Clément Molin Profile picture
Oct 6 25 tweets 8 min read Read on X
*123 000 russian 🇷🇺 soldiers got killed in 2025 in Ukraine 🇺🇦, more than the french 🇫🇷 ground forces.

In total, 281 550 russian soldiers were lost in 2025 as per leaked report. It includes 123 000 killed and missing and 158 529 wounded.

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These leaked documents were initially shared by this account @hochuzhit_com which provided these two pictures.

*I don't know about the source which seems controversial but the data seems veracious since it is close to other data collected by Mediazona, the Ukrainian General Staff and independent analysts.

There is high possibility this can be a propaganda operation, but the data can still be used.Image
Image
The document is giving few interesting insights on the state of russian forces. With 83 000 killed, it's close to the Mediazona count (54 000 in August with verified data).

It is also giving data on particular units and different sectors.
Here is a graph with the location of russian losses in different sectors. I added both killed and missing because the term missing is often used to hide losses and most of the time, soldiers are dead (or captured, but it cannot be possible for Russia since it advances). Image
On a map, here is each sector with different losses. I gathered also Wounded in Action (WIA) and Prisonner of War (POW) because they can eventually be recovered.

On top, I put the total number for each direction. Image
The data is simply catastrophic for Russia. In only 9 months, it lost 53 572 soldiers in Kursk and Sumy including 19 567 killed, mainly not affiliated to any unit.

Most of those were lost during the Kursk counter-offensive and Sumy incursion. Image
In Luhansk and Kharkiv oblasts, we have 21 698 killed russian soldiers, with a total number of 47 410 losses. Image
The data is also interesting because it gives informations for every unit. For example, the 1st tank army is pushing for Borova and Kupiansk, it took more than 21 000 losses for minimal gains.

The 20th and 25th armies are pushing for Lyman, they also took high losses. Image
For Pokrovsk, Kostiantynivka, but also Siversk and Chasiv Yar, Russia suffered catastrophic losses, nearly 100 000 thousands, including 43 263 killed.

Half of the dead are in this direction ! Image
We have crazy numbers for some units in the central part of Donbas.

The 2nd army (Pokrovsk) lost 31 575 soldiers including 15 310 killed, the 41st (South Pokrovsk) lost 20 879 soldiers including 7 443 dead and the 51st lost 27 340 soldiers including 13 008 killed... Image
More interesting is the specific data for the 90th Tank Division, with 7.2k losses including 3.5k killed, while it only advanced few kilometers on the Novopavlivka direction. Image
On the East direction (Pokrovsk-Hulialpole direction), losses are also very high for the russians. In total, 37 985 losses including 15 957 killed and missed. Image
Here again, we have detailed statistics. As @moklasen rightly stated in one of his posts today, "the 29th Army only has one brigade: the 36th MRB took 7.7k casualties since january".

The 5th army also took around 12 000 losses including 7 400 dead ! Image
In the south (Zaporijia), we have 32 740 russian losses, including 15 000 dead. The third army took half of the losses. Image
Finally for the Dnipro direction (Kherson and along the Dnipro river), we have 13 243 losses including 5 449 losses, mainly in the 58th army. Image
Now that we saw detailed statistics from each direction, let's see a general graphic of the main units with losses, PMC is for Kursk and sometimes units can be seen two times because their subordinated (brigades, divisions) are fighting in 2 different directions. Image
Now, some questions on this data :

Can it be true ? Yes or No. The ukrainians are giving official data which counts KIA, MIA, WIA and POW close to that.

The recognized ukrainian analyst @Tatarigami_UA said between 8 400–10 500 KIA are killed every month.
These are also the estimations of Mediazona for killed soldiers. With 9 640 killed per month, the data seems close to what is known. With the MIA, it would be 13 400 per month.

The document does not seem official, it could also be a made up. Still, it is interesting to analyse. Image
Another analyst, @AndrewPerpetua is counting all the russian soldiers killed by drone strikes (with the video proves). He says he is counting 4 000 to 4 500 a month and around 120 a day. Alone, he would have between 1/2 to 1/3 of all losses.
Why is the death tole so high ?

