Clément Molin Profile picture
Oct 6 25 tweets 8 min read Read on X
*123 000 russian 🇷🇺 soldiers got killed in 2025 in Ukraine 🇺🇦, more than the french 🇫🇷 ground forces.

In total, 281 550 russian soldiers were lost in 2025 as per leaked report. It includes 123 000 killed and missing and 158 529 wounded.

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These leaked documents were initially shared by this account @hochuzhit_com which provided these two pictures.

*I don't know about the source which seems controversial but the data seems veracious since it is close to other data collected by Mediazona, the Ukrainian General Staff and independent analysts.

There is high possibility this can be a propaganda operation, but the data can still be used.Image
Image
The document is giving few interesting insights on the state of russian forces. With 83 000 killed, it's close to the Mediazona count (54 000 in August with verified data).

It is also giving data on particular units and different sectors.
Here is a graph with the location of russian losses in different sectors. I added both killed and missing because the term missing is often used to hide losses and most of the time, soldiers are dead (or captured, but it cannot be possible for Russia since it advances). Image
On a map, here is each sector with different losses. I gathered also Wounded in Action (WIA) and Prisonner of War (POW) because they can eventually be recovered.

On top, I put the total number for each direction. Image
The data is simply catastrophic for Russia. In only 9 months, it lost 53 572 soldiers in Kursk and Sumy including 19 567 killed, mainly not affiliated to any unit.

Most of those were lost during the Kursk counter-offensive and Sumy incursion. Image
In Luhansk and Kharkiv oblasts, we have 21 698 killed russian soldiers, with a total number of 47 410 losses. Image
The data is also interesting because it gives informations for every unit. For example, the 1st tank army is pushing for Borova and Kupiansk, it took more than 21 000 losses for minimal gains.

The 20th and 25th armies are pushing for Lyman, they also took high losses. Image
For Pokrovsk, Kostiantynivka, but also Siversk and Chasiv Yar, Russia suffered catastrophic losses, nearly 100 000 thousands, including 43 263 killed.

Half of the dead are in this direction ! Image
We have crazy numbers for some units in the central part of Donbas.

The 2nd army (Pokrovsk) lost 31 575 soldiers including 15 310 killed, the 41st (South Pokrovsk) lost 20 879 soldiers including 7 443 dead and the 51st lost 27 340 soldiers including 13 008 killed... Image
More interesting is the specific data for the 90th Tank Division, with 7.2k losses including 3.5k killed, while it only advanced few kilometers on the Novopavlivka direction. Image
On the East direction (Pokrovsk-Hulialpole direction), losses are also very high for the russians. In total, 37 985 losses including 15 957 killed and missed. Image
Here again, we have detailed statistics. As @moklasen rightly stated in one of his posts today, "the 29th Army only has one brigade: the 36th MRB took 7.7k casualties since january".

The 5th army also took around 12 000 losses including 7 400 dead ! Image
In the south (Zaporijia), we have 32 740 russian losses, including 15 000 dead. The third army took half of the losses. Image
Finally for the Dnipro direction (Kherson and along the Dnipro river), we have 13 243 losses including 5 449 losses, mainly in the 58th army. Image
Now that we saw detailed statistics from each direction, let's see a general graphic of the main units with losses, PMC is for Kursk and sometimes units can be seen two times because their subordinated (brigades, divisions) are fighting in 2 different directions. Image
Now, some questions on this data :

Can it be true ? Yes or No. The ukrainians are giving official data which counts KIA, MIA, WIA and POW close to that.

The recognized ukrainian analyst @Tatarigami_UA said between 8 400–10 500 KIA are killed every month.
These are also the estimations of Mediazona for killed soldiers. With 9 640 killed per month, the data seems close to what is known. With the MIA, it would be 13 400 per month.

The document does not seem official, it could also be a made up. Still, it is interesting to analyse. Image
Another analyst, @AndrewPerpetua is counting all the russian soldiers killed by drone strikes (with the video proves). He says he is counting 4 000 to 4 500 a month and around 120 a day. Alone, he would have between 1/2 to 1/3 of all losses.
Why is the death tole so high ?

On this video alone (GRAPHIC ⚠️), we can see multiple bodies of russian soldiers near Pokrovsk. Due tot the drone threat, they have to walk or use motorcycles. On this case, crossing fortifications concentrate ukrainian fire.
This is the same in most of the Donbass. Ukrainian drone operators are hiding in the cities and launch hundreds of drones daily, whith part of them hitting russian soldiers on foot.

We have multiple videos of all those dead soldiers.
One of the main point of russian tactics is to assault with small teams. They do not recover their dead or their wounded.

If this tactic has proven right to advance, the data gathered today shows that it cost around 120 000 soldiers (KIA, MIA, WIA...) to reach Pokrovsk and Kostiantynivka.
Of course, some will ask "What about Ukraine ?"

I do not have that precise data. Ualosses states that Ukraine lost 160 000 soldiers, including 77 000 missing, probably dead or captured since the begining of the war.
Ukraine is recovering its wounded soldiers, but not really its dead because they are mostly killed in frontline positions taken by the russians. The bodies are excghanged later, which explains the strong difference between both. Around 10 000 this year. Image
Thanks for following this thread. I will probably add here other analyses of other OSINT accounts on this data.

The main subject is russian slosses so don't start asking me 200 questions about Ukraine because I don't know.

