Raylan Givens Profile picture
Oct 5 6 tweets 1 min read Read on X
🔴 🧵 ANALYSIS: THE END OF THE WAR IN GAZA? Looking back at things from the 10,000-foot view, it is natural to think that the Gaza War might finally be over. Let’s dive into why that might be.
After Trump revealed his plan for Gaza around a week ago, things have been moving quickly. Hams has their back to the wall - the Arab countries made promises to Trump and have ambitious plans for the Strip once the war is over, and Hams isn’t a part of those plans.
Trump in recent days has understood that parts of his plan will likely be problematic, so he instead refocused his efforts on Phase I of the plan - the hostage release. Trump wants to get the hostages released and then worry about issues like disarmament and demilitarization later.
However, the second they release all of the hostages, they lose any leverage they had. They will be forced to accept the rest of the plan under threat of an unrestrained IDF campaign to eradicate them for good.
More importantly, none of the Arab countries, including the UAE and Saudi Arabia, will agree to enter Gaza while Hams is still there, so they will insist that Hams be removed from Gaza and Gaza will be demilitarized.
All of this is to say that Hams might have finally realized that the game is up and agreed to release the hostages in the hopes of negotiating some form of survival for the organization outside of Gaza, and in an attempt to preserve their forces against the PA in Judea & Samaria. The alternative is full destruction by the IDF.

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More from @JewishWarrior13

Sep 29
🧵TRUMP'S GAZA PLAN - THE SURRENDER OF HAMAS: Today, President Trump revealed his peace plan for the War in Gaza. Let's dive into it; what's good about for Israel, what's bad, and why it's the best deal on the table since 10/7.Image
After a whirlwind of a day, I think it’s important to start by taking the emotions out and only looking at the facts. Most wars in the world today end with a deal of some sorts; the days of decisive military victories almost never happens, and Israel is no different.
The fact of the matter is that Israel's situation right now is not great. The Israeli people and especially the young population are very tired of the war. It’s hard for anyone to maintain a normal life, whether it be children or adults and whether it be jobs or the economy, and this has been going on for nearly 2 years.

This unprecedented war (in length and scale) has taken a massive toll on the public, and people want the war to end, full stop.
Read 10 tweets
Sep 21
🔴🧵MUST READ:Mossad agents planted special devices in Nasrallah's secret bunker before his elimination by the IDF. Details in the thread:
It happened in September of last year, in the midst of the air force bombing of Hezbollah strongholds in Beirut's Dahiyya; several people sneaked into Haret Harik in the Shiite quarter with well-camouflaged packages in their hands. They were fully aware that if Hezbollah members discovered them, they would face the death penalty. Seizing the devices in their possession would cause enormous security damage to the State of Israel.
They crept through narrow alleys, clung to the walls, and hoped that the Mossad case officer, the operator who sent them on the mission, had coordinated with the IDF so that the Air Force would not bomb the route they took to reach the multi-story residential building beneath which Hezbollah's secret main headquarters bunker was located.
Read 12 tweets
Sep 2
🚨🧵IDF RELEASES SHOCKING DETAILS OF The plan devised by Abu Obeida to stop the operation to conquer Gaza City: This is how Hams' consciousness and propaganda apparatus in Gaza operates. A series of new revelations about Hamas's propaganda, consciousness, and influence apparatus, which until this week was headed by the military wing spokesman Abu Obeida.
Hams's propaganda and consciousness apparatus included about 1,500 terrorists (in contrast, about 2 times all the regular soldiers the IDF has in the corresponding apparatuses - the IDF spokesman and the influence department). This is an array that Abu Obeida has built up over the past decade, and its strength has significantly increased. During Protective Edge, it included about 400 terrorists, and since then, it has quadrupled in size in a decade.
The majority of the array - about 1,000 terrorists - consists of terrorists deployed in the field, in Hams battalions and brigades. Each battalion and brigade in the military wing has a propaganda director, a senior representative on Abu Obeida's behalf who manages the consciousness efforts, and under him are terrorists who are "operational documenters" who have been trained in field photography. In recent years, Abu Obeida has led an extensive procurement and equipping effort of GoPro cameras, camera protection kits, carrying cases, and batteries.
Read 10 tweets
Aug 31
🚨🧵 The Washington Post reveals what was discussed at the dramatic meeting at the White House last week regarding the "day after" in the Gaza Strip. So for everyone who mistakenly thought that Trump's plan to evacuate the Strip was dead, here are the amazing details:
Trump proposes establishing an American trusteeship regime to replace Hams rule in Gaza for a period of at least ten years, with the aim of renewing the Strip and turning it into the "Riviera of the Middle East.”
The plan includes developing luxury tourist areas, establishing 6 to 8 smart cities based on AI, new industrial zones, and new infrastructure, with the help of private and public investments. A significant portion of the money will presumably come from Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, while the US wants to see Qatar involved as well (Israel is less keen)
Read 8 tweets
Aug 29
🧵A new Axis of Evil is quietly emerging in the Middle East, but it's not the one you've been told to fear. It's not Tehran. It's not the Shia Axis. It's something far more insidious—and it's hiding in plain sight: Turkey, Qatar, and Syria.

Let’s dive in.
The Axis we were all accustomed to, led by Iran and its proxies, was open and visible: Hezbollah, the Houthis, Iraqi militias. However, it was also recognized, isolated, and openly adversarial to the West. Israel could cripple this Axis because everyone agreed that it was the enemy. This new Axis? It wears Western suits, speaks the language of diplomacy, and plays both sides.
Let’s start with Turkey, the fangs of the Axis and a full-fledged NATO member. Under the quasi-Sultan Erdogan, it has drifted from secularism toward authoritarian Islamism. It hosts Hamas leaders, ethnically cleanses Kurdish groups allied with the U.S., and cozies up to Russia and China while still enjoying NATO protection.
Read 12 tweets
Aug 25
🔴🧵The Secret Connection Between Greta Thunberg and Zaher Birawi, Head of Hams's European Command. An instigation by Ad Kan organization published by C14
The Madeleine was not a human rights flotilla; this is a Hams flotilla in Europe! Behind the title 'aid to Gaza' stands a well-oiled and well-produced international propaganda network led by Hams. There are almost no aid goods or equipment on these flotillas, but mainly communication and photographic equipment.
About three weeks ago, a new organization was established, the global sumud flotilla. The activists, including Greta, are preparing for what they call "the biggest attempt ever to break the siege on Gaza" with a flotilla of dozens of ships and participants from 44 countries that will leave ports in Spain at the end of August. So who is behind it?
Read 9 tweets

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