecting cancer in X-ray images. Many of these models are scheduled to be integrated into a single model this year.

@AndrejBabis Imagine a world where lying is made impossible. A world where every mobile phone—equipped with an AI like this—analyzes not only faces, but also microexpressions, heartbeat rhythms, and decades-old videos.

@AndrejBabis Within seconds, it will be able to recognize recurring patterns, compare words and gestures, check context and history – and provide the observer with the verdict in real time: truth or deception.

@AndrejBabis In such a world, masks would fall away. Politicians, managers, influencers, friends, even partners—no one would be able to hide behind diplomacy, white lies, or strategic half-truths.

@AndrejBabis Conversations would change, and relationships would be redefined. Trust would no longer have to be earned; it would be technologically engineered and algorithmically secured.

@AndrejBabis But with radical transparency would also come a loss: the intimacy of the unspoken, the gray areas of human communication, the protection of small, euphemistic phrases. Truth would be total, but also totalitarian. Governing would be made almost impossible.

@AndrejBabis Perhaps soon people will be represented in court by an AI lawyer who will immediately recognize any trap presented to them during cross-examination or questioning, point it out to the defendant, and rethink the strategy in real time!

@AndrejBabis Perhaps there will soon be AI judges. With this rapid technological progress, anything is possible.

@AndrejBabis Everyone can now have their news moderated according to their personal taste – for example, in the rousing style of a WWF wrestling presenter who delivers the headlines with dramatic intensity and thunderous enthusiasm!

@AndrejBabis Be it in the style of a left-liberal media or in the sharp tones of the AfD

@AndrejBabis People will also increasingly turn to AI for religious matters, and this can be worrying. Ask the AI ​​how to deal with unruly women from the perspective of the leader of ISIS. The answers will shock you. All ideologies are embedded in AI.

@AndrejBabis Big data and AI will fundamentally change election campaigns. Elon Musk's AI has been granted access to government ministries and administration, which should give its owners enormous advantages in the election campaign if they wish to become politically active.

@AndrejBabis In fact, we already live in a corporate world where 50% of the market belongs to a few companies and asset managers who own each other, but digitalization will accelerate this development.

@AndrejBabis With the advance of digitalization, a rethinking of immigration policy will also begin in both left-wing and liberal media. Because in a world in which machines increasingly take over larger parts of the value chain,

https://x.com/TheEconomist/status/1970120926919307755

@AndrejBabis high birth rates and immigration have a counterproductive effect and can no longer be considered an economic advantage, as it was the case in the past.

@AndrejBabis There are a number of ideas for financing people who will become unemployed or undergo retraining in the future, and they all have something in common.

@AndrejBabis All of these ideas, from taxing robotics and a financial transaction tax to a global minimum tax or even a basic income that replaces all other social benefits and pensions, can only be implemented multilaterally.

@AndrejBabis If robotics taxation were introduced at the national level, this would inevitably lead to competitive disadvantages and jeopardise the international competitiveness of the respective country.

@AndrejBabis All the ideas for cushioning the social consequences of the losers of digitalization can only be implemented if the world stands together and if we close our borders, because otherwise half the world would want to travel to us.

@AndrejBabis These challenges could force states to work more closely together – not least because social unrest is forcing them to find common ground.

@AndrejBabis The optimists among the technocrats assume that an agreement will be reached and the era of endless wars will end. They dream of a society like that of ancient Greece, where practically no one worked because the Greeks had their slaves who did it.

@AndrejBabis The Greeks themselves had time for literature, to participate in the Olympic Games and to invent democracy, which would not have been possible if they had not had so much free time, and robots are, from the point of view of the technocrats, the slaves of the future.

@AndrejBabis The pessimists among the technocrats believe that we will all be sacrificed on the battlefield at some point, since our politicians are incapable of finding common ground and every industrial revolution has resulted in a world war with millions of deaths.

@AndrejBabis Most major wars were a consequence of the impending shift in the balance of power on our planet, and we can only hope that we will be spared from war in the wake of the digital revolution.

@AndrejBabis They are convinced that digitalization could lead to our downfall if digitalization were to be completely ignored in light of the energy transition, as electricity consumption will continue to rise.