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More from @clement_molin

Oct 26
A El Fasher dans l'ouest du #Soudan 🇸🇩, les FSR s'emparent de la base de la 6ème division, encerclée depuis 2 ans.

Des milliers de civils, principalement des Zaghawas (noirs) réfugiés dans la ville fuient vers le désert, poursuivis par les FSR (arabes).

🧵THREAD🧵1/12 ⬇️
El Fasher, 4ème (?) plus grande ville du Soudan, capitale de l'ouest du pays était la dernière ville a résister aux forces de soutien rapide, les FSR.

A l'intérieur, en plus des habitants traditionnels, des réfugiés des guerres précédentes, environ 1.5 millions d'habitants.
Les FSR sont une milice arabe du Darfour (l'ouest du Soudan). Ils se battent depuis la fin des années 1990 contre les peuples africains du Darfour, dont les Fur, Zafgawas et Massalit.

Depuis 2023, les FSR tentent de renverser le pouvoir à Khartoum en se battant contre l'armée. Image
Read 12 tweets
Oct 25
Russian 🇷🇺 soldiers have been sighted in the center of Pokrovsk, a strategic city in the east of Ukraine 🇺🇦

After months of infiltration, russian troops are threatening to capture two of the last 7 big cities of Donbas, while they started entering a 3rd one.

🧵THREAD🧵1/21 ⬇️Image
While ukrainians are cheering for an undeniable victory, the pushed back Dobropilla breakthrough and the liberation of Kucheriv Yar village, stopping months of threat on Kramatorsk, russian infantry was sighted in the city center of Pokrovsk. Image
Pokrovsk is not a random city. It is the western entrance of Donbas (a populated, mining and industrial eastern region of Ukraine).

Once a strategic railway and road hub for ukrainian forces in Donetsk direction it is now since a year the hot spot of the war. Image
Read 21 tweets
Oct 14
For the first time in months, Russia 🇷🇺 launched tanks and armoured vehicles in Ukraine 🇺🇦

2 years after the large scale Avdiivka offensive, russian forces tried to storm the Pokrovsk-Kostiantynivka area of the frontline, losing around 30 armoured vehicles.

🧵THREAD🧵1/16 ⬇️Image
The main use of tanks, IFV and AFV was during the Avdiivka-Donestk offensive, mainly between october 2023 and may 2024.

Then, it was slowly abandonned. Since the first months of 2025, the use of armoured vehicles nearly disappeared. Image
Why ?

Because Russia was slowly lacking reserves in armoured vehicles and drone warfare was making their use more and more dangerous.

Most of them have been put away from the front during months and endured some changes. Image
Read 16 tweets
Oct 10
A quoi ressemble la guerre en Ukraine en 2025, avec des photos et des vidéos ?

Sur cette vidéo, 4 drones russes 🇷🇺 frappent en 1 minute un blindé ukrainien 🇺🇦 abandonné, deux n'explosent pas.

🧵THREAD🧵1/23 ⬇️
J'ai compilé pour vous une vingtaine de vidéos et de photos, les moins sales (la plupart sont absolument horrible, avec des soldats qui agonisent) pour montrer une réalité de la guerre qu'on ne montre plus.

Ici, les drones russes qui attendent leur cible sur le côté de la route.
Un combat constant contre les drones kamikazes FPV.

Sur la vidéo, ce soldat ukrainien se bat contre plusieurs drones kamikazes russes, en détruisant plusieurs. La priorité désormais, regarder vers le ciel.
Read 23 tweets
Oct 8
L'Asie Centrale 🇰🇿🇺🇿🇹🇯🇹🇲🇰🇬 s'éloigne de Moscou 🇷🇺

Alors que se tient le 12ème sommet de l'organisation des Etats Turciques 🇹🇷 en Azerbaïdjan, les pays centrasiatiques prouvent une fois de plus leur éloignement avec la Russie.

🧵THREAD🧵1/15 ⬇️ Image
Depuis 2022, l’Asie centrale amorce un tournant géopolitique majeur.

Longtemps dans le giron russe, la région s’émancipe progressivement de Moscou. Cet éloignement n’est ni brutal ni uniforme, mais il est désormais irréversible. Image
La guerre en Ukraine a agi comme un catalyseur.

Pour les dirigeants centrasiatiques de l'ex URSS, la Russie n’est plus un garant de stabilité, mais un facteur d’incertitude.

Dès lors, la priorité devient l’autonomie stratégique et la diversification des partenariats. Image
Read 21 tweets
Oct 5
Depuis le mois de mai 2025, la Russie 🇷🇺 a lâché 19 752 bombes guidées, dont 30% à Pokrovsk et 19% à Soumy.

Depuis le début de l'année, 35 148 bombes ont été lâchées ainsi que 1 488 990 frappes d'artilleries et 923 047 frappes de drones FPV.

Statistiques :

🧵THREAD🧵1/10 ⬇️ Image
Depuis que je cartographie les frappes aériennes russes, j'ai pu en localiser environ 65% (principalement à Pokrovsk, Soumy et Pokrovsk'e).

Le reste non cartographié est probablement à Kherson, Zaporizhia, Kramatorsk, Koupiansk ou Kharkiv. Image
Hier, j'ai publié cette carte des plus de 6 000 frappes aériennes russes entre Pokrovsk et Kostiantynivka sur les 5 derniers mois, avec différents codes couleurs. Image
Read 10 tweets

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