1/ 'HELL NO WE WON'T GO', part 2: why many Russians don't want to go to war any more. ⬇️
3/ Kartavykh has collated quotes from his respondents into a number of categories, and highlighted representative examples. They provide a rare insight into unfiltered Russian public opinion, which isn't normally on display like this:
3/ Kartavykh has collated quotes from his respondents into a number of categories, and highlighted representative examples. They provide a rare insight into unfiltered Russian public opinion, which isn't normally on display like this:
5/ 2️⃣ Unpreparedness/Conditions of Service (equipment, evacuation, training)
"Because 'we haven't started yet,' well, maybe we should just fucking start? The dead don't need money, even if you pay them 10 million. I have no desire to catch drones with my face, oddly enough."
6/ "The answer is because the training of a young contract soldier is 2 weeks. They didn't teach me anything during conscription, and they won't have time to teach me here either—so what's the point then? Catching drones with my face instead of everyone else?…"
7/ 3️⃣ Support/readiness to go (duty, honour)
"Otherwise, we don't know that training takes up to 3 weeks and then we're straight forward, ready to storm. We need 2-3 months of preparation to start with, and then change tactics."
8/ “I promised my pregnant wife that I wouldn't go anywhere. If they call me up for mobilisation, I won't run away, but I promised myself I wouldn't go. I feel ashamed, as if I'm hiding behind my wife and children🤦”
9/ 4️⃣ Criticism of the elite / social injustice
"Right-wingers and liberals should fight first and foremost for a right-wing liberal state. Where are the children of the ruling party and nomenklatura elite?
10/ "P.S. The leftists once fought en masse and voluntarily for THEIR state. And yet..."
11/ "What are we fighting for?! For the interests of the oligarchs?! And die to leave this land, women, and children to the Central Asian horde and Islamism?! Well, let their children fight. Or themselves..."
12/ 5️⃣ Family motives / caring for loved ones
"I'm 42 years old. Work, home, wife, children. How can I give it all up? Just up and quit?"
13/ “They don’t go to war because we have a strategy of defeat. That’s how everything is going ‘according to plan.’ February 2022. Plan A. In February 2022, our brilliant leaders had a plan. The Georgian scenario. They went in, scared them a bit, changed the government…”
14/ 6️⃣ Unclear goals / no point
“Wars come in all shapes and sizes, but going to the grave for some Jewish deal—fuck it...”
15/ “Because of Shoigu, because of Puzik [notorious Russian commander], because of the bloody assaults, a bloodbath will soon begin on the streets of Russian cities with Wahhabis, and I’m who knows where, who knows why.
16/ "If anything happens, the Russians will save me, help me, and all the perks go to the Chechens and Tajiks, so…”
17/ 7️⃣ Material risks / mistrust of payments
“Even this official is talking about 7-8 million, but when the contract is signed, they don't give that much; they pay that much as 'coffin money' [a death benefit].”
18/ "Nobody wants to trade their lives for money, and the vague concept of the Special Military Operation doesn't resonate with anyone."
19/ 8️⃣ Distrust of the state/contract terms
"Because it's a one-way ticket. A permanent contract is one thing, and the management is sometimes a bit dumb, and that happens too often. And dying for the elite and seven million in your pocket is kind of sad."
20/ "If the contract wasn't permanent, but for a year with a guarantee that they won't force you to extend it, then there would be more [that would join]."
21/ "Personally, I've already fought for my [side]. They're not joining, in my opinion, because the state is lying about the terms. You sign for a year, but in reality, the contract is endless... And normal people don't join because it's a complete scam."
22/ 9️⃣ Home front and family security
"Because they see that the country is being destroyed from within: corruption, migrants, the idiocy of officials, the privileged status of some republics..."
23/ "And what are we fighting for in our fourth year? It's unclear. "We started with the Russian world, and what's the end result? That migrants will live happily instead of us? What's going on in the country? And endless red lines, partners, and other rhetoric…" /end
Not sure what's happened to post 2, but here it is:
This thread continues a look into the responses submitted by over 4,000 Telegram users to Russian warblogger Alex Kartavykh's question of why "you're ... still fixing a stove in civilian life ... and you're still not storming Pokrovsk".
1/ A Russian soldier has described how he was ordered by a drunken colonel to shoot his own comrades for retreating from a battle near Klishchiivka in eastern Ukraine. His account highlights the Russian practice of executing soldiers to encourage them not to retreat. ⬇️
2/ The unidentified soldier says that he has been fighting near Klishchiivka, east of the contested Ukrainian town of Kostiantynivka. According to his account, he received only three days' training in Vladikavkaz, after which he was immediately sent to the front line.
3/ He says that the men with him were sent to assault Ukrainian positions west of Klishchiivka but were totally unprepared and began to retreat under fire. However, his commander ordered that if they continued with their retreat, they were to be shot by their own side.
1/ 'HELL NO WE WON'T GO', part 4: what can be done to make going to war more attractive for increasingly sceptical Russians? ⬇️
2/ Russian warblogger Alex Kartavykh received thousands of responses to his question of why his followers are "still not storming Pokrovsk". The first thread in this series summarises what respondents gave as their reasons for not joining the army:
1/ 'HELL NO WE WON'T GO', part 3: why many Russians don't want to go to war any more. ⬇️
2/ After Russian warblogger Alex Kartavykh asked his followers on Telegram why "you're ... still fixing a stove in civilian life ... and you're still not storming Pokrovsk", he received no fewer than 4,396 responses. This thread continues a look at what they said.
3/ The first thread in this series summarises what respondents gave as their reasons for not volunteering to go to war:
1/ Recruitment to fight in Ukraine is drying up to the rate of "a teaspoon a day," despite very generous salaries and bonuses, according to a Russian government official. Thousands of Russian Telegram users have responded to explain why they don't want to join the army. ⬇️
2/ Warblogger Alex Kartavykh has written a commentary on why Russian civilians are increasingly wary of signing military contracts, despite very lucrative salaries and bonuses. The reasons why seem to be escaping those responsible for recruitment.
3/ "I recently had an interesting conversation with someone who could, in principle, be considered a representative of the state. He's not to blame for any of our troubles, and in fact, he's basically just passing by, because that's his job description.
1/ Three years of gruelling warfare and constant fear of attack, day and night, has left Russian soldiers exhausted and desperate for it to end, even as fresh soldiers are shovelled into the meat grinder. One soldier describes the grim scene among the hills of western Donetsk. ⬇️
2/ "The chalk mountains, so unassuming against the backdrop of the kilometres-high, snow-capped giants, certainly make a deceptive impression on the traveler from afar. What's the issue with climbing a hundred metres, really?
3/ "Only when you're lugging several dozen kilograms of gear, wearing armour, with stinging blisters instead of heels, with your nose clogged with lime dust, do you begin to curse the damned hills.
1/ Russia's volunteer soldiers (known as kontraktniki) have evolved significantly since the start of the Ukraine war, with the quality of the soldiers steadily decreasing. A Russian commentary describes how the profile of the Russian contract soldier has changed over time. ⬇️
2/ The author of the 'Vault No. 8' Telegram channel, one of the relatively few surviving mobilised soldiers from September 2022, writes of his experience of encountering contract soldiers over the course of 2024 to 2025:
3/ "My first personal encounter with them occurred in January-February 2024, when our regiment was deployed to a rear-area training ground as part of a rotation (for only 20 days, but that's not the point).