On this video alone (GRAPHIC ⚠️), we can see multiple bodies of russian soldiers near Pokrovsk. Due tot the drone threat, they have to walk or use motorcycles. On this case, crossing fortifications concentrate ukrainian fire.
This is the same in most of the Donbass. Ukrainian drone operators are hiding in the cities and launch hundreds of drones daily, whith part of them hitting russian soldiers on foot.

We have multiple videos of all those dead soldiers.
One of the main point of russian tactics is to assault with small teams. They do not recover their dead or their wounded.

If this tactic has proven right to advance, the data gathered today shows that it cost around 120 000 soldiers (KIA, MIA, WIA...) to reach Pokrovsk and Kostiantynivka.
Of course, some will ask "What about Ukraine ?"

I do not have that precise data. Ualosses states that Ukraine lost 160 000 soldiers, including 77 000 missing, probably dead or captured since the begining of the war.
Ukraine is recovering its wounded soldiers, but not really its dead because they are mostly killed in frontline positions taken by the russians. The bodies are excghanged later, which explains the strong difference between both. Around 10 000 this year. Image
Thanks for following this thread. I will probably add here other analyses of other OSINT accounts on this data.

The main subject is russian slosses so don't start asking me 200 questions about Ukraine because I don't know.

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More from @clement_molin

Dec 15
Ukrainian 🇺🇦 forces liberated most of Kupiansk city in a rather uncommon counter-attack

Despite setbacks in Pokrovsk, Siversk or Vovchansk, counter-offensive operations in Kupiansk managed to save the city and its surrondings for additionnal months.

🧵THREAD🧵1/10 ⬇️ Image
Few days ago, Volodymyr Zelensky filmed himself at the entrance of the city of Kupiansk, less than a month after Vladimir Putin claimed it was liberated by russian forces, inviting western medias into it. Image
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Après avoir perpétré le génocide contre les tutsis (et les hutus modérés) en 1994 (800k à 1 million de morts), les Forces Armées du Rwanda et les génocidaires interahamwe ont pris la fuite avec 2 millions de Hutus vers le Zaïre. Image
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Ainsi, dans l'est du Zaïre, de nombreuses armes lourdes sont arrivées. Image
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Au Yémen 🇾🇪, le coup de force des Emirats-Arabes-Unis 🇦🇪 pour contrôler le sud du pays

Les forces du Conseil de Transition du Sud (STC), un proxy pro-émirats, ont lancé une vaste offensive militaire, s'emparant d'une grande partie du sud du pays.

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Le STC s’appuie sur un réseau armé sudiste fortement soutenu, équipé et entraîné par les Émirats Arabes Unis, et ancrées dans un puissant sentiment identitaire sudiste pro-sécession.

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Dec 6
Analysis of Russian 🇷🇺 airstrikes north of Sumy in 2025

This year, I've closely followed russian airstrike campaign.

In Sumy, I mapped around 4 000 strikes. With recent satellite images of a small 153 km2, I found 1641 airstrikes impact !

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I found very recent sattelite images from May or June 2025.

What they are showing is really crazy. Multiple airstrikes impacts and wiped out villages, it helps to understand russian strategy. Image
Thus, I have decided to cover this small area of 153km2 with airstrikes visible on the high resolution images of june in white and the ones on mid resolution from october and november in pink.

1641, it's 10.7 per km2 ! Image
Read 14 tweets
Dec 6
Pourquoi la RD Congo 🇨🇩, le Rwanda 🇷🇼, le Burundi 🇧🇮 et l'Ouganda 🇺🇬 sont ils tous en guerre dans l'est du Congo ?

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Le principal Etat impliqué est le Rwanda. Mais pourquoi est-il en guerre dans l'est du Congo ?

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Nov 28
The use of unmanned ground vehicles (UGVs): the new revolution in the Ukrainian 🇺🇦 war.

Replacing infantry, UGVs fulfill several roles: combat support, troop evacuation, mine-laying, or logistics...

The revolution of ground drones in Ukraine 🇺🇦/🇷🇺 :

🧵THREAD🧵1/17⬇️Image
Like images from the future, ground drones are becoming increasingly visible on the ground in Ukraine.

While the arrival of aerial drones and their variants, as well as naval drones, has been well covered, the arrival of ground drones has been almost forgotten.
Multiple videos from the last few weeks are showing a wider use of ground drones for various missions.

Even if they are often targeter by aerial drones, they are still being very useful.
Read 17 tweets

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