@AndrejBabis The questions that arise in the course of the climate transition and why climate neutrality is not only a question of what is technically possible, but also a question of a sophisticated strategy, without which the energy transition would have a detrimental impact.

@AndrejBabis If our political leaders fail to find common solutions and the era of endless wars continues, we will one day awaken in a surveillance state the likes of which even George Orwell could not have imagined. There are basically two models: the multilateral and the national approach.

@AndrejBabis In the multilateral model, artificial intelligence would systematically search the Internet for illegal marketplaces, Hacker platforms and child pornography content;

@AndrejBabis Following legal proceedings before an international court, providers could then be obligated to block such offers worldwide.

@AndrejBabis A national approach would rely on comprehensive surveillance of all citizens rather than preventive measures to prevent crime. This would be an invasion of privacy, the price of which must be carefully weighed.

@AndrejBabis The different perspectives in the course of digitalization will inevitably lead to the formation of two intellectual camps, which will massively change the political balance in many countries.

@AndrejBabis One camp will want to prevent digitalization and advocate for maximum protectionism and a radical expansion of renewable energies in order to increase energy prices,

@AndrejBabis in order to counteract digitalization and to protect themselves from robot-manufactured products from abroad.

@AndrejBabis The opposing side sees this as an unstoppable development, since the laws of the market economy state that the cheaper method of production will always prevail.

@AndrejBabis They believe in trade, want to strengthen multilateralism and end the era of endless wars.

@AndrejBabis The essence of digitalization is rationalization to save labor costs through AI and automation processes, and the countries in which the expansion of digital infrastructure does not take place will be particularly affected by unemployment and poverty.

@AndrejBabis It's like during industrialization. The invention of the steam engine, the assembly line, and other technological innovations allowed us to produce our products, like cars, much more cheaply and in much larger quantities than our competitors.

@AndrejBabis It was the competing countries that subsequently had to struggle with unemployment and poverty, and the losers of this digital arms race will live in abject poverty in the future.

@AndrejBabis But even here in the West, working hours were reduced. Back then, people worked 14-hour days, and even children were sent to the mines.

@AndrejBabis Today, people only work 8 hours, and soon it will be down to 4 hours to get as many people as possible into employment. People won't be able to live on that salary anymore!

@AndrejBabis Personally, I advise Europe's politicians to pursue dual-use armament, since the loans will not pay for themselves and you can't make money with tanks alone.

@AndrejBabis We need more power plants, cheaper energy, our own satellites, a standalone 5G to 6G network, a European equivalent to Starlink, and sensors installed at intersections.

@AndrejBabis This would be the technologies that build the basic digital infrastructure that enables autonomous driving, communication between robotic systems with AI, and the use of AI-controlled drones.

@AndrejBabis Compared to labor costs, energy/electricity prices and digital infrastructure will play an increasingly important role in companies' choice of location, and an expansion of digital infrastructure would benefit both the economy and defense capabilities.

@AndrejBabis If all the loans are squandered at the European level, Europe will be a third world continent in 15 years.

@AndrejBabis We need to start developing industrial AI for cars, chemicals, pharmaceuticals and mechanical engineering immediately.

@AndrejBabis Robotics and drones must be able to access our own satellite-based internet anywhere in the world to enable permanent access to digital databases and communication with each other and with an AI.

@AndrejBabis This would mean military power, because only in this way can several tanks, aircraft and drones be operated/monitored by a single person, as in "Command and Conquer" (a very old PC game).

https://x.com/AKaszon/status/1970905143962132839

@AndrejBabis In the future, these drones will be connected via the internet and will be able to access digital biometric databases, speech analysis databases, and AI. This is not good news for resistance fighters and terrorists.

@AndrejBabis All these purchases will cost so much money that everyone will have to pull together. Both the rich, who will have to invest a little more, and the poor, who will have to cut back and work longer.

@AndrejBabis Savings will be necessary everywhere to somehow raise the money for the digital transformation, otherwise everything will be much worse in 10-15 years.

@AndrejBabis @threadreaderapp unroll